Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $936.0000 (-11.3%) ($931.0000 - $1092.5000) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.55% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $936.0000(-11.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 22.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(17%)    TBT(15%)    IPO(4%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-96%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.275% (StdDev 8.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -12.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $950.55(-1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $872.18(7.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $756.86(23.67%)
To recent high   -54.9%
To recent low   55.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 18.89% (three month std-dev: 8.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 11.09%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.19%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 11.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 30.07%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2016	1318.86	756.86	872.18	950.55	974.23	1025.5	936(-11.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	295	440	300	279	0.53	40%	-1.39	68.2	8.55%	0	1.3	79	INF
2	Aug_31_2016	1337.44	740.26	843.39	937.05	933.28	999.41	1055.25(5.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	555	480	604	406	0.57	43%	-1.13	64	8.46%	0	2.3	89	INF
3	Aug_30_2016	1352.79	717.44	802.5	906.25	892.67	922.97	1001.75(14.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	421	190	447	342	0.75	43%	-1.21	62.3	8.43%	0	2.4	89	INF
4	Aug_29_2016	1369.31	696.41	764.35	854.42	864.06	867.16	877.25(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	200	60	194	217	0.24	38%	-1.69	46.7	8.28%	0	1.8	78	INF
5	Aug_26_2016	1392.78	683.12	739	821.47	821.12	862.38	882.5(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	147	350	138	174	0.69	38%	-1.9	26.4	8.38%	0	2.2	74	INF

6	Aug_25_2016	1419.72	670.52	711.38	780.72	788.49	860.97	868.5(-3.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	607	670	687	365	0.53	38%	-2.09	6.6	8.37%	0	2.5	71	INF
7	Aug_24_2016	1450.09	661.26	684.85	733.77	736.29	779.86	901.25(21.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	506	420	577	293	0.5	44%	-2.05	-17.5	8.4%	0	3.6	78	INF
8	Aug_23_2016	1480.38	650.03	652.96	684.52	686.05	716.01	742.6(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	181	310	204	112	0.2	36%	-2.35	-59.2	8.22%	0	1.7	67	INF
9	Aug_22_2016	1516.06	652.52	641.02	661.75	671.28	692.72	712.5(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	269	270	310	144	0.21	36%	-2.11	-49.1	8.21%	0	0.8	67	INF
10	Aug_19_2016	1548.76	659.92	633.89	644.25	649.3	656.09	678.75(7.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	83	100	94	49	0.28	36%	-2.14	-43.3	8.17%	0	0.2	58	INF

11	Aug_18_2016	1582.69	665.34	631.76	631	635.47	649.84	633.75(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	77	180	89	40	0.2	44%	-2.03	-42.1	8.12%	0	-0.4	47	INF
12	Aug_17_2016	1615.56	673.11	629.7	627	624.06	642.5	655(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	190	179	64	0.41	44%	-1.91	-35.3	8.66%	0	-0.2	41	INF
13	Aug_16_2016	1646.94	683.48	626.44	616.25	609.3	621.09	628.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	91	100	114	23	0.27	44%	-2.32	-30.5	8.64%	0	-0.6	37	INF
14	Aug_15_2016	1686.05	689.62	624.14	617	602.03	605.63	625(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	16	-30	31	-30	0.25	44%	-0.64	-32.1	8.66%	0	-0.7	27	INF
15	Aug_12_2016	1696.88	694.97	624.24	622.25	605.97	597.5	612.5(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-70	-180	-63	-89	0.38	44%	-2.28	-30	8.65%	0	-0.9	21	INF

16	Aug_11_2016	1736.42	701.59	627.99	633	621.36	598.44	613.75(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-143	-310	-147	-130	0.27	44%	-2.4	-26.3	8.69%	0	-1	34	INF
17	Aug_10_2016	1779.13	707.19	637.1	632.5	637.22	614.43	601.25(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-176	-230	-184	-152	0.23	44%	-1.86	-30.4	8.72%	0	-1.2	33	INF
18	Aug_9_2016	1812.92	712.99	647.7	637.25	640.52	644.28	632.5(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-91	60	-81	-121	0.16	49%	-1.82	-30.4	8.77%	0	-1	30	INF
19	Aug_8_2016	1846.52	720.46	665.07	631.5	638.46	660	651.25(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	128	270	175	-13	0.19	49%	-1.78	-33.7	9.07%	0	-0.8	46	INF
20	Aug_5_2016	1879.92	723.39	687.17	626.5	624.89	636.76	666.25(9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	89	130	126	-22	0.28	46%	-1.76	-43.3	9.18%	0	-0.7	49	INF

21	Aug_4_2016	1913.69	725.78	700.13	623.5	619.81	616.91	611.25(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-50	-31	-82	0.24	50%	-1.67	-58.5	9.13%	0	-1.4	43	INF
22	Aug_3_2016	1946.1	734.45	719.1	643.5	633.51	613.03	625(3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-121	-270	-126	-105	0.22	50%	-2.12	-69.8	9.37%	0	-1.4	47	INF
23	Aug_2_2016	1988.19	739.48	744.37	660.5	655.15	622.71	603.75(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-265	-370	-302	-155	0.28	50%	-2.24	-89.3	9.42%	0	-1.9	46	INF
24	Aug_1_2016	2033.69	749.1	760.88	704	693.79	653.99	626.25(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-297	-450	-344	-155	0.34	50%	-1.91	-97.9	9.44%	0	-1.8	42	INF
25	Jul_29_2016	2073.21	759.92	773.04	757.25	741.21	687.58	651.25(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-351	-570	-415	-157	0.34	46%		-100.4	9.51%	0	-1.7	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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