Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 23, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $32400.0000 (-12.9%) ($32356.2500 - $40524.9400) on Wed. May. 23, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.9% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $32400.0000(-12.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -7.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    PCY(-25%)    VWO(-24%)    TIP(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.95% (StdDev 5.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -15.5%

Resistance Level   $37211.8
5 Day Moving Average   $37366.25(-13.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40075.71(-19.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37211.8(-12.93%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   83.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 14.06% (three month std-dev: 5.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.62%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2012	26570.84	37211.8	40075.71	37366.25	37327.28	36182.81	32400(-12.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14624	-220	-17203	-6886	0	63%	0.36	24.8	5.9%	0	-0.9	50	0
2	May_22_2012	26474.86	37192.66	40715.99	40391.25	38988.57	37213.05	37200(3.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21376	-420	-25165	-10010	0	67%	0.42	43.5	5.64%	0	0	63	0
3	May_21_2012	26364.29	37020.59	41034.67	42578.75	41618.26	38471.75	36006.25(-10.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25449	-600	-29975	-11871	0	64%	0.37	61	5.69%	0	-0.2	65	0
4	May_18_2012	26267.57	36917.24	41164.13	43983.75	43480.87	40764.09	40187.5(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33197	-470	-39104	-15476	0	67%	0.51	72.4	5.65%	0	0.6	71	0
5	May_17_2012	26134.65	36484.94	40746	43785	44177.97	44764.77	41037.5(-13.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6076	120	-7202	-2696	0	67%	0.48	73.7	5.68%	0	0.8	74	0

6	May_16_2012	26010.55	35957.01	40247.86	43058.75	43154.57	46197.66	47525(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	32839	500	38574	15634	0	70%	0.85	72.8	5.36%	0	2.1	82	0
7	May_15_2012	25791.29	35059.53	38683.45	41073.75	40610	43591.17	48137.5(11.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	33773	480	39681	16048	0	70%	0.91	68.2	5.48%	0	2.7	83	0
8	May_14_2012	25558.51	34077.86	36873.21	39421.25	39163.91	40111.49	43031.25(9.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22761	150	26734	10842	0	67%	0.73	72.2	5.31%	0	2.3	69	0
9	May_11_2012	25372.32	33410.25	35611.58	38060	38572.23	37628.83	39193.75(4.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1627	-130	-1949	-659	0	65%	0.56	69.3	5.16%	0	1.7	64	0
10	May_10_2012	25232.08	32881.83	34680.63	37290	37929.65	38216.33	37406.25(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8613	100	-10163	-3962	0	65%	0.51	60.7	5.18%	0	1.4	66	0

11	May_9_2012	25104.05	32398.21	34024.53	36935	37519.58	39515.63	37600(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21431	420	25183	10174	0	65%	0.53	56.5	5.2%	0	1.7	69	0
12	May_8_2012	24972.87	32048.08	33331.72	35815	36277.77	37642.96	39875(10.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27136	300	31900	12842	0	68%	0.5	56.1	5.12%	0	2.8	75	0
13	May_7_2012	24849.3	31520.43	32602.18	33922.5	34369.53	35523.54	36225(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12296	270	14448	5838	0	66%	0.44	58.7	5%	0	2.2	73	0
14	May_4_2012	24741.16	31243.05	32276.03	32793.75	32982.04	34912.57	35343.75(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	20131	430	23670	9515	0	66%	0.34	61.7	4.96%	0	2.1	66	0
15	May_3_2012	24658.15	31034.45	31852.9	31681.25	31899.33	33215.52	35631.25(11.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	24764	310	29124	11682	0	66%	0.4	65	4.99%	0	2.7	71	0

16	May_2_2012	24560.5	30765	31301.59	30722.5	30663.85	31051.5	32000(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5220	80	6134	2476	0	63%	0.33	75.9	4.84%	0	0.9	68	0
17	May_1_2012	24479.77	30540.54	31142.51	30488.75	30455.29	30583.13	30412.5(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	653	30	763	321	0	61%	0.3	68.5	4.87%	0	-0.1	49	0
18	Apr_30_2012	24406.27	30295.22	31076.2	31090	30841.77	30276.2	30581.25(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3651	-150	-4303	-1693	0	61%	0.41	63.3	4.83%	0	0.1	53	0
19	Apr_27_2012	24307.37	30096.74	31068.35	31676.25	31447.86	30327.44	29781.25(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14649	-270	-17245	-6859	0	58%	0.35	67.2	4.84%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Apr_26_2012	24223.45	29977.13	31012.87	32001.25	32429.47	31407.34	30837.5(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9694	-180	-11415	-4530	0	58%	0.47	68.1	4.9%	0	0.4	48	0

21	Apr_25_2012	24110.24	29804.91	30737.84	31921.25	32359.15	32568.28	30831.25(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5222	90	-6151	-2436	0	50%	0.47	68.1	4.93%	0	0.5	52	0
22	Apr_24_2012	23998	29564.47	30758.05	31835	31897.9	33451.59	33418.75(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13757	350	16175	6503	0	55%	0.53	63.2	5.44%	0	1.6	68	0
23	Apr_23_2012	23870.98	29129.56	30394.2	31050	31135.79	32150.02	33512.5(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18652	240	21933	8808	0	55%	0.56	49.8	5.49%	0	1.8	73	0
24	Apr_20_2012	23737.97	28747.25	30117.2	30422.5	30133.04	30344.21	31406.25(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2859	20	3351	1381	0	53%	0.55	45.6	5.47%	0	1.2	65	0
25	Apr_19_2012	23607.57	28551.36	30116.28	29912.5	29894.33	30121.56	30437.5(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3310	50	3880	1598	0	55%		45.5	5.46%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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