Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $1225.2500 (8.26%) ($1180.9800 - $1270.5000) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.48% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $1225.2500(8.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 8.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 13.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(16%)    TBT(15%)    IPO(2%)    VIXM(0%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-61%)    BWX(-41%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.24% (StdDev 8.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $1048.25(16.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $942.72(29.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $907.51(35.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   103.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 14.01% (three month std-dev: 8.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 9.46%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.32%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(13%) Average negative next three day return: -7.89%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.95%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2016	1008.5	907.51	942.72	1048.25	1074.64	1178.4	1225.25(8.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	759	750	865	440	0.48	62%	-0.7	56	8.48%	0	2.5	65	INF
2	Oct_5_2016	1015.61	883.8	892.35	967.5	970.2	1097.78	1131.75(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	882	930	1025	453	0.54	62%	-0.43	29.9	8.53%	0	2.3	63	INF
3	Oct_4_2016	1020.01	862.84	850.98	901.85	895	970.87	1152(29.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	818	570	963	384	0.67	62%	-0.46	1.2	8.57%	0	3	63	INF
4	Oct_3_2016	1024.71	840.24	823.56	843.95	838.2	842.62	890.5(5.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	137	20	170	37	0.38	56%	-0.81	-29.4	7.86%	0	0.7	47	INF
5	Sep_30_2016	1033.09	837.37	824.61	829.2	834.11	819.13	841.75(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-110	-74	-61	0.35	52%	-0.9	-38	8.04%	0	0.1	54	INF

6	Sep_29_2016	1042.49	841.54	832.5	820.05	830.17	833.78	821.5(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	70	-40	-50	0.45	52%	-0.83	-36.2	8.07%	0	-0.3	46	INF
7	Sep_28_2016	1051.2	852.22	840.75	803.2	816.69	849.09	803.5(-6.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	209	330	255	70	0.67	52%	-0.98	-29	8.1%	0	-0.6	57	INF
8	Sep_27_2016	1061.62	861.65	852.76	789.05	786.48	826.56	862.5(5.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	263	350	316	103	0.57	52%	-1.1	-20	8.08%	0	0	64	INF
9	Sep_26_2016	1073.48	862.32	858.6	801.05	770.96	784.28	816.75(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	10	112	42	0.39	52%	-0.86	-9.1	8.05%	0	-0.5	63	INF
10	Sep_23_2016	1082.75	865.79	861	821.45	802.35	746.39	796(7.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-163	-560	-194	-71	0.59	48%	-1.09	6.8	8.34%	0	-0.8	51	INF

11	Sep_22_2016	1094.65	869.82	872.07	848.9	835.25	757.64	737.25(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-689	-700	-816	-309	0.56	48%	-1.3	27.6	8.28%	0	-1.5	42	INF
12	Sep_21_2016	1109.07	878.64	878.44	883.45	889.99	858.31	732.75(-20.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-379	-230	-450	-167	0.69	48%	-1.03	55.7	8.31%	0	-1.7	36	INF
13	Sep_20_2016	1120.6	880.7	880.96	922.3	920.84	912.86	922.5(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-70	-42	-6	0.48	53%	-0.73	78.2	8%	0	0.5	47	INF
14	Sep_19_2016	1128.79	870.83	861.61	923.6	917.23	921.67	918.75(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	10	-36	-15	0.62	53%	-0.66	78.8	8%	0	0.5	55	INF
15	Sep_16_2016	1136.25	859.55	853.05	906.3	916.13	928.81	933.25(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	130	151	48	0.48	53%	-0.98	71.3	8.01%	0	0.7	55	INF

16	Sep_15_2016	1147.45	845.31	851.45	900.1	902.93	912.8	910(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	102	90	123	38	0.66	50%	-1.25	65.1	8.09%	0	0.6	55	INF
17	Sep_14_2016	1162.02	833.15	863.2	873	887.54	903.45	927(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	178	180	213	73	0.44	50%	-1.3	57.3	8.2%	0	0.8	53	INF
18	Sep_13_2016	1177.3	818.72	868.55	832.65	849.97	893.06	929(11.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	245	420	292	105	0.44	50%	-1.43	44.6	8.25%	0	0.9	63	INF
19	Sep_12_2016	1194.36	803.86	862.62	790.6	808.95	871.63	832.25(-7.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	436	610	518	188	0.68	47%	-1.45	32.2	8.11%	0	0.2	61	INF
20	Sep_9_2016	1211.88	793.66	867.89	791.9	776.81	806.88	902.25(16.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	321	210	378	148	0.76	47%	-1.21	29.4	8.08%	0	0.8	67	INF

21	Sep_8_2016	1226.78	779.49	864.17	798.65	775.47	746.28	774.5(6.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-217	-350	-261	-86	0.65	42%	-1.4	30.9	7.82%	0	-0	65	INF
22	Sep_7_2016	1244.26	771.74	877.64	854.8	838.33	746.75	725.25(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-559	-820	-678	-200	0.56	42%	-1.34	42.1	7.85%	0	-0.3	61	INF
23	Sep_6_2016	1261.1	768.03	882.62	910.1	915.08	804.66	718.75(-14.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-815	-830	-993	-279	0.43	42%	-2.76	55.7	7.87%	0	-0.3	62	INF
24	Sep_2_2016	1296.91	765.47	885.65	941.8	964.66	929.91	838.75(-10.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-466	-180	-589	-98	0.43	38%	-1.66	65.4	8.63%	0	0.5	71	INF
25	Sep_1_2016	1318.86	756.86	872.18	950.55	974.23	1025.5	936(-11.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	295	440	300	279	0.53	40%		68.2	8.55%	0	1.3	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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