Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 17, 2013

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $21018.7500 (1.3%) ($20456.2500 - $21681.2500) on Thu. Jan. 17, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.4% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $21018.7500(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-10%)    XLK(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.7% (StdDev 5.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $21101.46
5 Day Moving Average   $20700(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21036.39(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21101.46(-0.39%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   41.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 4.19% (three month std-dev: 5.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2013	18466.91	21101.46	21036.39	20700	20650.86	20888.28	21018.75(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3145	70	3699	1484	0	63%	-0.19	7.6	5.4%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
2	Jan_16_2013	18502.83	21112.96	21036.29	20600	20567.05	20539.22	20750(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	798	-10	939	375	0	61%	-0.16	7	5.42%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
3	Jan_15_2013	18533.03	21097.06	20855.44	20867.5	20606.12	20413.45	20356.25(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3219	-100	-3785	-1522	0	61%	-0.18	14.6	5.48%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
4	Jan_14_2013	18565.79	21105.96	20806.5	21142.5	20994.32	20594.89	20768.75(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3362	-150	-3952	-1593	0	61%	-0.11	18.5	5.47%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
5	Jan_11_2013	18586.38	21097.45	20895.16	21368.75	21374.39	20798.79	20606.25(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5587	-190	-6570	-2636	0	62%	-0.13	18.8	5.5%	0	-0.5	44	NAN

6	Jan_10_2013	18610.2	21033.24	20951.81	21410	21587.11	21393.75	20518.75(-7.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4771	-40	-5610	-2254	0	62%	-0.13	4.8	5.5%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
7	Jan_9_2013	18635	21050.25	21055.55	21508.03	21688.28	21950	22087.5(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3611	110	4250	1694	0	67%	-0.14	8.5	5.42%	0	1	55	NAN
8	Jan_8_2013	18660.92	20967	21013.36	20824.28	21205.24	21780.47	21731.25(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	6677	240	7861	3126	0	67%	-0.23	-11.6	5.49%	0	0.8	59	NAN
9	Jan_7_2013	18704.41	20940.51	21033.73	20416.78	20357.8	21426.56	21900(5.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	7321	360	8619	3426	0	67%	-0.25	-14.5	5.49%	0	1	59	NAN
10	Jan_4_2013	18751.45	20927.86	21041.68	20386.78	20108.21	20630.02	20812.5(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10329	140	12156	4847	0	64%	-0.28	-1.7	5.46%	0	-0.1	54	NAN

11	Jan_3_2013	18804.93	20989.59	21140.08	20458.03	20130.57	19289.04	21008.88(12.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3885	-340	-4570	-1829	0	65%	-0.44	15	5.58%	0	0	63	NAN
12	Jan_2_2013	18887.34	20964.74	21165.78	20570	20484.7	19586.4	18668.75(-5.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14548	-320	-17116	-6842	0	62%	-1.1	22	5.4%	0	-2.3	43	NAN
13	Dec_31_2012	19097.36	21081.92	21368.71	21211.25	21254.02	20972.1	19693.75(-9.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-5027	-90	-5921	-2345	0	62%	-0.43	62.2	5.35%	0	-1.6	49	NAN
14	Dec_28_2012	19179.2	21083.74	21466.52	21698.75	21623.54	21383.01	21750(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2465	-90	-2910	-1129	0	66%	-0.35	84.7	5.19%	0	0.8	53	NAN
15	Dec_27_2012	19246.06	20944.87	21346.61	21787.5	21871.88	21535.94	21168.75(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4123	-100	-4860	-1912	0	62%	-0.43	78	5.19%	0	0.2	46	NAN

16	Dec_26_2012	19329.39	20844.41	21158.98	21921.25	22165.42	21864.06	21568.75(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2735	-60	-3223	-1269	0	62%	-0.93	73	5.31%	0	0.7	46	NAN
17	Dec_24_2012	19511.57	20743.65	21077.31	21857.5	22163.08	22207.81	21875(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-610	60	-724	-269	0	65%	-0.53	65.4	5.3%	0	0.9	59	NAN
18	Dec_21_2012	19615.69	20563.12	20933.65	21542.5	21860.34	22466.78	22131.25(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5021	240	5904	2372	0	65%	-0.61	43.9	5.39%	0	1.2	58	NAN
19	Dec_20_2012	19735.47	20365.67	20834.26	21190	21381.44	22118.34	22193.75(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9222	270	10847	4348	0	65%	-0.56	23.4	5.41%	0	1.5	64	NAN
20	Dec_19_2012	19847.58	20198.87	20773.41	20850	20867.19	21253.91	21837.5(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6269	130	7371	2962	0	65%	-0.51	11.5	5.41%	0	1.4	66	NAN

21	Dec_18_2012	19949.84	20089.59	20779.34	20292.5	20555.47	20644.53	21250(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2830	70	3325	1343	0	65%	-0.46	6.9	5.42%	0	1	63	NAN
22	Dec_17_2012	20041.27	19988.82	20698.09	20197.5	20228.51	20480.47	20300(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-138	90	-167	-52	0	65%	-0.56	13.5	5.41%	0	0.3	56	NAN
23	Dec_14_2012	20154.41	20020.19	20745.23	20235	20282.02	20466.4	20368.75(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3711	70	4357	1772	0	63%	-0.59	32.7	5.41%	0	0.3	63	NAN
24	Dec_13_2012	20274.58	20080.61	20666.19	20427.5	20312.1	19976.55	20493.75(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1997	-130	-2362	-903	0	58%	-0.69	59.5	5.51%	0	0.3	64	NAN
25	Dec_12_2012	20414.53	20061.56	20519.07	20700	20543.21	20097.65	19050(-8.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6580	-170	-7756	-3053	0	56%		83.4	5.77%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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