Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $40675.0000 (3.56%) ($39737.5000 - $42049.8800) on Tue. Nov. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.61% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $40675.0000(3.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWI(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    PCY(-25%)    TIP(-24%)    LQD(-24%)    EEM(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.805% (StdDev 9.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $41841.27
5 Day Moving Average   $39090(4.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37383.51(8.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41841.27(-2.79%)
To recent high   -38.7%
To recent low   47.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 15.86% (three month std-dev: 9.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2013	49519.1	41841.27	37383.51	39090	40115.62	40537.49	40675(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1273	150	1505	576	0	44%	-0.29	-26.7	9.61%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
2	Nov_4_2013	49663.93	42228.46	36873.9	38162.5	38682.03	41109.38	39275(-8.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9964	480	11738	4643	0	44%	-0.32	-28.5	9.6%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
3	Nov_1_2013	49825.86	42510.96	36983.67	36957.5	37287.5	39693.75	43062.5(12.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20860	480	24564	9748	0	46%	-0.19	-32	9.57%	0	0.1	41	NAN
4	Oct_31_2013	49922.45	42676.9	36941.01	35130	35186.71	36254.69	38400(12.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7993	220	9434	3670	0	44%	-0.32	-36	9.53%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
5	Oct_30_2013	50082.99	43087.74	37354.46	34410	34480.46	34881.25	34037.5(-5.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3114	90	3698	1361	0	41%	-0.43	-36.9	9.4%	0	-1.4	33	NAN

6	Oct_29_2013	50299.47	43692.75	39006.72	35449.75	34590.62	34118.74	36037.5(8.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1892	-170	-2195	-984	0	41%	-0.3	-32.1	9.37%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
7	Oct_28_2013	50448.65	44209.69	40232.05	35412.25	35341.32	34079.67	33250(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7044	-260	-8256	-3409	0	41%	-0.35	-31.7	9.32%	0	-1.8	32	NAN
8	Oct_25_2013	50625.1	44750.98	42209.08	36982.25	36265.39	35062.5	33925(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12273	-290	-14414	-5851	0	41%	-0.22	-27.2	9.33%	0	-2	41	NAN
9	Oct_24_2013	50738.3	45231.79	44184.02	39012.25	38177.11	36602.97	34800(-11.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9534	-350	-11198	-4543	0	44%	-0.24	-17.7	9.34%	0	-2.1	39	NAN
10	Oct_23_2013	50860.64	45676.04	45804.79	40714.75	40218.52	37468.28	39236.25(9.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14537	-520	-17088	-6882	0	46%	-0.17	-1.2	9.39%	0	-1.4	44	NAN

11	Oct_22_2013	50945.95	45802.95	46757.6	43170.25	41758.44	39751.25	35850(-12.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23670	-430	-27839	-11163	0	41%	-0.18	24.9	9.4%	0	-2.3	41	NAN
12	Oct_21_2013	51039.89	46206.76	48184.96	45767.75	45114.92	42968.75	41100(-6.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9740	-380	-11457	-4587	0	43%	-0.16	48.2	9.55%	0	-1.3	47	NAN
13	Oct_18_2013	51124.23	46305.59	48675.35	48227.75	47430.55	43765.63	44075(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21625	-590	-25446	-10162	0	41%	-0.06	63.4	9.64%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
14	Oct_17_2013	51152.51	46138.25	49025.08	50157.75	49778.98	47261.09	43312.5(-15.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22911	-380	-26965	-10748	0	41%	-0.25	62.5	9.64%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
15	Oct_16_2013	51282.56	45729.74	49431.4	51575.25	52051.26	51095.47	51513.75(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-4581	-100	-5406	-2106	0	41%	-0.27	50.3	9.49%	0	1	71	NAN

16	Oct_15_2013	51419.04	44727.86	48817.2	50897.5	51759.81	52296.88	48837.5(-8.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1671	120	-1983	-735	0	41%	-0.05	41.2	9.68%	0	0.7	71	NAN
17	Oct_14_2013	51445.38	44381.77	48524.09	50922.5	51216.06	53007.05	53400(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	11821	260	13888	5620	0	41%	-0.21	44.7	9.62%	0	1.7	74	NAN
18	Oct_11_2013	51552.91	43889.86	47437.69	49197.5	49738.71	51222.74	53725(6.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13109	240	15406	6216	0	38%	-0.14	47.2	9.65%	0	2	75	NAN
19	Oct_10_2013	51626.51	43327.91	46234.75	47817.5	47781.28	49425.06	50400(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6721	240	7894	3203	0	38%	-0.23	53.8	10%	0	1.6	75	NAN
20	Oct_9_2013	51747.81	43021.56	45394.4	47025	47101.56	48254.69	48125(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11628	180	13665	5518	0	38%	-0.33	62	9.99%	0	1.2	82	NAN

21	Oct_8_2013	51919.3	42557.56	44642.17	46447.5	46080.47	46137.5	48962.5(9.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	2556	-20	2988	1259	0	38%	-0.24	67.9	9.99%	0	1.5	86	NAN
22	Oct_7_2013	52043.02	42076.94	43954.97	45780	45401.56	45948.44	44775(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-486	60	-589	-175	0	38%	-0.57	72.6	9.95%	0	0.7	57	NAN
23	Oct_4_2013	52343.28	41637.55	43691.24	45340	45472.66	46023.44	46825(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7534	90	8847	3593	0	40%	-0.37	68.3	10.02%	0	1.2	55	NAN
24	Oct_3_2013	52538.88	41027.26	42989.04	44365	44467.19	44854.69	46437.5(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2352	70	2755	1144	0	40%	-0.39	64.9	10.1%	0	1.3	56	NAN
25	Oct_2_2013	52745.32	40510.09	41748.32	43502.5	43428.91	44921.88	45237.5(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5431	240	6384	2573	0	43%		60.8	10.11%	0	1.1	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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