Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $21837.5000 (2.76%) ($21237.5000 - $21943.7500) on Wed. Dec. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.41% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $21837.5000(2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLK(-11%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    EWJ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.705% (StdDev 5.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $20850(4.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20773.41(5.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20198.87(8.11%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   54.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.91% (three month std-dev: 5.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2012	19847.58	20198.87	20773.41	20850	20867.19	21253.91	21837.5(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6269	130	7371	2962	0	65%	-0.51	11.5	5.41%	0	1.4	66	NAN
2	Dec_18_2012	19949.84	20089.59	20779.34	20292.5	20555.47	20644.53	21250(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2830	70	3325	1343	0	65%	-0.46	6.9	5.42%	0	1	63	NAN
3	Dec_17_2012	20041.27	19988.82	20698.09	20197.5	20228.51	20480.47	20300(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-138	90	-167	-52	0	65%	-0.56	13.5	5.41%	0	0.3	56	NAN
4	Dec_14_2012	20154.41	20020.19	20745.23	20235	20282.02	20466.4	20368.75(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3711	70	4357	1772	0	63%	-0.59	32.7	5.41%	0	0.3	63	NAN
5	Dec_13_2012	20274.58	20080.61	20666.19	20427.5	20312.1	19976.55	20493.75(7.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1997	-130	-2362	-903	0	58%	-0.69	59.5	5.51%	0	0.3	64	NAN

6	Dec_12_2012	20414.53	20061.56	20519.07	20700	20543.21	20097.65	19050(-8.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6580	-170	-7756	-3053	0	56%	-0.93	83.4	5.77%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
7	Dec_11_2012	20605.51	20012.43	20545.41	21322.5	21116.26	20647.66	20775(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3308	-180	-3912	-1497	0	59%	-0.83	96.9	5.67%	0	0.6	55	NAN
8	Dec_10_2012	20778.51	19840.84	20425.01	21258.75	21287.35	20988.77	20487.5(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4741	-90	-5598	-2171	0	60%	-0.72	85.2	5.67%	0	0.5	57	NAN
9	Dec_7_2012	20928.96	19656.16	20210.15	21305	21351.81	21584.86	21331.25(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1465	80	1707	739	0	58%	-0.69	75.5	5.68%	0	1.1	50	NAN
10	Dec_6_2012	21074.19	19391.5	19894.4	20917.49	21028.13	21585.93	21856.25(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6298	200	7401	2987	0	56%	-0.71	63.9	5.78%	0	1.4	49	NAN

11	Dec_5_2012	21224.77	19112.36	19585.97	20309.74	20382.81	21118.77	22162.5(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7457	260	8772	3511	0	56%	-0.63	57	5.86%	0	1.8	57	NAN
12	Dec_4_2012	21358.6	18842.42	19316.18	19674.74	19752.27	20470.33	20456.25(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7175	270	8443	3371	0	54%	-0.65	50.6	5.77%	0	1	63	NAN
13	Dec_3_2012	21498.29	18708.95	19185.86	19484.74	19501.48	19646.86	20718.75(6.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5633	50	6627	2649	0	54%	-0.62	54.3	5.77%	0	1.3	66	NAN
14	Nov_30_2012	21632.44	18539.27	19185.08	18967.24	19249.73	19034.2	19393.69(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1377	-30	-1621	-644	0	49%	-0.75	45.8	5.92%	0	0.6	65	NAN
15	Nov_29_2012	21796.04	18355.57	19398.96	18712.25	19034.11	19356.09	18817.5(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-358	170	-429	-146	0	49%	-0.74	34.8	5.91%	0	0.3	66	NAN

16	Nov_28_2012	21959.13	18171.68	19535.19	18735	18936.53	19465.25	18987.5(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5895	230	6921	2815	0	49%	-0.64	30.9	5.93%	0	0.4	64	NAN
17	Nov_27_2012	22100.5	18047.98	19432.89	18900	18823.04	18712.13	19506.25(7.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1454	-50	1693	735	0	49%	-0.48	34	5.92%	0	0.8	62	NAN
18	Nov_26_2012	22206.55	17878.26	19218.38	18857.77	18996.28	18407.81	18131.25(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5051	-190	-5958	-2328	0	47%	-0.52	32.7	5.86%	0	0.1	53	NAN
19	Nov_23_2012	22322.08	17856.11	19098.15	19449.02	19281.13	18933.96	18118.75(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8134	-150	-9591	-3764	0	47%	-0.41	48.8	5.86%	0	0.1	55	NAN
20	Nov_21_2012	22413.83	17794.71	18913.98	20187.77	20067.46	19584.75	18931.25(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2166	-190	-2579	-928	0	46%	-0.32	65.5	5.85%	0	0.6	66	NAN

21	Nov_20_2012	22485.16	17626.85	18669.66	20436.52	20496.96	19628.3	19812.5(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5890	-290	-6966	-2661	0	46%	-0.43	68.4	5.85%	0	1.2	71	NAN
22	Nov_19_2012	22581.81	17439	18379.86	20015.3	20320.39	20550.16	19295.12(-8.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3816	120	-4524	-1692	0	46%	-0.45	61.9	5.84%	0	1	61	NAN
23	Nov_16_2012	22684.37	17287.2	18230.57	19583.78	19843.36	21365.62	21087.5(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14714	580	17276	7028	0	45%	-0.51	58.5	5.76%	0	2.1	68	NAN
24	Nov_15_2012	22801.13	16973.35	17836.72	18672.53	18654.7	20090.63	21812.5(8.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18269	540	21468	8671	0	45%	-0.39	48	5.88%	0	3	61	NAN
25	Nov_14_2012	22890.75	16635	17180.14	17479.06	17400.77	18321.11	20175(13.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	11210	360	13177	5308	0	43%		32.7	5.78%	0	3	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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