Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 9, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $85312.5000 (-3.65%) ($80150.0000 - $87500.0000) on Tue. Jul. 9, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.84% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $85312.5000(-3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-26%)    TIP(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.92% (StdDev 9.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $82733.75(3.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84686.43(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75176.89(13.48%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   138.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 19.83% (three month std-dev: 9.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2013	52282.6	75176.89	84686.43	82733.75	82766.79	84421.09	85312.5(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2985	140	3503	1431	0	65%	0.66	63.2	9.84%	0	0.7	68	NAN
2	Jul_8_2013	51942.09	73513.04	84833.72	79858.75	80979.68	84805.47	88543.75(5.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24024	370	28252	11341	0	65%	1.2	57.1	9.96%	0	1	71	NAN
3	Jul_5_2013	51328.62	71645.9	83708.6	77418.75	77757.03	81112.49	83693.75(10.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15578	320	18313	7372	0	65%	1.66	52.1	9.95%	0	0.8	70	NAN
4	Jul_3_2013	50491.02	69778.46	83321.17	79908.75	78278.9	77153.9	75925(-5.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1193	-160	-1428	-488	0	63%	1.03	54.6	9.9%	0	0.4	69	NAN
5	Jul_2_2013	49975.91	68402.93	82521.59	85436.25	83333.21	74401.56	80193.75(13.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36265	-820	-42702	-16954	0	65%	1.12	62.7	9.97%	0	0.7	70	NAN

6	Jul_1_2013	49424.57	66807.57	80711.44	87047.5	89185.91	79403.91	70937.5(-7.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-64823	-690	-76306	-30374	0	63%	0.96	60.2	9.97%	0	0.2	66	NAN
7	Jun_28_2013	48952.37	65597.48	79482.91	90270	93107.78	92264.85	76343.75(-20.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27129	30	-31970	-12604	0	63%	1.1	60.7	9.91%	0	0.6	72	NAN
8	Jun_27_2013	48420.55	64263.9	77639.88	90382.5	92496.84	98967.91	96143.75(-7.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35031	560	41151	16671	0	67%	1.54	57.5	9.49%	0	1.8	85	NAN
9	Jun_26_2013	47688.41	61695.36	73289.66	87022.5	87844.1	93950.7	103562.5(17.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51156	510	60120	24264	0	67%	1.71	51.2	9.46%	0	2.6	91	NAN
10	Jun_25_2013	46885.15	59102.38	68162.61	79352.5	82100.78	86025.77	88250(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37139	440	43637	17643	0	65%	1.4	40.3	9.27%	0	2.2	86	NAN

11	Jun_24_2013	46236.88	57733.17	64749.51	73616.25	75769.12	81737.5	87050(13.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	34878	640	40984	16559	0	65%	1.39	31.8	9.27%	0	2.5	84	NAN
12	Jun_21_2013	45602.95	56369.42	60978.72	67208.75	69047.64	78175.78	76906.25(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	55260	1010	64972	26123	0	62%	1.15	13.3	9.17%	0	2.2	83	NAN
13	Jun_20_2013	45085.22	55424.68	58257.39	62888.75	63150.8	69800.75	79343.75(21.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	62183	750	73125	29358	0	62%	1.24	-2.2	9.23%	0	2.9	76	NAN
14	Jun_19_2013	44535.15	54395.51	54701.8	57545	57127.75	59919.5	65212.5(9.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21973	320	25829	10404	0	59%	0.93	-28	8.88%	0	1.7	72	NAN
15	Jun_18_2013	44124.95	54263.77	52815.47	55361.25	55182.69	56500.85	59568.75(8.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13080	160	15374	6196	0	58%	0.77	-33.2	8.83%	0	0.8	53	NAN

16	Jun_17_2013	43786.43	54274.8	51590.78	54541.25	54266.68	54336.01	55012.5(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2783	-10	3268	1326	0	58%	0.69	-33.6	8.79%	0	0.1	41	NAN
17	Jun_14_2013	43485.79	55127.7	50622.58	53700	54095.94	53864.53	55306.25(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	338	-10	400	150	0	58%	0.75	-19.7	8.79%	0	0	42	NAN
18	Jun_13_2013	43161.75	55607.58	49987.25	52782.5	53425.24	54197.34	52625(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2513	140	2965	1156	0	59%	0.74	-14.9	8.79%	0	-0.4	43	NAN
19	Jun_12_2013	42844.4	56273.18	49407.55	51283.75	52341.8	54327.34	54293.75(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13905	330	16376	6492	0	58%	0.82	-10.9	8.82%	0	-0.2	43	NAN
20	Jun_11_2013	42494.02	56495.7	49467.32	49807.5	50319.54	52653.13	55468.75(9.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16387	360	19301	7644	0	58%	0.32	-16	8.88%	0	-0.1	42	NAN

21	Jun_10_2013	42360.26	56561.65	50195.89	48250	48436.73	50356.26	50806.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13615	290	16042	6333	0	57%	0.73	-20.2	8.82%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
22	Jun_7_2013	42052.27	56711.9	51370.08	47118.75	47672.47	47985.94	50718.75(12.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9566	80	11283	4414	0	57%	0.73	-25.2	8.83%	0	-0.7	33	NAN
23	Jun_6_2013	41746.08	56852.67	52312.61	46865	46799.88	46517.2	45131.25(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6483	-50	-7596	-3144	0	52%	0.61	-27.9	8.71%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
24	Jun_5_2013	41494.73	57203.17	54025.54	47213.75	47601.84	47359	46912.5(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-627	-10	-707	-388	0	52%	0.66	-30.5	8.85%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
25	Jun_4_2013	41220.95	57876.51	55814.74	49068.75	48268.63	47082.57	47681.25(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12465	-220	-14638	-5945	0	54%		-21.6	8.85%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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