Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $24587.5000 (7.31%) ($23018.3800 - $24737.5000) on Wed. Jul. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.94% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $24587.5000(7.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.47% (StdDev 4.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22510(9.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21397.94(14.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20550.94(19.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   66.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 7.48% (three month std-dev: 4.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.75%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.59%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.72%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.11%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2015	19250.25	20550.94	21397.94	22510	22403.49	23227.3	24587.5(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12920	240	15177	6148	0	45%	0.41	87.7	4.94%	0	2.6	71	INF
2	Jun_30_2015	19171.68	20207.33	20850.41	21722.5	21671.09	22168.75	22912.5(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7047	150	8276	3361	0	42%	0.38	80.6	5.26%	0	1.9	70	INF
3	Jun_29_2015	19099.74	19910.44	20631.1	21287.5	21203.13	21579.69	22250(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4469	110	5244	2142	0	42%	0.29	70.8	5.3%	0	1.8	63	INF
4	Jun_26_2015	19044.26	19678.56	20409.75	20995	20954.7	21173.44	21537.5(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3794	70	4451	1824	0	42%	0.38	69.9	5.3%	0	1.5	65	INF
5	Jun_25_2015	18971.43	19475.5	20273.9	20642.5	20747.66	20826.56	21262.5(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2699	40	3164	1303	0	42%	0.34	66.4	5.33%	0	1.4	59	INF

6	Jun_24_2015	18906.76	19286.67	20114.37	20095	20338.28	20735.95	20650(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3217	170	3777	1536	0	42%	0.26	60.6	5.34%	0	1.1	61	INF
7	Jun_23_2015	18858.29	19146.72	19961.57	19827.5	19778.91	20668.75	20737.5(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6358	310	7473	3013	0	42%	0.32	62.3	5.34%	0	1.4	65	INF
8	Jun_22_2015	18797.58	19023.85	19847.34	19880	19662.1	19940.61	20787.5(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8000	70	9400	3800	0	42%	0.31	81.3	5.4%	0	1.6	70	INF
9	Jun_19_2015	18739.92	18828.65	19657.55	19762.5	19723.05	18889.06	19775(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4862	-300	-5732	-2250	0	39%	0.17	87.1	5.51%	0	0.8	62	INF
10	Jun_18_2015	18708.8	18677.71	19628.96	19870	19951.17	19383.59	18525(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11024	-190	-12987	-5135	0.01	32%	0.14	94	5.45%	0	-0.1	59	INF

11	Jun_17_2015	18682.27	18580.26	19673.38	20112.5	20353.91	20557.03	19312.5(-8.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	990	110	1143	530	0.01	32%	0.27	99.6	5.73%	0	0.6	63	INF
12	Jun_16_2015	18631.25	18444.36	19555.69	20067.5	20199.61	20518.75	21000(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4919	130	5765	2381	0	34%	0.29	97	5.66%	0	1.9	69	INF
13	Jun_15_2015	18578.19	18142.81	19159.07	19800	19726.17	20150.78	20200(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3323	140	3891	1617	0	34%	0.2	82.1	5.63%	0	1.4	61	INF
14	Jun_12_2015	18541.58	17882.53	18906.32	19542.5	19447.27	19880.47	20312.5(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5320	140	6241	2555	0	34%	0.28	67.5	5.63%	0	1.6	70	INF
15	Jun_11_2015	18490.43	17606.91	18618.49	19377.5	19241.41	19301.56	19737.5(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2383	0	2786	1174	0	32%	0.26	56.1	5.63%	0	1.4	69	INF

16	Jun_10_2015	18443.24	17364.78	18391.13	19180	19198.44	19014.06	19087.5(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-900	-60	-1076	-370	0	32%	0.27	44	5.72%	0	1.1	69	INF
17	Jun_9_2015	18394.26	17209.38	18265.49	18947.5	19125.78	19181.25	19662.5(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	181	50	194	140	0	36%	0.07	40.2	5.75%	0	1.7	71	INF
18	Jun_8_2015	18381.18	17047.07	18120.05	18407.5	18754.69	19382.81	18912.5(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4599	290	5392	2220	0	36%	0.17	35.5	5.88%	0	1.4	76	INF
19	Jun_5_2015	18350.77	16931.11	17918.49	18157.5	18219.54	19070.31	19487.5(3.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	8388	340	9850	4001	0.01	45%	0.09	34.6	6.52%	0	2	80	INF
20	Jun_4_2015	18334.66	16798.12	17627.72	17755	17653.13	18126.56	18750(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	6236	170	7319	2988	0	45%	-0.15	31.4	6.5%	0	1.7	79	INF

21	Jun_3_2015	18362.11	16720.1	17384.09	17505	17331.26	17368.77	17925(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	951	-10	1100	502	0	45%	-0.15	37.2	6.51%	0	1.1	75	INF
22	Jun_2_2015	18389.05	16631.49	17241.13	17495	17407.82	17179.7	16962.5(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1729	-110	-2054	-755	0.01	45%	-0.08	40.9	6.5%	0	0.3	58	INF
23	Jun_1_2015	18404.12	16574.97	17062.06	17782.5	17661.73	17293.75	17662.5(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3121	-170	-3692	-1408	0	45%	-0.17	40	6.54%	0	1	57	INF
24	May_29_2015	18434.79	16496.07	16800.03	17625	17896.88	17635.94	17475(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1889	-60	-2238	-840	0	45%	-0.36	24.8	6.59%	0	1	54	INF
25	May_28_2015	18502.06	16444.16	16540.58	17460	17732.82	18029.7	17500(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	510	160	589	274	0.01	45%		14.9	6.64%	0	1.1	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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