Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $978.7500 (-6%) ($975.0000 - $1041.2500) on Thu. Jun. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.4% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $978.7500(-6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -6.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -9.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TBT(16%)    UUP(16%)    IBUY(4%)    IPO(4%)    VIXM(1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-72%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.7% (StdDev 9.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

Resistance Level   $1236.3
5 Day Moving Average   $1056.5(-7.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1177.27(-16.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1236.3(-20.83%)
To recent high   -77.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 17.21% (three month std-dev: 9.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.76%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 21.31%(67%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 12.27%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.6%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2016	3078.2	1236.3	1177.27	1056.5	1053.71	1020.31	978.75(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-281	-230	-313	-184	0.23	34%	-2.5	-97.7	9.4%	0	-1.2	40	INF
2	Jun_29_2016	3157.28	1288.09	1211.31	1127	1062.31	1071.56	1041.25(-6.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-279	-110	-317	-163	0.28	32%	-2.6	-75	9.4%	0	-0.9	46	INF
3	Jun_28_2016	3241.56	1337.18	1229.26	1178.5	1132.93	1087.11	1110(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-400	-22	-34	0.23	32%	-2.24	-63.4	9.56%	0	-0.8	46	INF
4	Jun_27_2016	3315.82	1385.23	1253.7	1234.5	1193.56	1053.05	1058.75(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-770	-920	-902	-374	0.24	32%	-2.39	-57.4	9.53%	0	-1.1	37	INF
5	Jun_24_2016	3397.1	1440.51	1276.86	1279.5	1268.12	1178.75	1093.75(-17.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-888	-520	-1043	-422	0.31	32%	-2.84	-44.9	9.6%	0	-1	42	INF

6	Jun_23_2016	3496.4	1486.36	1295.89	1312.5	1341.4	1334.06	1331.25(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-68	30	-80	-33	0.17	41%	-3.27	-39.9	9.41%	0	-0.4	49	INF
7	Jun_22_2016	3614.45	1519.08	1284.16	1307.5	1327.73	1357.5	1298.75(-6.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	122	200	154	25	0.18	41%	-4.08	-38.1	9.86%	0	-0.6	30	INF
8	Jun_21_2016	3768.29	1560.93	1280.76	1287.25	1292.89	1348.75	1390(8.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	266	320	334	63	0.2	41%	-3.66	-31.8	9.84%	0	-0.4	32	INF
9	Jun_20_2016	3911.52	1584.42	1279.55	1279.5	1268.44	1297.97	1283.75(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	255	140	329	34	0.21	41%	-3.93	-30	9.77%	0	-0.8	26	INF
10	Jun_17_2016	4071.72	1611.52	1285.68	1276.25	1262.97	1237.03	1258.75(-3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-170	21	-116	0.21	41%	-4.07	-29.9	9.76%	0	-0.9	23	INF

11	Jun_16_2016	4244.59	1641.15	1297	1276.5	1252.97	1238.91	1306.25(9.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-256	-130	-259	-246	0.26	38%	-3.66	-30.1	9.79%	0	-0.9	32	INF
12	Jun_15_2016	4405.62	1672.64	1365.78	1257.25	1255.23	1288.91	1197.5(-11.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	75	180	129	-87	0.21	38%	-3.76	-29.5	9.98%	0	-1.3	27	INF
13	Jun_14_2016	4577.97	1694.42	1448.77	1270.75	1248.2	1267.03	1351.25(6.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	205	50	281	-23	0.19	42%	-4.15	-33.1	9.92%	0	-1	27	INF
14	Jun_13_2016	4776.43	1710.07	1520.95	1281.25	1230.57	1221.56	1267.5(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-174	-170	-168	-192	0.18	42%	-4.35	-38.1	10.02%	0	-1.3	37	INF
15	Jun_10_2016	4993.72	1735.01	1611.89	1298.25	1272.82	1229.38	1260(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-178	-300	-177	-180	0.28	40%	-4.3	-39.3	10.06%	0	-1.4	39	INF

16	Jun_9_2016	5217.98	1762.85	1689.4	1321.75	1314.07	1239.57	1210(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-553	-410	-621	-347	0.15	40%	-4.14	-42.8	10.14%	0	-1.8	37	INF
17	Jun_8_2016	5443.14	1789.84	1773.42	1494	1388.61	1316.27	1265(-9.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-872	-580	-1005	-472	0.22	43%	-4.36	-39.1	10.13%	0	-1.8	36	INF
18	Jun_7_2016	5691.07	1820.74	1867.02	1656	1600.77	1388.58	1403.75(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-748	-1030	-871	-378	0.16	42%	-0.77	-28.5	10.25%	0	-1.6	54	INF
19	Jun_6_2016	5735.27	1853.15	1919.36	1800.25	1772.5	1460.94	1352.5(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-1940	-1280	-2283	-912	0.21	42%	-3.68	-9.6	10.29%	0	-2.1	51	INF
20	Jun_3_2016	5954.19	1875.34	1973.29	1971.75	1962.89	1812.97	1377.5(-33.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-1495	-550	-1769	-673	0.39	40%	-3.5	12.8	10.29%	0	-2.3	48	INF

21	Jun_2_2016	6170.01	1906.96	2027.1	2102	2113.59	2084.06	2071.25(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-42	-80	-68	38	0.15	45%	-2.95	34	9.56%	0	0.9	62	INF
22	Jun_1_2016	6357.55	1908.59	2012.6	2091.75	2087.66	2112.81	2075(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-151	80	-199	-6	0.2	48%	-2.85	27.3	9.59%	0	0.9	65	INF
23	May_31_2016	6544.28	1897.19	1964.9	2111.75	2100	2143.13	2125(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	423	130	476	262	0.2	45%	-4.07	17.1	9.71%	0	1.2	60	INF
24	May_27_2016	6822.14	1876.73	1914.99	2060.25	2081.95	2062.5	2210(8.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	214	-30	237	144	0.25	46%	-2	-12	9.81%	0	1.8	55	INF
25	May_26_2016	6961.07	1847.95	1863.43	1980.25	2016.64	2056.88	2028.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-79	190	-103	-7	0.2	48%		-47.8	9.81%	0	1.1	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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