Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $18912.5000 (-2.95%) ($18912.5000 - $19875.0000) on Mon. Jun. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.88% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $18912.5000(-2.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.94% (StdDev 5.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $18407.5(2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18120.05(4.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17047.07(10.94%)
To recent high   -31.3%
To recent low   28%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.03% (three month std-dev: 5.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.63%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.53%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.59%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.16%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2015	18381.18	17047.07	18120.05	18407.5	18754.69	19382.81	18912.5(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4599	290	5392	2220	0	36%	0.17	35.5	5.88%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Jun_5_2015	18350.77	16931.11	17918.49	18157.5	18219.54	19070.31	19487.5(3.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	8388	340	9850	4001	0.01	45%	0.09	34.6	6.52%	0	2	80	0
3	Jun_4_2015	18334.66	16798.12	17627.72	17755	17653.13	18126.56	18750(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	6236	170	7319	2988	0	45%	-0.15	31.4	6.5%	0	1.7	79	0
4	Jun_3_2015	18362.11	16720.1	17384.09	17505	17331.26	17368.77	17925(5.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	951	-10	1100	502	0	45%	-0.15	37.2	6.51%	0	1.1	75	0
5	Jun_2_2015	18389.05	16631.49	17241.13	17495	17407.82	17179.7	16962.5(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1729	-110	-2054	-755	0.01	45%	-0.08	40.9	6.5%	0	0.3	58	0

6	Jun_1_2015	18404.12	16574.97	17062.06	17782.5	17661.73	17293.75	17662.5(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3121	-170	-3692	-1408	0	45%	-0.17	40	6.54%	0	1	57	0
7	May_29_2015	18434.79	16496.07	16800.03	17625	17896.88	17635.94	17475(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1889	-60	-2238	-840	0	45%	-0.36	24.8	6.59%	0	1	54	0
8	May_28_2015	18502.06	16444.16	16540.58	17460	17732.82	18029.7	17500(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	510	160	589	274	0.01	45%	-0.3	14.9	6.64%	0	1.1	51	0
9	May_27_2015	18558.25	16331.05	16281.4	17225	17389.85	18157.83	17875(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6431	340	7561	3042	0	45%	-0.22	-9.2	6.69%	0	1.6	51	0
10	May_26_2015	18599.1	16218.14	16081.43	16945	16907.9	17435.94	18400(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	7247	210	8523	3417	0.01	45%	-0.92	-26.5	6.7%	0	2.3	62	0

11	May_22_2015	18772.45	16165.38	15872.69	16247.5	16364.15	16621.88	16875(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3439	130	4048	1610	0	42%	-0.1	-42.9	6.51%	0	0.7	59	0
12	May_21_2015	18792.01	16247.15	15843.46	15855	15890.71	16379.86	16650(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3315	220	3905	1543	0	42%	-0.77	-47.9	6.55%	0	0.4	54	0
13	May_20_2015	18938.14	16297.82	15871.95	15480	15495.4	16106.42	16325(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6179	280	7278	2883	0.01	42%	-0.77	-51.3	6.6%	0	0	49	0
14	May_19_2015	19085.57	16422.69	15968.41	15190	15070.31	15401.56	16475(10.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4240	130	4996	1972	0.01	42%	-0.94	-51.6	6.6%	0	0	59	0
15	May_18_2015	19266.24	16468.01	15937.99	15107.5	14833.59	14884.38	14912.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-465	-30	-539	-242	0.01	38%	-0.9	-57.8	6.52%	0	-1.2	47	0

16	May_15_2015	19441.88	16615.62	16040.55	15457.5	15191.41	14739.06	14912.5(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2054	-260	-2409	-989	0.01	38%	-0.24	-58.1	6.63%	0	-1.4	36	0
17	May_14_2015	19489.06	16776.02	16179.95	15835	15649.22	14782.81	14775(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7838	-420	-9213	-3713	0.01	38%	-1.05	-55.6	6.69%	0	-1.7	32	0
18	May_13_2015	19696.22	16948.63	16372.45	16312.5	16266.8	15643.75	14875(-7.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8044	-280	-9457	-3803	0.01	38%	-1.19	-59.4	6.74%	0	-1.9	39	0
19	May_12_2015	19934.24	17087.31	16438.27	16837.5	16936.33	16515.63	16062.5(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2894	-160	-3398	-1382	0.01	40%	-1.07	-59.6	6.68%	0	-0.9	38	0
20	May_11_2015	20149.35	17235.54	16416.84	16875	17069.14	16889.84	16662.5(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2050	-40	-2403	-992	0.01	40%	-0.78	-58.4	6.68%	0	-0.5	48	0

21	May_8_2015	20307.81	17372.67	16509.92	16700	16826.17	17357.03	16800(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1963	240	2320	891	0.01	40%	-0.72	-57.5	6.68%	0	-0.5	47	0
22	May_7_2015	20455.21	17476.33	16690.25	16575	16490.99	17248.44	17162.5(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7071	310	8330	3295	0.01	40%	-0.93	-58.6	6.73%	0	-0.2	47	0
23	May_6_2015	20647.53	17640.39	16744.4	16455	16211.31	16295.31	17500(7.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3697	-10	4362	1703	0.01	46%	-1.21	-55.7	6.78%	0	-0.1	48	0
24	May_5_2015	20901.43	17766.34	16873.79	16002.5	16163.65	15733.55	16250(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2028	-160	-2372	-994	0.01	43%	-1.18	-71.1	7.03%	0	-1	47	0
25	May_4_2015	21150	17947.34	17000.41	15900	16063.65	16127.3	15787.5(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3626	60	-4250	-1755	0.01	43%		-84.1	7.04%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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