Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $25100.0000 (5.68%) ($24075.0000 - $25512.5000) on Wed. Sep. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.29% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $25100.0000(5.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    VIXM(1%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-6%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-49%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.645% (StdDev 5.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23877.5(5.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22109.73(13.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20821.08(20.55%)
To recent high   -23.8%
To recent low   41.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 10.1% (three month std-dev: 5.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.07%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.45%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.29%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 11.95%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.99%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2014	24971.42	20821.08	22109.73	23877.5	24022.2	24622.53	25100(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7120	190	8345	3444	0	46%	-0.24	68.4	5.29%	0	2	71	INF
2	Sep_9_2014	25030.34	20442.46	21591.92	23035	23274.55	24189.72	23750(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10678	310	12537	5102	0	45%	-0.34	53.8	5.29%	0	1.7	69	INF
3	Sep_8_2014	25116.57	20178.17	21340.63	22455	22345.32	23421.88	24875(10.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12857	320	15100	6127	0	45%	-0.01	42.5	5.27%	0	2.6	75	INF
4	Sep_5_2014	25119.06	19867.33	20859.2	21282.5	21467.2	22359.39	22600(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	13493	320	15856	6404	0	41%	-0.38	25.4	5.1%	0	1.9	69	INF
5	Sep_4_2014	25215.46	19683.05	20625.22	20657.5	20591.41	21268.77	23062.5(10.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	8536	220	10026	4064	0	41%	-0.32	7.8	5.13%	0	2.6	73	INF

6	Sep_3_2014	25297.29	19474.98	20223.13	20100	20035.15	20575	20887.5(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6394	180	7509	3050	0	38%	-0.38	-7.8	4.94%	0	1.4	70	INF
7	Sep_2_2014	25393.3	19448.83	20048.46	19945	19900.77	19914.05	20850(9.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3669	-0	4302	1771	0	38%	-0.47	-6.2	4.94%	0	1.4	70	INF
8	Aug_29_2014	25512.76	19440.32	19823.41	20077.5	19889.84	19495.3	19012.5(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5760	-170	-6794	-2659	0	34%	-0.37	7.1	4.76%	0	-0.4	54	INF
9	Aug_28_2014	25607.27	19508.14	19825.16	20357.5	20313.28	19887.5	19475(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4655	-150	-5497	-2130	0	34%	-0.29	19.5	4.76%	0	-0	53	INF
10	Aug_27_2014	25682.02	19583.37	19722.88	20550	20523.44	20284.38	20275(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4162	-90	-4917	-1895	0	38%	-0.28	25.7	4.8%	0	0.6	57	INF

11	Aug_26_2014	25754.97	19555.03	19482.09	20335	20553.12	20739.06	20112.5(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1521	100	1773	763	0	38%	-0.37	19.9	5.02%	0	0.5	56	INF
12	Aug_25_2014	25851.28	19510.34	19251.7	20135	20217.96	20762.5	21512.5(5.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6166	200	7245	2929	0	40%	-0.32	12.6	5%	0	1.9	52	INF
13	Aug_22_2014	25934.82	19368.02	18945.88	19542.5	19671.34	20367.17	20412.5(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	7966	270	9372	3746	0	38%	-0.39	-4.6	4.95%	0	1.1	43	INF
14	Aug_21_2014	26035.84	19301.83	18795.44	19227.5	19282.28	19673.42	20437.5(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7645	150	9001	3578	0	38%	-0.36	-13.2	4.96%	0	1.1	48	INF
15	Aug_20_2014	26130.87	19311.32	18644.97	18792.5	18958.85	18975.52	19200(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2125	30	2514	956	0	35%	-0.5	-16.8	4.88%	0	-0.1	35	INF

16	Aug_19_2014	26262.5	19346.5	18638.32	18502.5	18691.66	18891.14	19112.5(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1094	110	1306	459	0	35%	-0.51	-28	4.88%	0	-0.2	46	INF
17	Aug_18_2014	26397.07	19377.47	18767.77	18225	18395.2	18942.19	18550(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5099	240	6018	2341	0	35%	-0.46	-45.3	4.86%	0	-0.8	47	INF
18	Aug_15_2014	26519.64	19412.76	18995.22	18252.5	18170.2	18492.19	18837.5(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5557	110	6553	2567	0	35%	-0.49	-49.7	4.87%	0	-0.6	52	INF
19	Aug_14_2014	26650.89	19434	19142.91	18307.5	18179.57	18492.19	18262.5(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1282	-150	-1495	-644	0	35%	-0.56	-46.1	4.89%	0	-1.2	46	INF
20	Aug_13_2014	26801.02	19477.44	19423.87	18490	18422.54	17848.2	17750(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7976	-230	-9372	-3788	0	35%	-0.44	-46.4	4.88%	0	-1.8	34	INF

21	Aug_12_2014	26920.15	19624.81	19648.1	18792.5	18841.48	18510.94	17725(-5.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6095	-110	-7162	-2895	0.01	35%	-0.46	-30.6	4.89%	0	-1.9	41	INF
22	Aug_11_2014	27044.26	19831.09	19828.98	19380	19196.95	18996.88	18687.5(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4199	-100	-4936	-1988	0	36%	-0.29	-10.6	4.87%	0	-1.3	47	INF
23	Aug_8_2014	27122.58	19903.72	19867.03	19845	19704.77	19172.03	19112.5(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4456	-210	-5243	-2096	0	36%	-0.28	-4.3	4.86%	0	-0.9	53	INF
24	Aug_7_2014	27197.7	19887.93	19890.41	20107.5	20178.2	19397.03	19175(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8747	-260	-10294	-4107	0	39%	-0.28	-6.6	4.86%	0	-0.8	53	INF
25	Aug_6_2014	27272.83	19932.67	20063.52	20502.5	20443.75	20237.5	19262.5(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7969	-80	-9386	-3719	0	39%		2	4.95%	0	-0.8	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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