Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $14287.5000 (-10.49%) ($14012.5000 - $15112.5000) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.49% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $14287.5000(-10.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -22.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(21%)    TBT(16%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-45%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.745% (StdDev 11.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

Resistance Level   $25589.92
5 Day Moving Average   $18025(-20.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19640.58(-27.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25589.92(-44.17%)
To recent high   -77.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.13%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.13% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 26.34% (three month std-dev: 11.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next day return: -10.49%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.15%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 9.66%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.02%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2015	32858.74	25589.92	19640.58	18025	17461.73	15545.33	14287.5(-10.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-9222	-860	-10814	-4445	0.01	46%	-0.15	-58.4	11.49%	0	-1.7	20	0
2	Jan_16_2015	32907.45	26465.19	20797.94	18852.5	18595.32	17348.45	15962.5(-10.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9051	-510	-10614	-4363	0.01	47%	-0.11	-57.9	11.43%	0	-1.6	26	0
3	Jan_15_2015	32943.66	27465.42	22010.22	19787.5	19253.13	19378.13	17925(-16.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3745	-40	-4371	-1865	0.01	47%	-0.07	-56.9	11.35%	0	-1.5	26	0
4	Jan_14_2015	32967.89	28646.7	23265.97	21002.5	20129.69	19842.19	21412.5(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1212	-220	1459	469	0.01	49%	0.04	-46.8	11.17%	0	-1.2	27	0
5	Jan_13_2015	32954.49	29567.73	24141.14	21310	20775.78	19128.13	20537.5(11.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7022	-630	-8226	-3409	0.01	49%	-0.03	-38.6	11.16%	0	-1.4	26	0

6	Jan_12_2015	32964.54	30242.49	25438.75	21570	21686.72	20417.19	18425(-10.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10155	-390	-11914	-4877	0.01	47%	-0.06	-37.7	11.09%	0	-1.8	32	0
7	Jan_9_2015	32985.03	30959.38	26818.01	23042.5	22742.97	22423.44	20637.5(-14.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5135	-140	-6012	-2502	0.01	49%	0.01	-35.8	11.04%	0	-1.7	36	0
8	Jan_8_2015	32982.97	31510.21	28223.42	24555	24063.28	22956.25	24000(4.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4701	-380	-5505	-2287	0.01	48%	0.15	-33.1	10.96%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	Jan_7_2015	32933.48	31776.4	29558.72	25920.03	25893.75	23062.5	22950(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12679	-770	-14894	-6033	0.01	49%	0.12	-31.2	11.31%	0	-1.7	28	0
10	Jan_6_2015	32893.92	32309.83	30950.65	27455.03	27992.2	25170.31	21837.5(-15.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17623	-650	-20713	-8352	0.01	49%	0.1	-22.5	11.37%	0	-2.2	29	0

11	Jan_5_2015	32860.03	32933.63	32061.61	29887.53	29912.51	28725	25787.5(-8.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11493	-280	-13506	-5453	0	50%	0.22	-15.4	11.24%	0	-1.8	45	0
12	Jan_2_2015	32788.38	33242.02	32668.53	31120.03	31488.29	30814.08	28200(-8.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1824	-110	-2133	-895	0.01	52%	0.78	-6.5	11.3%	0	-1.4	50	0
13	Dec_31_2014	32533.52	33395.9	33437.65	32412.53	31812.5	31100.02	30825.13(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6827	-210	-8024	-3234	0	52%	0.41	5.8	11.26%	0	-0.7	55	0
14	Dec_30_2014	32399.85	33441.21	34492.03	33792.5	33050.78	32162.5	30625(-9.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4411	-250	-5191	-2071	0	52%	0.38	15.5	11.26%	0	-0.8	59	0
15	Dec_29_2014	32278.04	33404.48	35434.31	35010	34392.62	32524.99	34000(6.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5946	-430	-7003	-2774	0	52%	0.47	22.6	11.2%	0	0.2	55	0

16	Dec_26_2014	32126.12	33562.33	35404.15	34585	34651.21	33939.06	31950(-7.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8419	-140	-9912	-3940	0	53%	0.81	25.8	11.18%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Dec_24_2014	31867.15	33479.73	35435.49	34385	34477	36260.25	34662.5(-8.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5651	370	6641	2681	0	53%	0.45	17.5	11.06%	0	0.3	58	0
18	Dec_23_2014	31725.73	33198.11	35061.43	34577.5	33523.09	35363.36	37725(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9344	290	10985	4421	0	53%	0.53	16.8	11.01%	0	1.2	62	0
19	Dec_22_2014	31556.92	32916.83	34128.43	35407.5	33939.23	32693.75	36712.5(15.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1248	-380	1459	615	0	54%	0.52	21	11.02%	0	1	60	0
20	Dec_19_2014	31392.4	32631.03	33703.27	36087.5	35086.89	31682.81	31875(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17113	-760	-20146	-8012	0	53%	0.35	19.6	10.89%	0	-0.2	58	0

21	Dec_18_2014	31284.07	32652.23	33857.58	36370	36562.67	35184.72	30950(-13.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12879	-250	-15164	-6023	0	53%	0.36	5.2	10.91%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	Dec_17_2014	31171.57	32845.7	33914.53	36467.5	36566.58	38490.97	35625(-14.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6438	380	7560	3071	0	55%	0.53	-4.6	10.77%	0	0.8	61	0
23	Dec_16_2014	31006.16	32567.34	33401.63	35407.5	34771.88	37940.63	41875(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	19331	580	22730	9133	0	57%	0.76	-28.9	10.6%	0	2.6	67	0
24	Dec_15_2014	30773.33	32160.94	32250.57	32640	32243.76	34642.19	40112.5(20.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	17392	480	20458	8194	0	57%	0.69	-79.7	10.6%	0	2.7	60	0
25	Dec_12_2014	30561.97	31944.25	31085.53	31147.5	30083.6	31603.13	33287.5(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6927	250	8151	3253	0	55%		-112.2	10.32%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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