Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $52093.7500 (9.69%) ($46700.0000 - $52093.7500) on Thu. Aug. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.55% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $52093.7500(9.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -15.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    TIP(-25%)    PCY(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.775% (StdDev 9.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11%

Resistance Level   $59863.08
5 Day Moving Average   $47405(9.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47642.6(9.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59863.08(-12.98%)
To recent high   -49.7%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 25.34% (three month std-dev: 9.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2013	56138.28	59863.08	47642.6	47405	47179.5	48370.72	52093.75(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7683	160	9067	3530	0	52%	0.31	-47.4	9.55%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
2	Jul_31_2013	55964.3	61024.99	48718.93	46240	46512.31	47040.25	47493.75(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4810	100	5689	2172	0	50%	0.28	-55	9.55%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
3	Jul_30_2013	55809.26	62647.78	50278.1	46341.25	46454.61	45988.27	46837.5(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	547	-60	678	153	0	50%	0.22	-56.8	9.58%	0	-1	29	NAN
4	Jul_29_2013	55687.83	63911.02	51492.46	45372.5	46245.96	45984.37	45981.25(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3857	20	-4497	-1938	0	50%	0.21	-63.9	9.6%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
5	Jul_26_2013	55573.23	65477.3	53867.18	45433.75	46124.09	46920.94	44618.75(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1135	170	1379	404	0	52%	0.18	-66.8	9.61%	0	-1.4	25	NAN

6	Jul_25_2013	55475.33	68022.46	56335.6	47923.75	46367.84	46507.55	46268.75(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3429	-80	-3992	-1740	0	52%	0.23	-58.5	9.7%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
7	Jul_24_2013	55348.87	70836.01	58342.88	51693.75	49621.04	45327.23	48000(14.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15707	-730	-18440	-7509	0	49%	0.17	-42.5	9.71%	0	-1.4	37	NAN
8	Jul_23_2013	55254.48	72899.36	61915.96	54981.25	54083.98	46228.13	41993.75(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44047	-1070	-51786	-20828	0	47%	0.06	-32.6	9.83%	0	-2	29	NAN
9	Jul_22_2013	55220.17	75266.4	66271.74	58458.75	58237.5	53914.84	46287.5(-18.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45626	-530	-53651	-21549	0	47%	0.2	-21.1	9.8%	0	-2.1	39	NAN
10	Jul_19_2013	55108.81	76964.78	70532.62	63378.75	62383.2	61939.84	57068.75(-12.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9876	-100	-11601	-4702	0	50%	0.42	-5.9	9.51%	0	-1.7	42	NAN

11	Jul_18_2013	54879.48	78187.56	73240.89	65890	65024.32	62560.16	65118.75(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5362	-300	-6291	-2575	0	50%	0.61	10.9	9.4%	0	-1.2	37	NAN
12	Jul_17_2013	54544.66	78341.06	74405.33	66056.25	66551.27	62826.56	64437.5(8.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26322	-370	-30945	-12453	0	53%	0.64	16.2	9.47%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
13	Jul_16_2013	54198.93	78280.05	76054.53	70168.75	68545.8	67488.48	59381.25(-16.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25827	-180	-30366	-12210	0	53%	0.52	28.4	9.59%	0	-1.7	41	NAN
14	Jul_15_2013	53917.68	78294.6	77471.03	75355	73602.44	70275.98	70887.5(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6283	-390	-7375	-3006	0	59%	0.72	43.2	9.36%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
15	Jul_12_2013	53534.71	77677.82	78110.37	78886.25	77021.87	69603.13	69625(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40426	-750	-47548	-19059	0	61%	0.7	51.4	10.01%	0	-0.6	51	NAN

16	Jul_11_2013	53160.73	77002.9	80687.39	81700	80675	76928.91	65950(-22.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41097	-360	-48344	-19356	0	61%	0.6	58	10.22%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
17	Jul_10_2013	52841.53	76598.33	84403.12	83695	84623.05	84440.62	85000(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4935	20	5802	2335	0	67%	1.07	63.7	9.77%	0	0.6	65	NAN
18	Jul_9_2013	52282.6	75176.89	84686.43	82733.75	82766.79	84421.09	85312.5(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2985	140	3503	1431	0	65%	0.66	63.2	9.84%	0	0.7	68	NAN
19	Jul_8_2013	51942.09	73513.04	84833.72	79858.75	80979.68	84805.47	88543.75(5.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24024	370	28252	11341	0	65%	1.2	57.1	9.96%	0	1	71	NAN
20	Jul_5_2013	51328.62	71645.9	83708.6	77418.75	77757.03	81112.49	83693.75(10.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15578	320	18313	7372	0	65%	1.66	52.1	9.95%	0	0.8	70	NAN

21	Jul_3_2013	50491.02	69778.46	83321.17	79908.75	78278.9	77153.9	75925(-5.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1193	-160	-1428	-488	0	63%	1.03	54.6	9.9%	0	0.4	69	NAN
22	Jul_2_2013	49975.91	68402.93	82521.59	85436.25	83333.21	74401.56	80193.75(13.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36265	-820	-42702	-16954	0	65%	1.12	62.7	9.97%	0	0.7	70	NAN
23	Jul_1_2013	49424.57	66807.57	80711.44	87047.5	89185.91	79403.91	70937.5(-7.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-64823	-690	-76306	-30374	0	63%	0.96	60.2	9.97%	0	0.2	66	NAN
24	Jun_28_2013	48952.37	65597.48	79482.91	90270	93107.78	92264.85	76343.75(-20.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27129	30	-31970	-12604	0	63%	1.1	60.7	9.91%	0	0.6	72	NAN
25	Jun_27_2013	48420.55	64263.9	77639.88	90382.5	92496.84	98967.91	96143.75(-7.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35031	560	41151	16671	0	67%		57.5	9.49%	0	1.8	85	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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