Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1260.0000 (-1.18%) ($1250.2500 - $1368.0000) on Tue. Nov. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.1% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $1260.0000(-1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 15.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(15%)    TBT(14%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)    IYT(-3%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-61%)    BWX(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.55% (StdDev 9.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1283.25(-1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1246.75(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1110.51(13.46%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   76.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 15.69% (three month std-dev: 9.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.93%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.46%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.44%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2016	891.14	1110.51	1246.75	1283.25	1297.02	1280.03	1260(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-108	-60	-158	41	0.34	61%	0.42	52.5	9.1%	0	0.9	68	INF
2	Nov_21_2016	887.41	1094.87	1223.23	1270.1	1283.77	1317.22	1275(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	210	13	117	0.3	61%	0.5	49.5	9.11%	0	1.1	70	INF
3	Nov_18_2016	882.99	1081.31	1196.05	1287.5	1284.33	1314	1349(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	287	150	300	247	0.32	61%	0.43	50.9	9.1%	0	1.6	67	INF
4	Nov_17_2016	879.25	1060.62	1151.18	1299.05	1298.77	1250.31	1309.75(7.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-260	-25	120	0.51	61%	0.31	49.4	9.11%	0	1.6	61	INF
5	Nov_16_2016	876.54	1041.14	1107.22	1261.4	1301.13	1254.66	1222.5(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-266	-160	-345	-30	0.28	61%	0.13	38.7	9.09%	0	1.2	58	INF

6	Nov_15_2016	875.4	1026.09	1077.29	1202.2	1254.64	1347.22	1194.25(-12.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	305	650	335	215	0.31	61%	0.16	19.4	9.09%	0	1.2	60	INF
7	Nov_14_2016	874.03	1016.36	1046.41	1164	1154.77	1347.6	1362(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1221	1150	1417	632	0.56	64%	0.31	3.5	8.93%	0	2.5	68	INF
8	Nov_11_2016	871.32	1002.46	1002.58	1089.1	1046.89	1162.06	1406.75(25.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	1191	650	1391	589	0.56	64%	0.09	-14.7	8.91%	0	3.3	65	INF
9	Nov_10_2016	870.56	988.32	961.02	985.8	974.22	961.94	1121.5(21.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	285	-120	336	133	0.38	60%	-0.21	-52.1	8.4%	0	1.5	60	INF
10	Nov_9_2016	872.35	987.03	951.92	934.05	934.19	931.72	926.5(-7.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-301	-20	-349	-155	0.53	55%	-0.53	-67.6	8.07%	0	-0.6	52	INF

11	Nov_8_2016	877.03	999.43	959.88	932.9	936.98	986.5	1003.25(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	358	380	424	158	0.39	55%	-0.32	-57.3	8.01%	0	0	57	INF
12	Nov_7_2016	879.87	1011.47	954.12	908.75	908.7	936.66	987.5(10.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	341	220	409	137	0.34	55%	-0.31	-56.1	8.02%	0	-0.2	49	INF
13	Nov_4_2016	882.61	1020.69	956.22	902.25	881.75	887.47	890.25(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-20	-72	-66	0.31	53%	-0.47	-45.3	7.98%	0	-1.1	35	INF
14	Nov_3_2016	886.81	1036.53	963.55	933.35	909.99	880.75	862.75(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-122	-300	-132	-93	0.32	53%	-0.38	-26.2	7.99%	0	-1.4	31	INF
15	Nov_2_2016	890.19	1054.74	972.55	972.8	950.41	876.03	920.75(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-477	-620	-550	-258	0.52	53%	-0.49	-3.8	7.95%	0	-1.2	39	INF

16	Nov_1_2016	894.54	1065.73	974.77	990.3	989.54	939.23	882.5(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-558	-360	-642	-304	0.45	53%	-0.43	13.6	7.95%	0	-1.6	33	INF
17	Oct_31_2016	898.43	1079.88	989.13	1003.7	1016.08	1024.79	955(-8.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-72	100	-68	-85	0.3	53%	-0.34	29.5	7.91%	0	-1.1	32	INF
18	Oct_28_2016	901.51	1078.43	1006.33	1016.4	1008.19	1039.84	1045.75(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	217	200	272	52	0.39	55%	-0.18	34	7.9%	0	-0.3	43	INF
19	Oct_27_2016	903.17	1069.7	1018.55	998.2	991.78	1007.38	1060(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	213	90	270	43	0.28	51%	-0.23	29.1	7.9%	0	-0.1	42	INF
20	Oct_26_2016	905.24	1059.16	1023.55	973.7	973.84	976.53	1008.25(6.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	20	43	-61	0.3	51%	-0.44	24.9	8.08%	0	-0.4	38	INF

21	Oct_25_2016	909.23	1050.56	1040.15	958.55	963.89	976.19	949.5(-6.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	17	110	43	-63	0.31	54%	-0.45	23.7	8.11%	0	-0.7	41	INF
22	Oct_24_2016	913.3	1047.77	1071.34	972.55	959.75	971.16	1018.5(6.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	27	40	52	-48	0.3	54%	-0.4	23.8	8.17%	0	-0.2	44	INF
23	Oct_21_2016	916.93	1039.04	1087.75	996.4	976.72	951.59	954.75(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-160	-240	-175	-116	0.22	54%	-1.22	24.3	8.13%	0	-0.5	60	INF
24	Oct_20_2016	928.21	1032.82	1113.87	1043.65	1026.44	948.34	937.5(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-461	-580	-539	-225	0.27	58%	-1.22	27.6	8.22%	0	-0.6	62	INF
25	Oct_19_2016	939.7	1024.85	1143.81	1081.15	1082.52	1001.85	932.5(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-651	-520	-774	-282	0.33	58%		28.1	8.48%	0	-0.5	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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