Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $17500.0000 (7.69%) ($15950.0000 - $17600.0000) on Wed. May. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.78% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $17500.0000(7.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-73%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-43%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.39% (StdDev 6.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.2%

Resistance Level   $17640.39
5 Day Moving Average   $16455(6.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16744.4(4.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17640.39(-0.8%)
To recent high   -36.4%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.36% (three month std-dev: 6.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.84%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 12.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.42%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2015	20647.53	17640.39	16744.4	16455	16211.31	16295.31	17500(7.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3697	-10	4362	1703	0.01	46%	-1.21	-55.7	6.78%	0	-0.1	48	0
2	May_5_2015	20901.43	17766.34	16873.79	16002.5	16163.65	15733.55	16250(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2028	-160	-2372	-994	0.01	43%	-1.18	-71.1	7.03%	0	-1	47	0
3	May_4_2015	21150	17947.34	17000.41	15900	16063.65	16127.3	15787.5(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3626	60	-4250	-1755	0.01	43%	-0.85	-84.1	7.04%	0	-1.4	38	0
4	May_1_2015	21332.29	18094.07	17210.88	16295	16282.03	16593.75	16175(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2577	130	3047	1166	0.01	43%	-0.74	-90.6	7.04%	0	-1.3	38	0
5	Apr_30_2015	21491.28	18322.5	17404.89	16835	16554.37	16000	16562.5(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1478	-280	-1726	-733	0.01	43%	-0.66	-81.3	7.09%	0	-1.2	42	0

6	Apr_29_2015	21634.64	18502.2	17565.25	17097.5	17010.62	15970.31	15237.5(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9458	-440	-11113	-4492	0.01	40%	-0.61	-78.7	7.11%	0	-2.2	31	0
7	Apr_28_2015	21767.97	18931.22	17816.73	17872.5	17744.21	17108.74	15737.5(-11.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7374	-270	-8664	-3505	0.01	40%	-0.8	-45.8	7.13%	0	-1.9	34	0
8	Apr_27_2015	21944.14	19298.58	18166.84	18222.5	18231.71	18050.92	17762.5(-5.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1967	-70	-2304	-956	0.01	43%	-0.73	-30	7.1%	0	-0.9	42	0
9	Apr_24_2015	22104.56	19497.74	18339.07	18232.5	18228.91	18379.69	18875(5.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-64	60	-66	-57	0.01	43%	-0.56	-26	7.14%	0	-0.4	53	0
10	Apr_23_2015	22229.82	19602.38	18335.38	18070	18190.63	18412.5	17875(-6.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2427	110	2867	1105	0.01	43%	-0.58	-32.2	7.17%	0	-1	41	0

11	Apr_22_2015	22360.21	19720.37	18603.93	18120	18062.5	18078.13	19112.5(9.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1359	-0	1610	605	0.01	43%	-0.56	-38.1	7.19%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Apr_21_2015	22486.25	19734.72	18697.25	17787.5	17860.16	17968.75	17487.5(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-899	50	-1040	-477	0	39%	-0.54	-59.5	7.1%	0	-1.3	30	0
13	Apr_20_2015	22607.47	19834.24	18942.58	18112.5	17975	18046.88	17812.5(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	870	10	1043	352	0.01	39%	-0.91	-72.8	7.13%	0	-1.2	35	0
14	Apr_17_2015	22814.64	19969.12	19031.76	18465	18218.05	17751.56	18062.5(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2177	-220	-2541	-1085	0	39%	-0.22	-84	7.26%	0	-1.2	41	0
15	Apr_16_2015	22864.66	20196.59	19299.45	18645	18579.77	17903.13	18125(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5964	-270	-6997	-2865	0.01	39%	-0.53	-87.7	7.32%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Apr_15_2015	22986.76	20405.21	19506.43	19167.5	18982.89	18684.53	17450(-8.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5558	-140	-6523	-2664	0.01	34%	-0.51	-88.5	7.45%	0	-1.8	46	0
17	Apr_14_2015	23105.05	20826.08	20142.64	19730	19647.73	19256.41	19112.5(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-763	-150	-890	-383	0.01	37%	-0.61	-72.1	7.65%	0	-0.9	53	0
18	Apr_13_2015	23246.89	21125.41	20529.18	19887.5	19832.81	19281.25	19575(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4277	-200	-5029	-2022	0	42%	-0.53	-66.3	7.67%	0	-0.7	55	0
19	Apr_10_2015	23370.18	21406.29	20753.32	19675	19856.25	20039.06	18962.5(-8.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1381	90	-1622	-658	0	42%	-0.59	-61.6	7.85%	0	-1.1	49	0
20	Apr_9_2015	23509.34	21732.99	20981.21	20040	19703.91	20384.38	20737.5(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3984	190	4689	1868	0	40%	-0.63	-45.2	7.83%	0	-0.4	46	0

21	Apr_8_2015	23658.16	21934.12	20926.84	19917.5	19665.34	19673.44	20262.5(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2188	-40	2579	1015	0.01	40%	-0.44	-36.2	8.04%	0	-0.7	46	0
22	Apr_7_2015	23761.84	22278.77	20852.14	20665	20055.19	19023.44	19900(7.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6518	-450	-7661	-3088	0	40%	-0.67	-11.4	8.06%	0	-0.9	37	0
23	Apr_6_2015	23921.97	22592.84	20804.62	21312.5	21055.19	19657.25	18512.5(-10.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10982	-500	-12911	-5195	0.01	36%	-1.72	9.5	8.02%	0	-1.5	35	0
24	Apr_2_2015	24339.58	22875.43	21016.81	21972.5	22121.87	21086.94	20787.5(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7919	-310	-9306	-3756	0.01	39%	-0.95	30.7	8.15%	0	-0.8	38	0
25	Apr_1_2015	24573.7	22837.08	21189.73	22022.5	22372.93	22453.13	20125(-16.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2555	70	-2993	-1239	0.01	39%		34.8	8.2%	0	-1	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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