Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $32200.0000 (0.78%) ($31262.5000 - $34062.3800) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.11% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $32200.0000(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(22%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-2%)    XLF(-3%)    XHB(-5%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
GDX(-97%)    SIL(-90%)    GLD(-74%)    SLV(-63%)    GDXJ(-50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.055% (StdDev 6.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30765.25(4.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29624.48(8.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30186.35(6.67%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   54.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.44% (three month std-dev: 6.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.47%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.33%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2014	38186.34	30186.35	29624.48	30765.25	31291.48	31857.95	32200(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10099	180	11880	4757	0	47%	-0.55	83.1	6.11%	0	1.2	48	NAN
2	Apr_17_2014	38395.98	29903.05	29340.63	30220.25	30268.84	31020.47	31951.25(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4730	180	5567	2219	0	44%	-0.64	79	6.15%	0	1.1	54	NAN
3	Apr_16_2014	38644.66	29635.44	29134.37	29485	29621.65	30725	31000(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11778	270	13864	5520	0	44%	-0.69	79.7	6.23%	0	0.7	47	NAN
4	Apr_15_2014	38914.45	29420.68	28980.44	28645	28757.59	29517.2	30200(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10245	200	12067	4777	0	44%	-0.6	65.8	6.23%	0	0.3	41	NAN
5	Apr_14_2014	39150.13	29126.15	29125.19	28090	27917.74	28518.3	28475(-3.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3934	130	4644	1805	0	46%	-0.64	48.4	6.19%	0	-0.3	50	NAN

6	Apr_11_2014	39400.39	28881.27	29485.49	28305	27826.22	27997.97	29475(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3793	-10	4475	1748	0	44%	-0.56	39	6.3%	0	0.2	51	NAN
7	Apr_10_2014	39622.66	28489.1	29585.55	28350	28020.98	27317.19	28275(5.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4099	-210	-4813	-1956	0	42%	-0.54	30.1	6.32%	0	-0.1	59	NAN
8	Apr_9_2014	39836.59	28172.57	29925	28757.5	28471.77	27654.47	26800(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10285	-230	-12097	-4849	0	42%	-0.45	29.4	6.39%	0	-0.4	56	NAN
9	Apr_8_2014	40014.71	28013.85	30552.2	29347.5	29263.17	28724.78	27425(-7.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5658	-140	-6662	-2647	0	42%	-0.43	32.4	6.43%	0	-0.2	57	NAN
10	Apr_7_2014	40188.67	27919.94	30803.02	30282.5	29748.44	29289.06	29550(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5866	-160	-6917	-2714	0	44%	-0.31	40.1	6.41%	0	0.4	71	NAN

11	Apr_4_2014	40315.51	27722.47	30861.73	30832.5	30371.09	29801.56	29700(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5303	-180	-6264	-2418	0	44%	-0.26	46	6.36%	0	0.5	74	NAN
12	Apr_3_2014	40422.02	27488.14	30586.73	31005	31021.56	30207.81	30312.5(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5554	-180	-6567	-2515	0	44%	-0.34	45.9	6.41%	0	0.8	79	NAN
13	Apr_2_2014	40559.65	27149.9	30245.88	31282.5	31202.78	30940.63	29750(-7.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8572	-70	-10126	-3909	0	41%	-0.37	45.9	6.41%	0	0.7	77	NAN
14	Apr_1_2014	40709.91	26878.45	29965.27	31927.5	31873.8	31835.31	32100(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3392	-10	3939	1749	0	43%	-0.24	50.9	6.53%	0	1.4	74	NAN
15	Mar_31_2014	40805.87	26519.89	29168.65	31392.5	31634.74	31464.94	32300(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-508	-10	-646	-95	0	43%	-0.23	50.5	6.58%	0	1.7	65	NAN

16	Mar_28_2014	40900.92	26122.42	28244.67	30910	31031.94	31912.3	30562.5(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3207	210	3729	1642	0	45%	-0.29	52.4	6.62%	0	1.4	62	NAN
17	Mar_27_2014	41020.72	25872.08	27316.7	30070	30390.48	31804.55	31700(-3.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16877	360	19819	8049	0	45%	-0.19	50.5	6.67%	0	1.9	65	NAN
18	Mar_26_2014	41099.62	25545.17	26266.98	29025	28741.34	30151.58	32975(12.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11732	310	13774	5605	0.01	45%	-0.19	47.9	6.66%	0	2.7	71	NAN
19	Mar_25_2014	41179.83	25131.02	25211.15	27737.5	27645.16	28976.42	29425(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14597	330	17153	6930	0	42%	-0.25	40	6.45%	0	2	63	NAN
20	Mar_24_2014	41282.43	24875.07	24736.21	26615	26702.19	27331.09	29887.5(13.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11559	170	13586	5478	0.01	40%	-0.33	27.7	6.51%	0	2.6	60	NAN

21	Mar_21_2014	41419.67	24547.11	24232.86	25207.5	25453.05	26313.91	26362.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	5603	270	6587	2651	0	36%	-0.3	4.5	6.27%	0	1.2	55	NAN
22	Mar_20_2014	41545.07	24426.48	24062.23	24110	24480.47	26073.28	26475(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	15964	500	18785	7502	0	36%	-0.19	-23.4	6.32%	0	1.4	51	NAN
23	Mar_19_2014	41623.84	24301.12	23740.82	23050	22994.61	24592.19	26537.5(11.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	14755	480	17371	6906	0.01	36%	-0.24	-59.1	6.32%	0	1.4	51	NAN
24	Mar_18_2014	41722.8	24299.1	23484.73	22332.5	22178.2	22887.66	23812.5(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10479	200	12347	4875	0.01	33%	-0.24	-77.8	6.15%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
25	Mar_17_2014	41821.11	24350.97	23623.93	22615	22130.55	21397.03	22850(9.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3675	-300	-4307	-1780	0.01	33%		-90.7	6.16%	0	-1	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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