Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $16650.0000 (1.99%) ($16237.5000 - $16787.5000) on Thu. May. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.55% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $16650.0000(1.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.275% (StdDev 6.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $15855(5.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15843.46(5.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16247.15(2.48%)
To recent high   -39.5%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.58% (three month std-dev: 6.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 8.58%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 9.59%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.13%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2015	18792.01	16247.15	15843.46	15855	15890.71	16379.86	16650(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3315	220	3905	1543	0	42%	-0.77	-47.9	6.55%	0	0.4	54	0
2	May_20_2015	18938.14	16297.82	15871.95	15480	15495.4	16106.42	16325(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6179	280	7278	2883	0.01	42%	-0.77	-51.3	6.6%	0	0	49	0
3	May_19_2015	19085.57	16422.69	15968.41	15190	15070.31	15401.56	16475(10.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4240	130	4996	1972	0.01	42%	-0.94	-51.6	6.6%	0	0	59	0
4	May_18_2015	19266.24	16468.01	15937.99	15107.5	14833.59	14884.38	14912.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-465	-30	-539	-242	0.01	38%	-0.9	-57.8	6.52%	0	-1.2	47	0
5	May_15_2015	19441.88	16615.62	16040.55	15457.5	15191.41	14739.06	14912.5(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2054	-260	-2409	-989	0.01	38%	-0.24	-58.1	6.63%	0	-1.4	36	0

6	May_14_2015	19489.06	16776.02	16179.95	15835	15649.22	14782.81	14775(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7838	-420	-9213	-3713	0.01	38%	-1.05	-55.6	6.69%	0	-1.7	32	0
7	May_13_2015	19696.22	16948.63	16372.45	16312.5	16266.8	15643.75	14875(-7.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8044	-280	-9457	-3803	0.01	38%	-1.19	-59.4	6.74%	0	-1.9	39	0
8	May_12_2015	19934.24	17087.31	16438.27	16837.5	16936.33	16515.63	16062.5(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2894	-160	-3398	-1382	0.01	40%	-1.07	-59.6	6.68%	0	-0.9	38	0
9	May_11_2015	20149.35	17235.54	16416.84	16875	17069.14	16889.84	16662.5(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2050	-40	-2403	-992	0.01	40%	-0.78	-58.4	6.68%	0	-0.5	48	0
10	May_8_2015	20307.81	17372.67	16509.92	16700	16826.17	17357.03	16800(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1963	240	2320	891	0.01	40%	-0.72	-57.5	6.68%	0	-0.5	47	0

11	May_7_2015	20455.21	17476.33	16690.25	16575	16490.99	17248.44	17162.5(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7071	310	8330	3295	0.01	40%	-0.93	-58.6	6.73%	0	-0.2	47	0
12	May_6_2015	20647.53	17640.39	16744.4	16455	16211.31	16295.31	17500(7.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3697	-10	4362	1703	0.01	46%	-1.21	-55.7	6.78%	0	-0.1	48	0
13	May_5_2015	20901.43	17766.34	16873.79	16002.5	16163.65	15733.55	16250(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2028	-160	-2372	-994	0.01	43%	-1.18	-71.1	7.03%	0	-1	47	0
14	May_4_2015	21150	17947.34	17000.41	15900	16063.65	16127.3	15787.5(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3626	60	-4250	-1755	0.01	43%	-0.85	-84.1	7.04%	0	-1.4	38	0
15	May_1_2015	21332.29	18094.07	17210.88	16295	16282.03	16593.75	16175(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2577	130	3047	1166	0.01	43%	-0.74	-90.6	7.04%	0	-1.3	38	0

16	Apr_30_2015	21491.28	18322.5	17404.89	16835	16554.37	16000	16562.5(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1478	-280	-1726	-733	0.01	43%	-0.66	-81.3	7.09%	0	-1.2	42	0
17	Apr_29_2015	21634.64	18502.2	17565.25	17097.5	17010.62	15970.31	15237.5(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9458	-440	-11113	-4492	0.01	40%	-0.61	-78.7	7.11%	0	-2.2	31	0
18	Apr_28_2015	21767.97	18931.22	17816.73	17872.5	17744.21	17108.74	15737.5(-11.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7374	-270	-8664	-3505	0.01	40%	-0.8	-45.8	7.13%	0	-1.9	34	0
19	Apr_27_2015	21944.14	19298.58	18166.84	18222.5	18231.71	18050.92	17762.5(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1967	-70	-2304	-956	0.01	43%	-0.73	-30	7.1%	0	-0.9	42	0
20	Apr_24_2015	22104.56	19497.74	18339.07	18232.5	18228.91	18379.69	18875(5.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-64	60	-66	-57	0.01	43%	-0.56	-26	7.14%	0	-0.4	53	0

21	Apr_23_2015	22229.82	19602.38	18335.38	18070	18190.63	18412.5	17875(-6.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2427	110	2867	1105	0.01	43%	-0.58	-32.2	7.17%	0	-1	41	0
22	Apr_22_2015	22360.21	19720.37	18603.93	18120	18062.5	18078.13	19112.5(9.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1359	-0	1610	605	0.01	43%	-0.56	-38.1	7.19%	0	-0.3	47	0
23	Apr_21_2015	22486.25	19734.72	18697.25	17787.5	17860.16	17968.75	17487.5(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-899	50	-1040	-477	0	39%	-0.54	-59.5	7.1%	0	-1.3	30	0
24	Apr_20_2015	22607.47	19834.24	18942.58	18112.5	17975	18046.88	17812.5(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	870	10	1043	352	0.01	39%	-0.91	-72.8	7.13%	0	-1.2	35	0
25	Apr_17_2015	22814.64	19969.12	19031.76	18465	18218.05	17751.56	18062.5(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2177	-220	-2541	-1085	0	39%		-84	7.26%	0	-1.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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