Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $42425.0000 (0.83%) ($41193.7500 - $45198.7500) on Tue. Sep. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.78% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $42425.0000(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    IWM(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    TIP(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.39% (StdDev 10.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37697.5(12.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40283.78(5.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37578.87(12.9%)
To recent high   -59%
To recent low   53.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 12.38% (three month std-dev: 10.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2013	53475.87	37578.87	40283.78	37697.5	38482.03	42146.88	42425(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14759	730	17361	6953	0.01	45%	-0.24	43.6	10.78%	0	1	65	0
2	Sep_23_2013	53602.21	36858.82	40004.93	37652.5	36880.16	39365	42075(5.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16576	410	19496	7816	0	45%	-0.25	36.7	10.91%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Sep_20_2013	53734.29	36175.27	39382.3	38180	37368.75	34817.19	39825(18.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1795	-540	-2119	-823	0.01	48%	-0.29	36.9	10.89%	0	0.7	61	0
4	Sep_19_2013	53892.9	35732.64	38894.11	38947	38839.92	34395.31	33537.5(9.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28852	-810	-33953	-13547	0.01	47%	-0.4	43.9	10.98%	0	-0.4	56	0
5	Sep_18_2013	54110.51	35696.9	39256.66	41309.5	42054.61	39920.31	30625(-27.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-17238	-300	-20298	-8059	0.01	47%	-0.39	56.1	10.98%	0	-1	51	0

6	Sep_17_2013	54322.82	35655.14	39647.52	42995	43874.14	43284.53	42200(-5.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1621	-30	-1932	-689	0	50%	-0.22	52.9	10.49%	0	1.2	72	0
7	Sep_16_2013	54441.68	35123.79	38785.32	42522.5	43043.05	44188.91	44712.5(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	1668	220	1935	867	0	50%	-0.22	45.9	10.46%	0	1.9	81	0
8	Sep_13_2013	54559.49	34373.04	37710.95	40710	41913.27	44463.75	43660(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16449	510	19325	7819	0	50%	-0.13	22.6	10.48%	0	2	78	0
9	Sep_12_2013	54629.86	33598.99	36612.27	38878	39443.22	41897.19	45350(16.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16149	480	18976	7668	0.01	50%	-0.15	-9.1	10.47%	0	2.8	72	0
10	Sep_11_2013	54712.2	33001.52	35366.02	37058	37047.91	39362.8	39052.5(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12757	440	14989	6061	0	49%	-0.49	-65.7	10.29%	0	1.8	63	0

11	Sep_10_2013	54984.3	33051.5	34574.75	35822.5	35864.94	36989.25	39837.5(11.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12420	220	14594	5897	0	49%	-0.4	-94.1	10.34%	0	1.9	70	0
12	Sep_9_2013	55207.55	32920.58	33351.59	34517.5	34597.68	34733.02	35650(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1350	30	1576	670	0	48%	-0.53	-124.1	10.24%	0	0.8	57	0
13	Sep_6_2013	55500.22	33348.6	32621.54	34247.5	34047.55	34740.63	34500(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1286	120	1503	636	0	49%	-0.6	-106.4	10.35%	0	0.3	59	0
14	Sep_5_2013	55832.67	33988.54	32251.68	33942.5	33993.42	34462.34	36250(10.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5193	100	6099	2476	0	49%	-0.68	-88.5	10.34%	0	0.4	64	0
15	Sep_4_2013	56216.51	35312.79	31800.49	33432.5	33738.73	33354.47	32875(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	692	-50	806	349	0	49%	-0.57	-50.2	10.26%	0	-0.3	48	0

16	Sep_3_2013	56536.85	36801.16	31380.91	33097.5	33180.22	33524.5	33312.5(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	345	80	406	163	0	49%	-0.39	-36.3	10.29%	0	-0.3	41	0
17	Aug_30_2013	56758.07	37875.33	31219.74	31950	32045.88	34123	34300(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9435	460	11106	4421	0.01	47%	-0.13	-32.8	10.28%	0	-0.3	46	0
18	Aug_29_2013	56829.53	38868.5	30796.92	30717.5	30387.98	32835.94	32975(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14355	530	16905	6706	0.01	45%	-0.12	-31.6	10.47%	0	-0.5	39	0
19	Aug_28_2013	56899.17	39796.27	30364.75	30300	29267.76	29968.75	33700(8.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8714	70	10277	4024	0.01	45%	-0.04	-31.1	10.6%	0	-0.5	37	0
20	Aug_27_2013	56920.04	40488.29	30404.02	30010	29018.54	27940.03	31200(13.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4144	-360	-4838	-2060	0.01	45%	-0.17	-32.2	10.55%	0	-0.8	27	0

21	Aug_26_2013	57014.43	41298.07	31333.96	29470	29676.43	28566.77	27575(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-7723	-240	-9041	-3767	0	44%	-0.2	-32.6	10.49%	0	-1.1	23	0
22	Aug_23_2013	57131.42	42280.45	32414.28	30358.75	30285.32	30097.05	28137.5(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3765	-50	-4382	-1912	0.01	44%	-0.19	-32.6	10.51%	0	-1.2	32	0
23	Aug_22_2013	57237.8	43180.64	34112.13	30806.25	30671.23	30786.09	30887.5(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2186	10	2619	885	0	44%	-0.2	-37.6	10.46%	0	-1.1	34	0
24	Aug_21_2013	57353.08	44010.31	35826.85	30372.5	30279.78	30473.59	32250(13.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1563	40	-1790	-880	0.01	44%	-0.09	-46.4	10.46%	0	-1.1	39	0
25	Aug_20_2013	57403.97	44849.94	38987.13	30913.75	30764.86	30556.36	28500(-10.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2880	-60	-3346	-1480	0	39%		-52.8	10.35%	0	-1.6	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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