Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $7912.5000 (25.1%) ($6837.5000 - $7950.0000) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.78% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $7912.5000(25.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -32.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(19%)    TBT(17%)    IPO(4%)    VIXM(-0%)    UNG(-1%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.89% (StdDev 9.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.1%

Resistance Level   $14514.09
5 Day Moving Average   $7820.75(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9505.47(-16.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14514.09(-45.48%)
To recent high   -72%
To recent low   25.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 41.73% (three month std-dev: 9.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -7.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.76%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2016	19928.26	14514.09	9505.47	7820.75	7664.69	7192.19	7912.5(25.1%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	315	-490	429	-29	0.04	47%	-1.8	-45.4	9.78%	0	-1.1	28	0
2	Feb_12_2016	20294.21	15247.94	10220.95	7915.75	7945.94	6939.06	6325(-7.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-6572	-880	-7667	-3288	0.03	43%	-1.12	-43.1	9.09%	0	-1.5	15	0
3	Feb_11_2016	20524.23	16066.17	11271.26	8455.75	8267.81	8137.19	6837.5(-21.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-6281	-180	-7326	-3146	0.05	43%	-1.45	-40.1	9.08%	0	-1.6	15	0
4	Feb_10_2016	20826.55	16772.9	12397.14	9253.25	9120.16	8952.81	8728.75(-6.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1277	-170	1565	412	0.03	46%	-1.3	-39.2	8.72%	0	-1.5	17	0
5	Feb_9_2016	21101.26	17378.15	13235.76	10087.5	9583.6	8398.44	9300(10.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8640	-1020	-10103	-4250	0.03	46%	-1.05	-38	8.76%	0	-1.6	17	0

6	Feb_8_2016	21326.13	17903.04	14118.83	11502.5	11043.76	9287.5	8387.5(-7.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-13263	-1230	-15544	-6419	0.03	44%	-0.96	-34.7	8.66%	0	-2	10	0
7	Feb_5_2016	21533.22	18393.56	15367.92	12910.2	13054.7	10768.77	9025(-16.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-13896	-1190	-16297	-6693	0.02	48%	-0.98	-35.1	8.82%	0	-2.2	21	0
8	Feb_4_2016	21746.23	18803.45	16731.65	14501.95	14453.2	12800.02	10825(-16.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17285	-810	-20292	-8263	0.02	51%	-1.01	-35.6	8.72%	0	-2.2	25	0
9	Feb_3_2016	21969.04	19222.38	17984.2	15976.95	16110.77	15340.63	12900(-21.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6572	-310	-7698	-3194	0.02	55%	-1.22	-32	8.53%	0	-2	35	0
10	Feb_2_2016	22240.18	19573.22	19034.82	16814.45	17020.14	16106.38	16375(6.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5389	-340	-6312	-2621	0.01	60%	-1.07	-30.3	8.11%	0	-1.1	43	0

11	Feb_1_2016	22479.99	19723.54	19924.87	17156.95	17434.2	16880.91	15426(-9.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7972	-170	-9358	-3814	0.01	60%	-1.06	-27.7	8.07%	0	-1.6	44	0
12	Jan_29_2016	22720.32	20004.88	20673.41	18231.75	18192.58	17933.91	16983.75(-6.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3009	-110	-3529	-1447	0.01	64%	-1	-17	8%	0	-1.2	56	0
13	Jan_28_2016	22948.84	20208.88	21238.3	19347.5	19040.47	17987.5	18200(6.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6429	-430	-7565	-3021	0.01	64%	-0.92	-6.2	8.11%	0	-0.8	63	0
14	Jan_27_2016	23163.01	20293.43	21493.85	20355	20309.22	18451.25	17087.5(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13479	-650	-15867	-6314	0.01	64%	-0.84	3	8.08%	0	-1.3	52	0
15	Jan_26_2016	23358.12	20466.55	21871.87	21592.5	21842.03	20093.44	18087.5(-13.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14850	-530	-17489	-6932	0.01	64%	-0.23	14.7	8.05%	0	-1	51	0

16	Jan_25_2016	23413.02	20509.51	22034.23	23087.5	23074.22	22167.19	20800(-7.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9820	-280	-11583	-4531	0.01	68%	-0.72	24	7.92%	0	0.1	58	0
17	Jan_22_2016	23583.33	20457.82	21712.01	23445	23758.59	23590.63	22562.5(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-609	-10	-746	-198	0.01	68%	-0.64	27.6	7.92%	0	0.9	56	0
18	Jan_21_2016	23735.15	20365.37	21083.49	23395	23304.69	23981.25	23237.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2194	190	2556	1107	0.01	68%	-0.53	24	7.94%	0	1.2	57	0
19	Jan_20_2016	23860.93	20219.3	20577.39	22800	22721.09	23926.56	23275(-8.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9735	360	11433	4640	0.01	65%	-0.5	13	8%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Jan_19_2016	23980.6	20124.56	20143.85	22182.5	21838.28	22628.13	25562.5(13.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8856	210	10404	4212	0.01	69%	-0.59	10.3	8.06%	0	2.6	63	0

21	Jan_15_2016	24122.29	19971.92	19424.59	20862.5	20901.56	21515.63	22587.5(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5204	210	6115	2470	0	67%	-0.52	-0.6	8.04%	0	1.6	63	0
22	Jan_14_2016	24248.71	19827.51	19178.54	19732.5	20045.31	21048.44	22312.5(10.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7691	400	9047	3622	0.01	62%	-0.82	-18.6	8.04%	0	1.4	57	0
23	Jan_13_2016	24448.06	19815.61	18972.58	18435	18893.75	20287.5	20262.5(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9318	590	10969	4363	0.01	60%	-0.68	-36.2	8.33%	0	0.3	48	0
24	Jan_12_2016	24615.85	19932.28	18884.95	18020	17925	19042.19	20187.5(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9342	420	11001	4363	0.01	60%	-0.55	-34.3	8.33%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Jan_11_2016	24750.9	19909.17	18856.07	17815	17441.41	17500	18962.5(11.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2666	-40	3150	1213	0.01	60%		-32.1	8.36%	0	-0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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