Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $14462.5000 (2.16%) ($14437.5000 - $15012.5000) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.63% (three month average)
RSI   13
Latest Price   $14462.5000(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -18.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    QQQ(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    PCY(-25%)    EEM(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.815% (StdDev 5.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $19463.62
5 Day Moving Average   $14583.75(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16428.17(-11.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19463.62(-25.69%)
To recent high   -61.5%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 18.49% (three month std-dev: 5.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 12.12%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 6.06%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -6.93%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.17%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2012	29221.47	19463.62	16428.17	14583.75	14699.22	14498.44	14462.5(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1690	-70	-1929	-972	0	31%	-0.61	-65.7	5.63%	0	-1.4	13	NAN
2	Sep_19_2012	29400.43	19897.73	16996.72	14931.25	14868.36	14613.28	14156.25(-2.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-6234	-130	-7274	-3115	0	31%	-0.56	-73	5.63%	0	-1.7	13	NAN
3	Sep_18_2012	29566.31	20428.53	17759.33	15905	15751.56	14900	14562.5(-1.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6759	-410	-7897	-3345	0	31%	-0.55	-75.9	5.63%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
4	Sep_17_2012	29729.76	21001.15	18508.61	16843.75	16857.5	15123.44	14812.5(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-15899	-720	-18656	-7629	0	31%	-0.51	-76.4	5.66%	0	-1.9	20	NAN
5	Sep_14_2012	29882.51	21588.71	19222.14	17795	17907.5	16603.13	14925(-7.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19314	-490	-22679	-9217	0	31%	-0.54	-76.1	5.66%	0	-2.2	25	NAN

6	Sep_13_2012	30044.88	22155.09	20221.69	18518.75	18869.61	18591.56	16200(-14.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5638	-50	-6597	-2759	0	32%	-0.49	-82.9	5.59%	0	-2.2	27	NAN
7	Sep_12_2012	30194.18	22788.16	21054.71	19331.25	19062.19	19211.88	19025(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1295	10	-1495	-696	0	34%	-0.48	-78.3	5.29%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
8	Sep_11_2012	30341.05	23283.43	21515.96	19905	19430.86	19147.66	19256.25(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1710	-170	-1986	-881	0	34%	-0.48	-69.5	5.36%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
9	Sep_10_2012	30486.52	23747.6	21947.87	20466.25	20175.86	18912.5	19568.75(5.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9720	-480	-11411	-4646	0	34%	-0.39	-66.4	5.39%	0	-1.5	27	NAN
10	Sep_7_2012	30607.31	24152.79	22286.99	20911.25	20888.76	19714.06	18543.75(-8.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-19194	-400	-22556	-9109	0	36%	-0.39	-71.3	5.34%	0	-2	20	NAN

11	Sep_6_2012	30728.68	24647.27	22760.89	22190	22024.7	21439.21	20262.5(-7.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9538	-210	-11202	-4547	0	39%	-0.34	-74.5	5.4%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
12	Sep_5_2012	30832.12	25095.91	23052.21	23023.75	22998.14	22063.46	21893.75(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6635	-290	-7785	-3185	0	41%	-0.25	-75	5.33%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
13	Sep_4_2012	30909.67	25437.19	23317.36	23368.75	23469.16	22610.19	22062.5(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12243	-240	-14379	-5833	0	41%	-0.2	-77.8	5.33%	0	-1.3	23	NAN
14	Aug_31_2012	30972.9	25825.68	23687.71	23650	23818.75	23932.81	21793.75(-12.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2811	50	-3284	-1392	0	35%	-0.19	-68.8	5.81%	0	-1.4	25	NAN
15	Aug_30_2012	31033.12	26327.45	24142.14	23836.25	23795.31	24328.13	24937.5(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6668	150	7868	3066	0	39%	-0.2	-61.8	5.62%	0	-0.5	39	NAN

16	Aug_29_2012	31095.37	26738.86	24211.4	23422.5	23361.72	23704.68	24431.25(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5050	90	5970	2289	0	39%	-0.18	-58.8	5.62%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
17	Aug_28_2012	31152.13	27152.9	24604.82	23111.25	22981.25	23262.49	23618.75(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1331	70	1597	533	0	39%	-0.25	-61.5	5.64%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
18	Aug_27_2012	31228.83	27558.31	25124.9	23297.5	23086.72	23018.75	23468.75(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1007	-50	1214	385	0	39%	-0.25	-69.1	5.68%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
19	Aug_24_2012	31308.02	27903.31	25626.02	23776.25	23386.72	22700	22725(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-7224	-250	-8470	-3484	0	39%	-0.29	-76.8	5.67%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
20	Aug_23_2012	31399.73	28345.23	26127.73	24505	24227.73	23154.69	22868.75(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-10962	-340	-12868	-5243	0	35%	-0.26	-80.7	5.67%	0	-1.8	19	NAN

21	Aug_22_2012	31480.21	28817.42	26679.68	25109.87	25126.95	24073.44	22875(-6.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-12532	-290	-14715	-5983	0	35%	-0.14	-83.5	5.88%	0	-2	17	NAN
22	Aug_21_2012	31525.3	29385.77	27332.68	26302.37	25962.44	25300.78	24550(-5.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-11572	-220	-13588	-5523	0	34%	-0.01	-74.4	5.85%	0	-1.6	22	NAN
23	Aug_20_2012	31528.93	30023.76	27768.97	27217.37	27143.7	26180.47	25862.5(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5937	-260	-6961	-2864	0	34%	-0.01	-61.9	5.95%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
24	Aug_17_2012	31532.7	30594.86	28173.7	27763.62	27783.54	26624.1	26368.75(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12510	-290	-14697	-5950	0	32%	-0.02	-54.9	5.95%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
25	Aug_16_2012	31539.65	31033.41	28719.72	27999.87	28226.51	28106.92	25893.12(-10.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6514	-10	-7645	-3121	0	32%		-52.7	6.16%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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