Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $17662.5000 (1.07%) ($16600.0000 - $17812.5000) on Mon. Jun. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.54% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $17662.5000(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.27% (StdDev 6.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $17782.5(-0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17062.06(3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16574.97(6.56%)
To recent high   -35.8%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.32% (three month std-dev: 6.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.71%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.89%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.01%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2015	18404.12	16574.97	17062.06	17782.5	17661.73	17293.75	17662.5(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3121	-170	-3692	-1408	0	45%	-0.17	40	6.54%	0	1	57	INF
2	May_29_2015	18434.79	16496.07	16800.03	17625	17896.88	17635.94	17475(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1889	-60	-2238	-840	0	45%	-0.36	24.8	6.59%	0	1	54	INF
3	May_28_2015	18502.06	16444.16	16540.58	17460	17732.82	18029.7	17500(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	510	160	589	274	0.01	45%	-0.3	14.9	6.64%	0	1.1	51	INF
4	May_27_2015	18558.25	16331.05	16281.4	17225	17389.85	18157.83	17875(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6431	340	7561	3042	0	45%	-0.22	-9.2	6.69%	0	1.6	51	INF
5	May_26_2015	18599.1	16218.14	16081.43	16945	16907.9	17435.94	18400(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	7247	210	8523	3417	0.01	45%	-0.92	-26.5	6.7%	0	2.3	62	INF

6	May_22_2015	18772.45	16165.38	15872.69	16247.5	16364.15	16621.88	16875(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3439	130	4048	1610	0	42%	-0.1	-42.9	6.51%	0	0.7	59	INF
7	May_21_2015	18792.01	16247.15	15843.46	15855	15890.71	16379.86	16650(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3315	220	3905	1543	0	42%	-0.77	-47.9	6.55%	0	0.4	54	INF
8	May_20_2015	18938.14	16297.82	15871.95	15480	15495.4	16106.42	16325(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6179	280	7278	2883	0.01	42%	-0.77	-51.3	6.6%	0	0	49	INF
9	May_19_2015	19085.57	16422.69	15968.41	15190	15070.31	15401.56	16475(10.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4240	130	4996	1972	0.01	42%	-0.94	-51.6	6.6%	0	0	59	INF
10	May_18_2015	19266.24	16468.01	15937.99	15107.5	14833.59	14884.38	14912.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-465	-30	-539	-242	0.01	38%	-0.9	-57.8	6.52%	0	-1.2	47	INF

11	May_15_2015	19441.88	16615.62	16040.55	15457.5	15191.41	14739.06	14912.5(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2054	-260	-2409	-989	0.01	38%	-0.24	-58.1	6.63%	0	-1.4	36	INF
12	May_14_2015	19489.06	16776.02	16179.95	15835	15649.22	14782.81	14775(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7838	-420	-9213	-3713	0.01	38%	-1.05	-55.6	6.69%	0	-1.7	32	INF
13	May_13_2015	19696.22	16948.63	16372.45	16312.5	16266.8	15643.75	14875(-7.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8044	-280	-9457	-3803	0.01	38%	-1.19	-59.4	6.74%	0	-1.9	39	INF
14	May_12_2015	19934.24	17087.31	16438.27	16837.5	16936.33	16515.63	16062.5(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2894	-160	-3398	-1382	0.01	40%	-1.07	-59.6	6.68%	0	-0.9	38	INF
15	May_11_2015	20149.35	17235.54	16416.84	16875	17069.14	16889.84	16662.5(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2050	-40	-2403	-992	0.01	40%	-0.78	-58.4	6.68%	0	-0.5	48	INF

16	May_8_2015	20307.81	17372.67	16509.92	16700	16826.17	17357.03	16800(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1963	240	2320	891	0.01	40%	-0.72	-57.5	6.68%	0	-0.5	47	INF
17	May_7_2015	20455.21	17476.33	16690.25	16575	16490.99	17248.44	17162.5(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7071	310	8330	3295	0.01	40%	-0.93	-58.6	6.73%	0	-0.2	47	INF
18	May_6_2015	20647.53	17640.39	16744.4	16455	16211.31	16295.31	17500(7.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3697	-10	4362	1703	0.01	46%	-1.21	-55.7	6.78%	0	-0.1	48	INF
19	May_5_2015	20901.43	17766.34	16873.79	16002.5	16163.65	15733.55	16250(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2028	-160	-2372	-994	0.01	43%	-1.18	-71.1	7.03%	0	-1	47	INF
20	May_4_2015	21150	17947.34	17000.41	15900	16063.65	16127.3	15787.5(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3626	60	-4250	-1755	0.01	43%	-0.85	-84.1	7.04%	0	-1.4	38	INF

21	May_1_2015	21332.29	18094.07	17210.88	16295	16282.03	16593.75	16175(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2577	130	3047	1166	0.01	43%	-0.74	-90.6	7.04%	0	-1.3	38	INF
22	Apr_30_2015	21491.28	18322.5	17404.89	16835	16554.37	16000	16562.5(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1478	-280	-1726	-733	0.01	43%	-0.66	-81.3	7.09%	0	-1.2	42	INF
23	Apr_29_2015	21634.64	18502.2	17565.25	17097.5	17010.62	15970.31	15237.5(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9458	-440	-11113	-4492	0.01	40%	-0.61	-78.7	7.11%	0	-2.2	31	INF
24	Apr_28_2015	21767.97	18931.22	17816.73	17872.5	17744.21	17108.74	15737.5(-11.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7374	-270	-8664	-3505	0.01	40%	-0.8	-45.8	7.13%	0	-1.9	34	INF
25	Apr_27_2015	21944.14	19298.58	18166.84	18222.5	18231.71	18050.92	17762.5(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1967	-70	-2304	-956	0.01	43%		-30	7.1%	0	-0.9	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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