Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $26212.5000 (2.29%) ($25387.5000 - $26737.5000) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.7% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $26212.5000(2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(16%)    ARKK(4%)    VIXM(-0%)    UNG(-2%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-89%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    BWX(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.85% (StdDev 9.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25817.5(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25763.96(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23475.53(11.66%)
To recent high   -37.1%
To recent low   78.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 15.5% (three month std-dev: 9.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	29824.5	23475.53	25763.96	25817.5	25343.79	25214.13	26212.5(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4655	-90	5468	2217	0.01	46%	-0.12	71.7	9.7%	0	0.8	67	INF
2	Nov_20_2015	29860.98	23006.42	25609.09	25557.5	25545.35	24032.89	25625(10.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6684	-420	-7875	-3111	0.01	46%	0.08	63.1	9.75%	0	0.7	67	INF
3	Nov_19_2015	29836.74	22505.95	25696.76	25542.5	25703.91	25473.45	23137.5(-10.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8358	-40	-9849	-3883	0.01	43%	-0.05	60.6	9.8%	0	0.2	63	INF
4	Nov_18_2015	29851.39	22191.64	25791.68	26197.5	26278.91	27057.81	25812.5(-8.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5381	220	6307	2603	0.01	45%	0.1	67.4	9.77%	0	0.9	71	INF
5	Nov_17_2015	29822.1	21762.9	25379.31	26125	26097.66	25934.38	28300(13.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	2611	-50	3044	1313	0.01	43%	0.21	69.9	9.71%	0	1.5	81	INF

6	Nov_16_2015	29760.98	21128.49	24565.47	25737.5	25837.5	25500	24912.5(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4082	-80	-4833	-1828	0	41%	0.11	68.6	9.67%	0	0.9	80	INF
7	Nov_13_2015	29726.89	20771.31	24079.29	25675	26127.34	26260.94	25550(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	536	90	595	358	0.01	43%	0.15	68.1	9.67%	0	1.2	81	INF
8	Nov_12_2015	29683.59	20288.54	23531.43	25885	26078.13	26175	26412.5(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	929	50	1050	566	0.01	41%	0.2	69.7	9.83%	0	1.5	86	INF
9	Nov_11_2015	29625.38	19693.63	22816.95	25315	26037.5	25993.75	25450(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2237	70	2588	1184	0.01	41%	0.16	59.9	10.13%	0	1.5	77	INF
10	Nov_10_2015	29577.78	19148.74	21998.57	24475	25186.72	25981.25	26362.5(7.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3272	310	3808	1662	0.01	39%	0.19	49.6	10.15%	0	2	75	INF

11	Nov_9_2015	29521.46	18700.3	20997.5	23202.5	23735.47	26081.25	24600(-7.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10421	760	12224	5010	0.01	39%	0.17	41.6	10.36%	0	1.9	76	INF
12	Nov_6_2015	29472.73	18359.12	20179.89	22207.5	22332.34	24392.19	26600(12.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16173	660	18997	7700	0.01	39%	0.28	29.8	10.33%	0	2.8	70	INF
13	Nov_5_2015	29391.16	17837.49	19001.92	20860	20799.53	21389.69	23562.5(10.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	6600	190	7742	3175	0.01	37%	0.15	3.9	10.22%	0	2.5	71	INF
14	Nov_4_2015	29348.23	17629.99	18246.24	19992.5	20026.88	20272.5	21250(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1437	90	1670	738	0.01	35%	0.01	-36.1	10.14%	0	1.9	71	INF
15	Nov_3_2015	29345.71	17516.19	17811.57	19152.5	19570.47	20209.38	20000(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4468	290	5237	2159	0.01	37%	-0.01	-76.2	10.1%	0	1.4	69	INF

16	Nov_2_2015	29347.73	17462.85	17383.05	18425	18523.59	19781.25	19625(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	5790	490	6800	2761	0.01	37%	-0.02	-106	10.18%	0	1.1	55	INF
17	Oct_30_2015	29354.67	17535.28	17178.82	17790	17634.53	18931.56	19862.5(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9175	490	10786	4342	0.01	38%	0	-104.6	10.2%	0	0.9	54	INF
18	Oct_29_2015	29353.41	17751.15	16770.77	16845	16747.03	17265.94	19225(12.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5589	200	6573	2635	0.01	38%	0	-73.3	10.27%	0	0.4	57	INF
19	Oct_28_2015	29352.02	18351.84	16307.42	16265	16046.56	16337.5	17050(4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	90	26	-13	0.02	36%	-0.09	-61.6	10.15%	0	-0.3	44	INF
20	Oct_27_2015	29378.41	18998.72	16083.52	16292.5	16220	16228.13	16362.5(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1783	-10	2109	805	0.01	38%	-0.09	-55.9	10.13%	0	-0.5	44	INF

21	Oct_26_2015	29404.17	19796.34	16240.25	16180	16295.79	15755.63	16450(8.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2253	-210	-2637	-1099	0.01	38%	-0.1	-52.4	10.23%	0	-0.5	45	INF
22	Oct_23_2015	29434.85	20605.81	16418.19	16475	16433.3	16211.88	15137.5(-7.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3488	-100	-4089	-1684	0.01	39%	-0.12	-49.6	10.23%	0	-0.8	37	INF
23	Oct_22_2015	29471.34	21321.8	16615.91	16647.5	16786.73	16835.95	16325(-5.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1642	50	1951	713	0.01	39%	-0.05	-49	10.3%	0	-0.8	34	INF
24	Oct_21_2015	29487.5	21932.03	16986.51	16320	16420.33	16654.72	17187.5(8.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	757	120	920	268	0.01	38%	0.01	-47.5	10.29%	0	-0.7	28	INF
25	Oct_20_2015	29485.23	22837.69	17201.73	15832.5	15968.75	16737.52	15800(-11.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2611	360	3110	1114	0.01	43%		-45.7	10.25%	0	-0.9	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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