Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $35625.0000 (-14.93%) ($34525.0000 - $41452.7500) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.77% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $35625.0000(-14.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(20%)    TBT(16%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-4%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-62%)    GDXJ(-47%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.385% (StdDev 10.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -12.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36467.5(-2.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33914.53(5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32845.7(8.46%)
To recent high   -43.4%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.93% (three month std-dev: 10.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2014	31171.57	32845.7	33914.53	36467.5	36566.58	38490.97	35625(-14.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6438	380	7560	3071	0	55%	0.53	-4.6	10.77%	0	0.8	61	0
2	Dec_16_2014	31006.16	32567.34	33401.63	35407.5	34771.88	37940.63	41875(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	19331	580	22730	9133	0	57%	0.76	-28.9	10.6%	0	2.6	67	0
3	Dec_15_2014	30773.33	32160.94	32250.57	32640	32243.76	34642.19	40112.5(20.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	17392	480	20458	8194	0	57%	0.69	-79.7	10.6%	0	2.7	60	0
4	Dec_12_2014	30561.97	31944.25	31085.53	31147.5	30083.6	31603.13	33287.5(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6927	250	8151	3253	0	55%	0.41	-112.2	10.32%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Dec_11_2014	30437.1	32467.06	31434.03	31122.5	30209.38	29845.33	31437.5(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4039	-170	4751	1902	0.01	55%	0.38	-85.9	10.31%	0	-0.3	53	0

6	Dec_10_2014	30321.06	33009.11	31280.96	31015	30712.3	28564.08	30325(8.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8959	-520	-10538	-4223	0.01	55%	0.35	-90.6	10.31%	0	-0.6	48	0
7	Dec_9_2014	30214.12	33632.64	31155.34	31028.5	30984.95	30573.44	28037.5(-14.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10336	-100	-12157	-4873	0	55%	0.3	-92	10.29%	0	-1.1	52	0
8	Dec_8_2014	30124.09	34673.05	31633.95	31663.5	31341.51	32860.52	32650(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7109	310	8366	3338	0	58%	0.45	-77.4	10.14%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Dec_5_2014	29987.85	35134.18	31488.41	30958.5	30955.56	31396.45	33162.5(7.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7449	100	8771	3483	0	58%	0.48	-87.3	10.2%	0	-0.3	48	0
10	Dec_4_2014	29844.17	36179.59	31363.08	31866	30594.84	29822.5	30900(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6626	-300	-7784	-3151	0	59%	0.35	-66.6	10.18%	0	-0.7	39	0

11	Dec_3_2014	29740.25	37674.86	31731.82	31631	32083.12	30514.67	30392.5(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3356	-300	-3933	-1625	0	59%	0.29	-47	10.24%	0	-0.8	41	0
12	Dec_2_2014	29654.09	38940.92	31737.03	31290	32005.46	31367.17	31212.5(7.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9039	-70	-10613	-4318	0	60%	0.38	-38	10.23%	0	-0.8	41	0
13	Dec_1_2014	29541.09	39925.19	32100.26	31565	31816.48	33651.56	29125(-22.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3697	430	4376	1661	0	60%	0.36	-32.8	10.26%	0	-1.1	35	0
14	Nov_28_2014	29434.39	41390.5	32897.53	31997.5	31998.52	32643.75	37700(26.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14824	140	17468	6891	0	64%	0.96	-22.6	9.82%	0	-0.4	49	0
15	Nov_26_2014	29153.8	41988.29	33476.86	30894	30720.39	29981.41	29725(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8360	-190	-9799	-4043	0	60%	0.31	-20.5	9.24%	0	-1.2	32	0

16	Nov_25_2014	29063.43	42632.34	34784.29	31924	31449.98	31353.28	28687.5(-11.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2032	-70	-2351	-1076	0	61%	0.24	-17.1	9.28%	0	-1.4	28	0
17	Nov_24_2014	28993.05	43136.85	36263.68	32209	31999.91	31459.38	32587.5(4.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-167	-140	-153	-208	0	62%	0.13	-16.2	9.15%	0	-1.1	35	0
18	Nov_21_2014	28956.74	43533.72	37906.27	32714	31899.91	31546.69	31287.5(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8843	-150	-10361	-4287	0	63%	0.37	-12.8	9.15%	0	-1.3	39	0
19	Nov_20_2014	28849.42	43913.11	39060.08	33904	33401.47	32540.44	32182.5(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5695	-220	-6656	-2813	0	63%	0.4	-9.4	9.16%	0	-1.3	36	0
20	Nov_19_2014	28733.81	44227.08	41361.21	36525	35907.81	32253.13	34875(15.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17075	-760	-20051	-8148	0.01	63%	0.48	0	9.09%	0	-1	45	0

21	Nov_18_2014	28596.19	44426.61	44039.07	38202.5	38631.25	34262.5	30112.5(-14.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33305	-760	-39155	-15756	0	62%	0.33	7.8	8.91%	0	-1.6	49	0
22	Nov_17_2014	28502.12	44746.51	46758.19	40890	41422.66	39562.5	35112.5(-5.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22694	-280	-26683	-10727	0	64%	0.47	17.6	8.71%	0	-1.1	56	0
23	Nov_14_2014	28370.05	44775.86	48470.82	43837.5	43435.93	43000	37237.5(-17.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5037	-100	-5920	-2386	0.01	64%	0.54	28.1	8.66%	0	-0.9	55	0
24	Nov_13_2014	28216.52	44797.12	50692.42	44867.5	44671.87	43282.81	45287.5(4.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5860	-230	-6900	-2741	0	67%	0.82	31.4	8.32%	0	0.1	61	0
25	Nov_12_2014	27986.84	44224.7	51243.05	47002.5	45600.77	43871.86	43262.5(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21596	-350	-25424	-10112	0	66%		37.6	8.32%	0	-0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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