Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $32700.0000 (9.75%) ($28606.2500 - $32950.0000) on Tue. Jul. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.64% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $32700.0000(9.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-10%)    XLY(-11%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)    SHY(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -3.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    VWO(-25%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.32% (StdDev 6.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 13%

5 Day Moving Average   $28940(12.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29606.71(10.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28355.99(15.32%)
To recent high   -32.1%
To recent low   32%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.36% (three month std-dev: 6.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -6.21%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.31%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.97%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2012	28910.55	28355.99	29606.71	28940	29028.7	30315.63	32700(9.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10302	320	12116	4860	0	48%	0.14	22.1	6.64%	0	1.8	68	0
2	Jul_9_2012	28871.48	28116.51	29185.22	28237.5	28034.95	29303.91	29793.75(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10588	300	12453	4994	0	45%	0.31	20.9	6.55%	0	0.8	65	0
3	Jul_6_2012	28782.37	27985.94	29247.55	28127.5	27919.76	27741.78	29337.5(8.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5863	-70	6890	2781	0	45%	0.33	20.3	6.55%	0	0.6	60	0
4	Jul_5_2012	28688.94	27904.92	29260.91	28742.5	28040.27	26766	27018.75(4.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14140	-390	-16649	-6612	0	43%	0.43	16.5	6.51%	0	-0.4	56	0
5	Jul_3_2012	28566.99	27836.4	29179.72	29439.87	29431.88	28097.74	25850(-11.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11192	-320	-13184	-5214	0	49%	0.17	9.8	6.64%	0	-0.9	53	0

6	Jul_2_2012	28518.45	27841.37	29167.17	30288.62	30320.12	29314.53	29187.5(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9833	-230	-11590	-4562	0	51%	0.3	5.6	6.58%	0	0.6	61	0
7	Jun_29_2012	28434.02	27676.12	28767.19	30206.12	30443.12	30766.02	29243.75(-9.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4154	100	-4905	-1899	0	51%	0.33	-6.8	6.57%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Jun_28_2012	28339.56	27565.47	28476.79	30482.37	30583.95	31325.7	32412.5(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10265	180	12056	4890	0	55%	0.45	-11.1	6.45%	0	2	65	0
9	Jun_27_2012	28211.57	27565.78	27819.38	29898.62	30002.29	30120.23	30505.62(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3919	40	4595	1891	0	55%	0.4	-15.5	6.45%	0	1.2	58	0
10	Jun_26_2012	28098.37	27627.03	27384.96	28908.75	29480.06	29842.19	30093.75(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4078	150	4786	1952	0	55%	0.4	-32.2	6.46%	0	0.9	65	0

11	Jun_25_2012	27986.06	27722.49	26988.74	27870	28381.78	29884.34	28775(-6.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9837	430	11567	4647	0	55%	0.36	-47.3	6.48%	0	0.4	62	0
12	Jun_22_2012	27884.79	27819.77	26918.02	27070	27162.64	29117.93	30625(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18609	510	21889	8769	0	55%	0.47	-66.3	6.48%	0	1	66	0
13	Jun_21_2012	27755.27	27845.05	26536.72	26178.75	26168.13	26879.22	29493.75(15.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13017	190	15315	6122	0	55%	0.39	-85.1	6.5%	0	0.6	57	0
14	Jun_20_2012	27646.6	27958.22	26326.17	25502.5	25638.05	25207.34	25556.25(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2539	-100	-2977	-1226	0	51%	0.24	-105.3	6.22%	0	-0.8	28	0
15	Jun_19_2012	27579.19	28507.53	26319.68	25665	25838.67	25457.03	24900(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5328	-80	-6252	-2556	0	51%	0.22	-100.3	6.21%	0	-1	30	0

16	Jun_18_2012	27518.73	29046.46	26404.74	25961.25	26112.57	26068.75	24775(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2118	10	-2471	-1060	0	51%	0.24	-100.2	6.22%	0	-1.1	29	0
17	Jun_15_2012	27453.68	29785.62	26537.76	26695	26370.38	26220.31	26168.75(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1138	-80	-1317	-602	0	51%	0.24	-84.1	6.18%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	Jun_14_2012	27388.05	30493.56	26636.88	26922.5	26747.73	26156.39	26112.5(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4516	-170	-5287	-2201	0	54%	0.21	-72.3	6.18%	0	-0.9	37	0
19	Jun_13_2012	27330.21	31503.18	27326.3	27275	27229.21	26520.45	26368.75(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6292	-190	-7380	-3027	0	54%	0.04	-52.3	6.33%	0	-0.9	36	0
20	Jun_12_2012	27319.94	32537.74	27910.62	27057.5	27422.62	27339.06	26381.25(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1899	20	-2207	-973	0	54%	0.1	-42.7	6.33%	0	-0.9	29	0

21	Jun_11_2012	27293.6	33355.12	28527.51	26878.75	26890.59	27937.97	28443.75(4.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4697	270	5555	2121	0	56%	0.13	-39	6.28%	0	-0.7	35	0
22	Jun_8_2012	27257.7	33894.88	28779.85	26360	26448.79	27506.17	27306.25(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12858	290	15165	5935	0	56%	0.09	-39.2	6.26%	0	-1	27	0
23	Jun_7_2012	27234.03	34424.05	29225.93	26335	26055.98	25843.2	27875(10.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	747	-90	923	218	0	56%	0.16	-39.7	6.28%	0	-1	27	0
24	Jun_6_2012	27189.84	34935.74	29666.77	27487.5	26612.89	25391.41	25281.25(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-14653	-420	-17188	-7047	0	55%	0.06	-33.6	6.16%	0	-1.5	14	0
25	Jun_5_2012	27172.94	35699.34	30840.81	28952.5	28676.56	26268.75	25487.5(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-18651	-620	-21892	-8928	0	57%		-23.9	6.2%	0	-1.6	14	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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