Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $59375.0000 (8.34%) ($57225.0000 - $60575.0000) on Tue. May. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.91% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $59375.0000(8.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-26%)    TIP(-25%)    LQD(-25%)    EEM(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.955% (StdDev 7.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $55886.5(6.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54588.08(8.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56776.26(4.58%)
To recent high   -19.6%
To recent low   145.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 16.15% (three month std-dev: 7.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2013	34160.26	56776.26	54588.08	55886.5	55669.4	56751.57	59375(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14344	120	16893	6696	0	70%	1.21	44	7.91%	0	0.3	37	NAN
2	May_6_2013	33753.23	55690.69	55052.45	54297.75	54814.01	54593.5	54806.25(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	438	0	536	143	0	69%	1.07	36.3	7.87%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
3	May_3_2013	33394.51	55060.87	55682.2	54106.25	54684	54587.24	55018.75(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1784	20	-2077	-906	0	69%	1.09	37.9	7.76%	0	-0	46	NAN
4	May_2_2013	33034.87	54349.16	56538.95	54354	54475.45	55034.52	55368.75(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2232	80	2643	999	0	69%	1.16	40.8	7.82%	0	0.1	60	NAN
5	May_1_2013	32656.55	53587.4	57624.63	53391.5	54210.69	54780.76	54863.75(6.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9100	120	10717	4250	0	69%	1.1	41	7.88%	0	0.1	66	NAN

6	Apr_30_2013	32301.46	53007.04	59404.17	53102.5	52836.79	53916.38	51431.25(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1013	130	-1191	-478	0	69%	1.01	43.2	7.83%	0	-0.1	66	NAN
7	Apr_29_2013	31979.13	52386.96	60745.38	55960	53603.91	53640.63	53848.75(-4.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	659	-120	759	359	0	69%	1.07	51.6	7.8%	0	0.1	71	NAN
8	Apr_26_2013	31640.41	51435.94	61725.56	57533.5	56543.83	51757.19	56257.5(11.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16423	-640	-19350	-7640	0	69%	1.15	56.5	7.75%	0	0.4	66	NAN
9	Apr_25_2013	31282.06	50290.36	61179.58	59148.25	58524.06	53567.19	50556.25(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55139	-620	-64909	-25829	0	69%	0.95	60	7.71%	0	0	65	NAN
10	Apr_24_2013	30986.29	49433	60587.74	62453	62263.47	61330.47	53418.75(-18.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21644	-110	-25516	-10027	0	70%	1.12	67	7.71%	0	0.3	67	NAN

11	Apr_23_2013	30642.93	48480.14	59519.14	66542.5	65232.92	63480.93	65718.75(6.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1075	-250	-1336	-290	0	76%	1.55	78.4	7.32%	0	1.2	70	NAN
12	Apr_22_2013	30174.18	46792.61	56672.41	66252.5	66033.16	63196.48	61716.25(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20567	-310	-24273	-9449	0	76%	1.48	80.3	7.34%	0	1.1	72	NAN
13	Apr_19_2013	29733.32	45258.3	54639.09	66500.5	65657.54	66984.91	64331.25(-4.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6862	100	-8162	-2962	0	76%	1.62	82.4	7.35%	0	1.4	77	NAN
14	Apr_18_2013	29259.22	43532.18	52140.98	63393	64518.9	68869.84	67080(-9.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45917	530	53932	21872	0	76%	1.74	75.4	7.36%	0	1.8	79	NAN
15	Apr_17_2013	28758.26	41754.62	49235.63	58252	58859.61	64330.16	73866.25(14.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	49559	680	58225	23559	0	79%	2.01	65.6	7.22%	0	2.7	84	NAN

16	Apr_16_2013	28192.01	39569.96	45834.29	51452.5	51792.58	60167.97	64268.75(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	60691	1150	71337	28752	0	78%	1.73	58.3	7.04%	0	2.6	78	NAN
17	Apr_15_2013	27711.41	37908.98	42987.65	45752	46358.59	53389.06	62956.25(29.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	80646	1100	94831	38091	0	78%	1.71	46.8	7.04%	0	3.4	79	NAN
18	Apr_12_2013	27244.35	36320.1	39849.81	41269.75	40731.88	43417.19	48793.75(17.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35600	420	41845	16865	0	75%	0.84	43.8	6.09%	0	2.7	74	NAN
19	Apr_11_2013	27017.51	35517.1	38135.76	39342.25	39055.79	39328.13	41375(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11908	30	13976	5702	0	72%	0.88	39.1	5.76%	0	1.6	71	NAN
20	Apr_10_2013	26781.26	35167.17	37183.11	38801.25	38509.3	38046.57	39868.75(11.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8354	-110	-9858	-3842	0	69%	0.79	39.6	5.76%	0	1.4	62	NAN

21	Apr_9_2013	26570.15	34775	36528.23	39287.5	39173.08	38783.45	35766.25(-11.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3639	-80	-4316	-1609	0	67%	0.66	36.7	5.7%	0	0.3	57	NAN
22	Apr_8_2013	26396.77	34725.6	36243.84	39591.75	39678.31	38972.03	40545(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	101	-120	81	162	0	72%	0.78	34.4	5.46%	0	1.8	65	NAN
23	Apr_5_2013	26191.95	34400.7	35312.36	38099	38681.75	39562.71	39156.25(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	210	-30	85	0	72%	0.7	22.2	5.43%	0	1.7	62	NAN
24	Apr_4_2013	26009.38	34162.4	34457.66	36666.5	37320.02	40384.59	38670(-8.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30268	630	35591	14297	0	72%	0.75	9.4	5.48%	0	1.7	61	NAN
25	Apr_3_2013	25814.7	33897.48	33881.52	35257.5	35127.73	37800.78	42300(13.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	36667	520	43129	17282	0	78%		-2.9	5.34%	0	3.4	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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