Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $27525.0000 (4.66%) ($24925.0000 - $28250.0000) on Tue. Mar. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.89% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $27525.0000(4.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 8.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 15.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(15%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-3%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.445% (StdDev 8.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23305(18.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20643.26(33.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19266.17(42.87%)
To recent high   -34.3%
To recent low   92.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 15.59% (three month std-dev: 8.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 5.33%(63%) Average negative next day return: -7.61%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 15.37%(13%) Average negative next three day return: -10.13%(88%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 11.4%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.29%(88%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2015	28428.13	19266.17	20643.26	23305	23308.55	25721.88	27525(4.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	15546	730	18259	7407	0.01	57%	-0.22	74.9	8.89%	0	2.7	80	0
2	Mar_9_2015	28489.56	18651.51	19695.48	21517.5	21385.11	23632.81	26300(10.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17872	720	21006	8471	0.01	53%	-0.35	72.5	8.93%	0	3.2	72	0
3	Mar_6_2015	28589.69	18141.29	18834.16	19800	19700.73	20895.22	23787.5(22.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	12274	410	14429	5810	0.01	50%	-0.32	79.1	8.94%	0	3.5	73	0
4	Mar_5_2015	28682.53	17658.05	18257.35	18344.98	18335.89	19137.41	19387.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	5165	300	6072	2444	0	42%	-0.46	60.7	8.51%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Mar_4_2015	28815.73	17438.65	18142.08	17924.98	17667.1	18506.25	19525(5.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6253	290	7354	2950	0.01	42%	-0.48	44.6	8.57%	0	1.7	58	0

6	Mar_3_2015	28954.4	17252.75	17906.69	17554.98	17187.41	17534.38	18587.5(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3586	80	4218	1689	0.01	42%	-0.54	44.7	8.55%	0	1.1	59	0
7	Mar_2_2015	29111.69	17067.37	17879.52	17584.98	17162.41	16827.95	17712.5(7.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1340	-210	-1580	-620	0.01	42%	-0.64	39.8	8.52%	0	0.5	61	0
8	Feb_27_2015	29299.84	16944.38	17803.7	17719.98	17589.76	16840.45	16512.38(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4322	-320	-5088	-2022	0.01	45%	-0.6	36.4	9.5%	0	-0.3	51	0
9	Feb_26_2015	29477.45	16957.98	17882.97	18140	18105.47	17496.88	17287.5(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4442	-240	-5235	-2062	0.01	45%	-0.47	51.6	9.57%	0	0.3	66	0
10	Feb_25_2015	29617.42	16892.64	17935.16	18360	18371.09	18339.06	17675(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1612	-10	-1910	-717	0.01	43%	-0.77	59.7	9.58%	0	0.6	64	0

11	Feb_24_2015	29846.2	16732.76	17869.42	18275	18356.24	18714.06	18737.5(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2002	150	2340	986	0.01	43%	-0.6	54.7	9.67%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Feb_23_2015	30024.85	16578.31	17590.49	18217.5	18120.31	18403.13	18387.5(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2076	90	2426	1025	0.01	43%	-0.7	56.5	9.68%	0	1.3	65	0
13	Feb_20_2015	30235.65	16478.12	17430.08	17905	18013.27	17998.42	18612.5(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1734	10	2024	865	0.01	43%	-0.53	47.9	9.69%	0	1.7	64	0
14	Feb_19_2015	30397.24	16305.66	17023.6	17597.5	17628.9	17837.49	18387.5(6.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-424	90	-511	-163	0.01	47%	-0.57	20.1	9.73%	0	1.7	56	0
15	Feb_18_2015	30572.63	16135.54	16680.38	17465	17477.34	18028.13	17250(-6.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3034	220	3559	1460	0.01	44%	-0.62	-3.8	9.91%	0	1	56	0

16	Feb_17_2015	30762.48	15990.16	16544.92	17392.5	17314.84	17420.31	18450(9.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3045	30	3570	1469	0.01	44%	-0.57	-21.5	10.03%	0	2.2	65	0
17	Feb_13_2015	30937.35	15851.14	16171.73	16875	16946.09	16926.56	16825(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-796	0	-944	-351	0	41%	-0.47	-59.1	10.11%	0	1	55	0
18	Feb_12_2015	31083.87	15889.25	16004.18	16872.5	16792.96	17209.38	17075(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1606	160	1883	775	0.01	41%	-0.48	-78.5	10.14%	0	1.1	52	0
19	Feb_11_2015	31234.13	16070.08	15947.94	16337.5	16564.84	16965.61	17725(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3921	210	4608	1859	0.01	39%	-0.42	-65.3	10.13%	0	1	59	0
20	Feb_10_2015	31365.31	16177.89	15745.99	15777.5	15992.96	16376.55	16887.5(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1857	210	2182	880	0.01	43%	-0.48	-67.4	10.21%	0	0.4	57	0

21	Feb_9_2015	31517.5	16239.44	15488.65	15580	15605.47	16164.06	15862.5(-5.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2542	260	2989	1199	0.01	43%	-0.46	-83	10.44%	0	-0.2	58	0
22	Feb_6_2015	31663.12	16458.05	15474.59	15365	15490.63	15609.38	16812.5(16.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2791	80	3284	1312	0.01	38%	-0.37	-90.4	10.83%	0	0.2	54	0
23	Feb_5_2015	31780	16776.77	15427.12	15030	15244.02	15046.88	14400(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1971	-50	-2315	-939	0.01	37%	-0.41	-84	10.65%	0	-0.9	40	0
24	Feb_4_2015	31910.67	17187.09	15531.35	15495	15522.24	15371.88	14925(-6.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1370	-60	-1605	-665	0.01	39%	-0.34	-83.6	10.76%	0	-0.8	35	0
25	Feb_3_2015	32019.05	17523.05	15561.81	15695	15981.61	15441.17	15900(7.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-823	-180	-958	-418	0.01	37%		-93.5	10.86%	0	-0.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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