Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $65212.5000 (9.47%) ($57624.7500 - $65893.7500) on Wed. Jun. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.88% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $65212.5000(9.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    QQQ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -4.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-26%)    TIP(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.44% (StdDev 8.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10%

5 Day Moving Average   $57545(13.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54701.8(19.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54395.51(19.89%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   112.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 11.92% (three month std-dev: 8.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.92%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -19.44%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -27.85%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2013	44535.15	54395.51	54701.8	57545	57127.75	59919.5	65212.5(9.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21973	320	25829	10404	0	59%	0.93	-28	8.88%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Jun_18_2013	44124.95	54263.77	52815.47	55361.25	55182.69	56500.85	59568.75(8.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13080	160	15374	6196	0	58%	0.77	-33.2	8.83%	0	0.8	53	0
3	Jun_17_2013	43786.43	54274.8	51590.78	54541.25	54266.68	54336.01	55012.5(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2783	-10	3268	1326	0	58%	0.69	-33.6	8.79%	0	0.1	41	0
4	Jun_14_2013	43485.79	55127.7	50622.58	53700	54095.94	53864.53	55306.25(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	338	-10	400	150	0	58%	0.75	-19.7	8.79%	0	0	42	0
5	Jun_13_2013	43161.75	55607.58	49987.25	52782.5	53425.24	54197.34	52625(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2513	140	2965	1156	0	59%	0.74	-14.9	8.79%	0	-0.4	43	0

6	Jun_12_2013	42844.4	56273.18	49407.55	51283.75	52341.8	54327.34	54293.75(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13905	330	16376	6492	0	58%	0.82	-10.9	8.82%	0	-0.2	43	0
7	Jun_11_2013	42494.02	56495.7	49467.32	49807.5	50319.54	52653.13	55468.75(9.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16387	360	19301	7644	0	58%	0.32	-16	8.88%	0	-0.1	42	0
8	Jun_10_2013	42360.26	56561.65	50195.89	48250	48436.73	50356.26	50806.25(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13615	290	16042	6333	0	57%	0.73	-20.2	8.82%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	Jun_7_2013	42052.27	56711.9	51370.08	47118.75	47672.47	47985.94	50718.75(12.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9566	80	11283	4414	0	57%	0.73	-25.2	8.83%	0	-0.7	33	0
10	Jun_6_2013	41746.08	56852.67	52312.61	46865	46799.88	46517.2	45131.25(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6483	-50	-7596	-3144	0	52%	0.61	-27.9	8.71%	0	-1.4	36	0

11	Jun_5_2013	41494.73	57203.17	54025.54	47213.75	47601.84	47359	46912.5(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-627	-10	-707	-388	0	52%	0.66	-30.5	8.85%	0	-1.3	37	0
12	Jun_4_2013	41220.95	57876.51	55814.74	49068.75	48268.63	47082.57	47681.25(5.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12465	-220	-14638	-5945	0	54%	0.68	-21.6	8.85%	0	-1.3	46	0
13	Jun_3_2013	40943.51	58309.38	57211.02	52537.5	51312.18	47844.67	45150(-8.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20147	-540	-23682	-9540	0	54%	0.62	-9.6	8.89%	0	-1.8	46	0
14	May_31_2013	40690.48	58896.94	60102.05	56295	55642.03	49454.69	49450(5.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34767	-810	-40894	-16384	0	54%	0.74	4.1	8.88%	0	-1.4	53	0
15	May_30_2013	40392.22	59265.67	61835.48	58592.5	58868.98	54779.69	46875(-16.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40911	-470	-48130	-19252	0	54%	0.64	18.1	8.93%	0	-1.9	51	0

16	May_29_2013	40136.68	59758.76	63954.73	61675	61442.81	61829.38	56187.5(-13.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6300	30	-7423	-2932	0	57%	0.89	36.6	8.72%	0	-0.6	62	0
17	May_28_2013	39781.46	59583.01	64353.34	63423.75	61717.03	62958.28	65025(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8575	60	10073	4079	0	61%	1.62	33.1	8.51%	0	0.9	57	0
18	May_24_2013	39147.85	59019.68	63578.74	62636.25	62030.47	61056.25	63937.5(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1004	-140	-1195	-429	0	62%	1.13	24.1	8.42%	0	0.8	61	0
19	May_23_2013	38709.8	58618.64	62552.12	64688.75	63331.25	60475.78	60937.5(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21273	-380	-25045	-9955	0	62%	1.13	27.6	8.47%	0	0.4	59	0
20	May_22_2013	38278.48	58125.63	61805.97	65700	66186.33	63004.69	62287.5(-4.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20684	-310	-24354	-9672	0	62%	0.65	19.8	8.53%	0	0.7	59	0

21	May_21_2013	38030.97	57679.66	60682.26	66576.25	67806.64	66186.72	64931.25(6.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15065	-110	-17745	-7025	0	62%	1.24	8.4	8.5%	0	1.2	62	0
22	May_20_2013	37564.6	57631.7	60079.99	65325	67533.59	69367.97	61087.5(-17.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7217	290	8468	3463	0	63%	1.09	3.9	8.51%	0	0.6	63	0
23	May_17_2013	37159.06	57619.54	59484.66	64425.01	65034.77	69426.56	74200(12.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	31245	500	36737	14769	0	67%	1.49	-1.1	8.27%	0	2.7	71	0
24	May_16_2013	36612.35	56993.07	57424.92	60113.76	61124.61	65699.22	65993.75(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	36010	570	42352	16983	0	66%	1.27	-10.6	8.22%	0	1.6	61	0
25	May_15_2013	36154.36	56942.07	56274.39	57375.01	57950.39	60642.98	66668.75(13.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30746	360	36164	14493	0	67%		-3.3	8.28%	0	1.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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