Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $2600.0000 (1.96%) ($2462.5000 - $2637.5000) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.17% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $2600.0000(1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -15% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(18%)    TBT(16%)    IPO(4%)    IBUY(3%)    VIXM(0%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.085% (StdDev 10.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

Resistance Level   $3130.44
5 Day Moving Average   $2475(5.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2619.86(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3130.44(-16.94%)
To recent high   -87.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 21.96% (three month std-dev: 10.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 8.53%(50%) Average negative next day return: -10.93%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 27.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -12.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 27.54%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.03%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2016	11131.26	3130.44	2619.86	2475	2448.44	2518.75	2600(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	480	170	590	148	0.04	31%	-1.45	-58.7	10.17%	0	-0.8	30	0
2	Apr_22_2016	11295.06	3221.73	2623.82	2507.5	2411.72	2420.31	2550(7.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-90	13	-105	0.07	31%	-1.73	-55.4	10.17%	0	-1	26	0
3	Apr_21_2016	11494.41	3316.3	2684.15	2550	2476.56	2378.13	2362.5(-5.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-477	-360	-527	-328	0.08	31%	-1.84	-50	10.08%	0	-1.3	28	0
4	Apr_20_2016	11710.03	3436.39	2798.46	2680	2608.59	2403.13	2487.5(4.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1088	-630	-1247	-610	0.09	30%	-1.66	-39.9	10.08%	0	-1.3	29	0
5	Apr_19_2016	11907.69	3511.13	2930.66	2737.5	2739.84	2575	2375(-14.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1239	-420	-1426	-676	0.07	33%	-1.82	-44.6	10.06%	0	-1.6	29	0

6	Apr_18_2016	12128.39	3593.5	3080.77	2777.5	2818.75	2814.06	2762.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-321	30	-349	-237	0.04	34%	-1.88	-53.5	10.17%	0	-1.3	36	0
7	Apr_15_2016	12360.42	3655.1	3224.59	2752.5	2786.72	2904.69	2762.5(-8.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	354	330	445	79	0.05	34%	-0.81	-60.6	10.25%	0	-1.4	29	0
8	Apr_14_2016	12461.46	3719.59	3342.45	2840	2767.97	2823.44	3012.5(8.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	329	60	416	69	0.07	36%	-1.73	-63.2	10.24%	0	-1.2	32	0
9	Apr_13_2016	12680.4	3762.4	3442.77	2947.5	2881.25	2668.75	2775(7.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-761	-580	-866	-444	0.06	36%	-1.67	-69.3	10.26%	0	-1.7	24	0
10	Apr_12_2016	12896.19	3861.96	3558.46	3167.5	3100	2712.5	2575(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2472	-940	-2884	-1237	0.07	36%	-1.89	-64.3	10.19%	0	-2.3	38	0

11	Apr_11_2016	13145.01	3987.76	3687.75	3432.5	3439.06	3093.75	2637.5(-17.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-2410	-700	-2816	-1192	0.08	38%	-1.81	-52.1	10.25%	0	-2.5	38	0
12	Apr_8_2016	13386.98	4086.28	3879.09	3760	3739.06	3487.5	3200(-9.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-1729	-490	-2024	-843	0.06	40%	-1.54	-48.7	10.23%	0	-2	44	0
13	Apr_7_2016	13596.85	4143.81	4010.36	3910	3932.03	3784.38	3550(-8.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1223	-250	-1434	-590	0.06	38%	-1.69	-51.6	10.25%	0	-1.5	48	0
14	Apr_6_2016	13831.19	4210.92	4133.38	4007.5	4076.56	3990.63	3875(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-312	-100	-368	-143	0.03	38%	-1.82	-50.8	10.31%	0	-0.8	56	0
15	Apr_5_2016	14088.3	4263.44	4142.75	4010	4054.69	4079.69	3900(-8.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-284	80	-332	-138	0.04	38%	-1.55	-57.5	10.32%	0	-0.9	43	0

16	Apr_4_2016	14309.48	4288.31	4150.52	3982.5	4031.25	4162.5	4275(8.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	578	260	686	253	0.03	38%	-1.54	-69.4	10.29%	0	-0	43	0
17	Apr_1_2016	14533.43	4314.34	4116.32	4027.5	4016.41	4029.69	3950(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	333	10	399	134	0.04	38%	-1.6	-74.4	10.24%	0	-0.8	47	0
18	Mar_31_2016	14769.88	4357.13	4122.28	4135	4094.53	3900	4037.5(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-862	-360	-1008	-425	0.03	38%	-1.5	-73.3	10.32%	0	-0.7	51	0
19	Mar_30_2016	14995.27	4424.05	4101.59	4287.5	4267.19	4003.13	3887.5(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1602	-450	-1877	-775	0.05	38%	-1.55	-59.6	10.29%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	Mar_29_2016	15231.85	4520.26	4183.9	4292.5	4434.38	4289.06	3762.5(-16.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-858	-130	-1002	-427	0.06	38%	-1.42	-50.8	10.32%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Mar_28_2016	15451.19	4595.47	4310.27	4325	4375	4531.25	4500(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	135	280	164	49	0.02	42%	-2	-57	10.16%	0	-0.2	55	0
22	Mar_24_2016	15765.89	4658.87	4306.15	4210	4240.63	4579.69	4487.5(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1888	580	2230	863	0.03	42%	-1.1	-58.4	10.25%	0	-0.3	49	0
23	Mar_23_2016	15940.5	4698.57	4282.03	4107.5	4082.03	4218.75	4800(22.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1797	220	2127	808	0.06	42%	-0.98	-63.8	10.25%	0	0.2	52	0
24	Mar_22_2016	16098.84	4732.48	4279.84	3905	3887.5	3901.56	3912.5(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-583	10	-667	-332	0.04	38%	-1.01	-76.2	9.77%	0	-1.2	37	0
25	Mar_21_2016	16262.51	4824.73	4382.97	4072.5	4028.91	3945.31	3925(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-373	-180	-420	-231	0.04	38%		-80.4	9.78%	0	-1.3	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.