Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $24925.0000 (-4.75%) ($24643.8100 - $26216.8800) on Fri. Feb. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.19% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $24925.0000(-4.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-10%)    XLK(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.595% (StdDev 5.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25587.49(-2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24059.53(3.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22603.94(10.27%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   60.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 9.59% (three month std-dev: 5.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(50%) Average negative next day return: -4.09%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 5.63%(17%) Average negative next three day return: -5.55%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.48%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.81%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2013	18844.87	22603.94	24059.53	25587.49	25199.48	25559.93	24925(-4.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1639	50	1889	889	0	73%	0.49	66.1	5.19%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Jan_31_2013	18753.03	22401.9	23686	25712.49	25398.03	25244.53	26168.75(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4923	-80	5748	2446	0	68%	0.4	69	5.15%	0	1.8	75	0
3	Jan_30_2013	18677.83	22023.56	23140.25	25188.74	25088.47	24839.03	25437.5(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3483	-80	-4134	-1530	0	68%	0.35	55.9	5.33%	0	1.7	63	0
4	Jan_29_2013	18612.76	21727.75	22629.09	24406.24	24637.68	25551.52	25012.5(-5.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6868	290	8052	3316	0	68%	0.31	41.5	5.37%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Jan_28_2013	18555.46	21544.51	22191.56	23394.99	23555.28	25337.9	26393.69(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19371	550	22771	9170	0	68%	0.45	27	5.35%	0	2.6	67	0

6	Jan_25_2013	18472.83	21256.38	21575.25	22302.5	22187.76	23723.84	25550(8.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	20092	470	23629	9480	0	64%	0.3	10.8	5.35%	0	3	69	0
7	Jan_24_2013	18417.17	21030.34	21032.9	21396.25	21228.77	21772.66	23550(9.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	10761	160	12660	5064	0	63%	0.09	-8.2	5.41%	0	2.5	63	0
8	Jan_23_2013	18399.74	20927.41	20845.03	20836.25	20815.88	20651.68	21525(7.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-122	-60	-143	-58	0	63%	-0.03	-20.5	5.32%	0	0.7	68	0
9	Jan_22_2013	18405.4	20948.02	20848.82	20602.5	20786.58	20684.88	19956.25(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2223	-10	-2616	-1044	0	61%	-0.1	-19.1	5.34%	0	-1.2	55	0
10	Jan_18_2013	18424.74	21059.3	21044.11	20765	20759.64	20980.07	20931.25(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1263	70	1483	601	0	63%	-0.23	-4.5	5.3%	0	-0.2	47	0

11	Jan_17_2013	18466.91	21101.46	21036.39	20700	20650.86	20888.28	21018.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3145	70	3699	1484	0	63%	-0.19	7.6	5.4%	0	-0.1	51	0
12	Jan_16_2013	18502.83	21112.96	21036.29	20600	20567.05	20539.22	20750(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	798	-10	939	375	0	61%	-0.16	7	5.42%	0	-0.4	48	0
13	Jan_15_2013	18533.03	21097.06	20855.44	20867.5	20606.12	20413.45	20356.25(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3219	-100	-3785	-1522	0	61%	-0.18	14.6	5.48%	0	-0.8	45	0
14	Jan_14_2013	18565.79	21105.96	20806.5	21142.5	20994.32	20594.89	20768.75(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3362	-150	-3952	-1593	0	61%	-0.11	18.5	5.47%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	Jan_11_2013	18586.38	21097.45	20895.16	21368.75	21374.39	20798.79	20606.25(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5587	-190	-6570	-2636	0	62%	-0.13	18.8	5.5%	0	-0.5	44	0

16	Jan_10_2013	18610.2	21033.24	20951.81	21410	21587.11	21393.75	20518.75(-7.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4771	-40	-5610	-2254	0	62%	-0.13	4.8	5.5%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Jan_9_2013	18635	21050.25	21055.55	21508.03	21688.28	21950	22087.5(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3611	110	4250	1694	0	67%	-0.14	8.5	5.42%	0	1	55	0
18	Jan_8_2013	18660.92	20967	21013.36	20824.28	21205.24	21780.47	21731.25(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	6677	240	7861	3126	0	67%	-0.23	-11.6	5.49%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Jan_7_2013	18704.41	20940.51	21033.73	20416.78	20357.8	21426.56	21900(5.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7321	360	8619	3426	0	67%	-0.25	-14.5	5.49%	0	1	59	0
20	Jan_4_2013	18751.45	20927.86	21041.68	20386.78	20108.21	20630.02	20812.5(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10329	140	12156	4847	0	64%	-0.28	-1.7	5.46%	0	-0.1	54	0

21	Jan_3_2013	18804.93	20989.59	21140.08	20458.03	20130.57	19289.04	21008.88(12.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3885	-340	-4570	-1829	0	65%	-0.44	15	5.58%	0	0	63	0
22	Jan_2_2013	18887.34	20964.74	21165.78	20570	20484.7	19586.4	18668.75(-5.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14548	-320	-17116	-6842	0	62%	-1.1	22	5.4%	0	-2.3	43	0
23	Dec_31_2012	19097.36	21081.92	21368.71	21211.25	21254.02	20972.1	19693.75(-9.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-5027	-90	-5921	-2345	0	62%	-0.43	62.2	5.35%	0	-1.6	49	0
24	Dec_28_2012	19179.2	21083.74	21466.52	21698.75	21623.54	21383.01	21750(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2465	-90	-2910	-1129	0	66%	-0.35	84.7	5.19%	0	0.8	53	0
25	Dec_27_2012	19246.06	20944.87	21346.61	21787.5	21871.88	21535.94	21168.75(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4123	-100	-4860	-1912	0	62%		78	5.19%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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