Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $43660.0000 (-3.73%) ($43075.0000 - $46562.5000) on Fri. Sep. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.48% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $43660.0000(-3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 15.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    IWM(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    TIP(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.24% (StdDev 10.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $40710(7.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37710.95(15.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34373.04(27.02%)
To recent high   -57.8%
To recent low   58.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 13.58% (three month std-dev: 10.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.88%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2013	54559.49	34373.04	37710.95	40710	41913.27	44463.75	43660(-3.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16449	510	19325	7819	0	50%	-0.13	22.6	10.48%	0	2	78	NAN
2	Sep_12_2013	54629.86	33598.99	36612.27	38878	39443.22	41897.19	45350(16.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16149	480	18976	7668	0.01	50%	-0.15	-9.1	10.47%	0	2.8	72	NAN
3	Sep_11_2013	54712.2	33001.52	35366.02	37058	37047.91	39362.8	39052.5(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12757	440	14989	6061	0	49%	-0.49	-65.7	10.29%	0	1.8	63	NAN
4	Sep_10_2013	54984.3	33051.5	34574.75	35822.5	35864.94	36989.25	39837.5(11.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12420	220	14594	5897	0	49%	-0.4	-94.1	10.34%	0	1.9	70	NAN
5	Sep_9_2013	55207.55	32920.58	33351.59	34517.5	34597.68	34733.02	35650(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1350	30	1576	670	0	48%	-0.53	-124.1	10.24%	0	0.8	57	NAN

6	Sep_6_2013	55500.22	33348.6	32621.54	34247.5	34047.55	34740.63	34500(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1286	120	1503	636	0	49%	-0.6	-106.4	10.35%	0	0.3	59	NAN
7	Sep_5_2013	55832.67	33988.54	32251.68	33942.5	33993.42	34462.34	36250(10.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5193	100	6099	2476	0	49%	-0.68	-88.5	10.34%	0	0.4	64	NAN
8	Sep_4_2013	56216.51	35312.79	31800.49	33432.5	33738.73	33354.47	32875(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	692	-50	806	349	0	49%	-0.57	-50.2	10.26%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
9	Sep_3_2013	56536.85	36801.16	31380.91	33097.5	33180.22	33524.5	33312.5(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	345	80	406	163	0	49%	-0.39	-36.3	10.29%	0	-0.3	41	NAN
10	Aug_30_2013	56758.07	37875.33	31219.74	31950	32045.88	34123	34300(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9435	460	11106	4421	0.01	47%	-0.13	-32.8	10.28%	0	-0.3	46	NAN

11	Aug_29_2013	56829.53	38868.5	30796.92	30717.5	30387.98	32835.94	32975(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14355	530	16905	6706	0.01	45%	-0.12	-31.6	10.47%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
12	Aug_28_2013	56899.17	39796.27	30364.75	30300	29267.76	29968.75	33700(8.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8714	70	10277	4024	0.01	45%	-0.04	-31.1	10.6%	0	-0.5	37	NAN
13	Aug_27_2013	56920.04	40488.29	30404.02	30010	29018.54	27940.03	31200(13.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4144	-360	-4838	-2060	0.01	45%	-0.17	-32.2	10.55%	0	-0.8	27	NAN
14	Aug_26_2013	57014.43	41298.07	31333.96	29470	29676.43	28566.77	27575(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-7723	-240	-9041	-3767	0	44%	-0.2	-32.6	10.49%	0	-1.1	23	NAN
15	Aug_23_2013	57131.42	42280.45	32414.28	30358.75	30285.32	30097.05	28137.5(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3765	-50	-4382	-1912	0.01	44%	-0.19	-32.6	10.51%	0	-1.2	32	NAN

16	Aug_22_2013	57237.8	43180.64	34112.13	30806.25	30671.23	30786.09	30887.5(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2186	10	2619	885	0	44%	-0.2	-37.6	10.46%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
17	Aug_21_2013	57353.08	44010.31	35826.85	30372.5	30279.78	30473.59	32250(13.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1563	40	-1790	-880	0.01	44%	-0.09	-46.4	10.46%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
18	Aug_20_2013	57403.97	44849.94	38987.13	30913.75	30764.86	30556.36	28500(-10.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2880	-60	-3346	-1480	0	39%	-0.08	-52.8	10.35%	0	-1.6	39	NAN
19	Aug_19_2013	57450.24	45638.73	42560.48	33553.75	32698.06	30085.97	32018.75(5.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9395	-640	-11021	-4515	0.01	41%	-0.45	-57.5	10.49%	0	-1.4	42	NAN
20	Aug_16_2013	57709.75	46430.77	44999.49	34870.75	35070.27	30973.36	30375(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23664	-800	-27814	-11213	0.01	43%	-0.03	-65.5	10.59%	0	-1.7	41	NAN

21	Aug_15_2013	57726.26	47804.9	47598.46	37973.25	37655.31	35310.16	28718.75(-17.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24612	-460	-28937	-11636	0.01	45%	-0.05	-64.3	10.56%	0	-2	41	NAN
22	Aug_14_2013	57755.92	49646.45	50134.1	42042	41406.13	39167.19	34956.25(-16.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14495	-420	-17043	-6850	0.01	47%	0.03	-59.7	10.48%	0	-1.7	44	NAN
23	Aug_13_2013	57738.96	51129.56	51607.46	48322	45962.38	40000.47	41700(8.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30461	-1050	-35838	-14330	0	49%	0.16	-56.2	10.3%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
24	Aug_12_2013	57644.7	52026.37	52293.34	53070.75	52186.59	43645.06	38603.75(-15.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-48372	-1200	-56921	-22726	0	49%	0.13	-51.4	10.29%	0	-1.5	53	NAN
25	Aug_9_2013	57570.23	53620.65	53260.42	56616.26	57907.45	51924.28	45887.5(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41627	-650	-48993	-19528	0	51%		-49.9	10.1%	0	-0.9	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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