Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $34300.0000 (4.02%) ($32584.0000 - $35387.5000) on Fri. Aug. 30, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.28% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $34300.0000(4.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    QQQ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -5.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    TIP(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.14% (StdDev 10.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $37875.33
5 Day Moving Average   $31950(7.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31219.74(9.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37875.33(-9.44%)
To recent high   -66.9%
To recent low   24.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 31.75% (three month std-dev: 10.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2013	56758.07	37875.33	31219.74	31950	32045.88	34123	34300(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9435	460	11106	4421	0.01	47%	-0.13	-32.8	10.28%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
2	Aug_29_2013	56829.53	38868.5	30796.92	30717.5	30387.98	32835.94	32975(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14355	530	16905	6706	0.01	45%	-0.12	-31.6	10.47%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
3	Aug_28_2013	56899.17	39796.27	30364.75	30300	29267.76	29968.75	33700(8.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8714	70	10277	4024	0.01	45%	-0.04	-31.1	10.6%	0	-0.5	37	NAN
4	Aug_27_2013	56920.04	40488.29	30404.02	30010	29018.54	27940.03	31200(13.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4144	-360	-4838	-2060	0.01	45%	-0.17	-32.2	10.55%	0	-0.8	27	NAN
5	Aug_26_2013	57014.43	41298.07	31333.96	29470	29676.43	28566.77	27575(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-7723	-240	-9041	-3767	0	44%	-0.2	-32.6	10.49%	0	-1.1	23	NAN

6	Aug_23_2013	57131.42	42280.45	32414.28	30358.75	30285.32	30097.05	28137.5(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3765	-50	-4382	-1912	0.01	44%	-0.19	-32.6	10.51%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
7	Aug_22_2013	57237.8	43180.64	34112.13	30806.25	30671.23	30786.09	30887.5(-4.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2186	10	2619	885	0	44%	-0.2	-37.6	10.46%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
8	Aug_21_2013	57353.08	44010.31	35826.85	30372.5	30279.78	30473.59	32250(13.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1563	40	-1790	-880	0.01	44%	-0.09	-46.4	10.46%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
9	Aug_20_2013	57403.97	44849.94	38987.13	30913.75	30764.86	30556.36	28500(-10.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2880	-60	-3346	-1480	0	39%	-0.08	-52.8	10.35%	0	-1.6	39	NAN
10	Aug_19_2013	57450.24	45638.73	42560.48	33553.75	32698.06	30085.97	32018.75(5.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9395	-640	-11021	-4515	0.01	41%	-0.45	-57.5	10.49%	0	-1.4	42	NAN

11	Aug_16_2013	57709.75	46430.77	44999.49	34870.75	35070.27	30973.36	30375(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23664	-800	-27814	-11213	0.01	43%	-0.03	-65.5	10.59%	0	-1.7	41	NAN
12	Aug_15_2013	57726.26	47804.9	47598.46	37973.25	37655.31	35310.16	28718.75(-17.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24612	-460	-28937	-11636	0.01	45%	-0.05	-64.3	10.56%	0	-2	41	NAN
13	Aug_14_2013	57755.92	49646.45	50134.1	42042	41406.13	39167.19	34956.25(-16.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14495	-420	-17043	-6850	0.01	47%	0.03	-59.7	10.48%	0	-1.7	44	NAN
14	Aug_13_2013	57738.96	51129.56	51607.46	48322	45962.38	40000.47	41700(8.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30461	-1050	-35838	-14330	0	49%	0.16	-56.2	10.3%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
15	Aug_12_2013	57644.7	52026.37	52293.34	53070.75	52186.59	43645.06	38603.75(-15.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-48372	-1200	-56921	-22726	0	49%	0.13	-51.4	10.29%	0	-1.5	53	NAN

16	Aug_9_2013	57570.23	53620.65	53260.42	56616.26	57907.45	51924.28	45887.5(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41627	-650	-48993	-19528	0	51%	0.27	-49.9	10.1%	0	-0.9	55	NAN
17	Aug_8_2013	57414.81	54769.82	53304.51	58532.51	59726.57	60728.13	49062.5(-26.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11565	180	-13626	-5380	0	49%	0.28	-50.9	10.07%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
18	Aug_7_2013	57254.48	55590.48	53138.62	59138.76	59028.76	63890.63	66356.25(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33100	570	38925	15626	0	54%	0.6	-45.1	9.72%	0	1	50	NAN
19	Aug_6_2013	56915.45	56307.98	51184.17	55366.26	55031.11	58725.01	65443.75(16.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29663	450	34894	13969	0	54%	0.58	-46	9.77%	0	0.7	50	NAN
20	Aug_5_2013	56588.15	57100.67	48750.43	51645.01	51268.81	54166.9	56331.31(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18089	370	21291	8483	0	52%	0.41	-43.7	9.58%	0	-0.1	48	NAN

21	Aug_2_2013	56357.48	58557.43	47673.46	49575	49188.73	51337.2	55468.75(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18499	280	21784	8642	0	52%	0.39	-41.7	9.58%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
22	Aug_1_2013	56138.28	59863.08	47642.6	47405	47179.5	48370.72	52093.75(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7683	160	9067	3530	0	52%	0.31	-47.4	9.55%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
23	Jul_31_2013	55964.3	61024.99	48718.93	46240	46512.31	47040.25	47493.75(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4810	100	5689	2172	0	50%	0.28	-55	9.55%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
24	Jul_30_2013	55809.26	62647.78	50278.1	46341.25	46454.61	45988.27	46837.5(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	547	-60	678	153	0	50%	0.22	-56.8	9.58%	0	-1	29	NAN
25	Jul_29_2013	55687.83	63911.02	51492.46	45372.5	46245.96	45984.37	45981.25(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3857	20	-4497	-1938	0	50%		-63.9	9.6%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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