Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 11, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $31100.0000 (3.49%) ($29675.0000 - $31312.5000) on Wed. Apr. 11, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.34% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $31100.0000(3.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(-4%)    PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    VWO(-25%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.67% (StdDev 5.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30966.25(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28868.76(7.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27488.29(13.14%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   76.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.02% (three month std-dev: 5.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2012	23133.77	27488.29	28868.76	30966.25	30774.22	30631.25	31100(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-966	-50	-1168	-358	0	59%	0.44	108.2	5.34%	0	1.6	63	NAN
2	Apr_10_2012	23032.85	27087.26	28333.98	30205	30696.09	30803.91	30050(-3.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4622	70	5410	2257	0	59%	0.36	98.5	5.33%	0	1.3	62	NAN
3	Apr_9_2012	22951.13	26721.36	27809.93	29176.25	29548.44	30917.19	31212.5(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9024	360	10598	4302	0	59%	0.54	85.3	5.34%	0	2	63	NAN
4	Apr_5_2012	22828.82	26237.83	27269.93	28180	28212.5	30588.28	31712.5(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24822	590	29190	11717	0	59%	0.57	71.6	5.3%	0	2.2	66	NAN
5	Apr_4_2012	22700.37	25723.56	26809.6	27247.5	27072.27	28179.69	30756.25(12.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21953	270	25819	10355	0	59%	0.55	73.9	5.3%	0	2.3	65	NAN

6	Apr_3_2012	22575.37	25292.6	26314.18	26541.25	26417.58	25836.72	27293.75(9.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1811	-170	-2135	-840	0	50%	0.39	81.6	5.07%	0	1	57	NAN
7	Apr_2_2012	22487.22	25059.17	26178.91	26230	26565.63	25964.85	24906.25(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7956	-120	-9365	-3728	0	46%	0.31	86.2	5.23%	0	-0.1	62	NAN
8	Mar_30_2012	22417.24	24895.12	26342.26	26185	26475.79	26998.45	26231.25(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	851	170	992	429	0	46%	0.31	82.6	5.23%	0	0.6	69	NAN
9	Mar_29_2012	22347.84	24598.6	26320.97	26155	26023.05	27166.41	27050(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11026	290	12957	5234	0	44%	0.36	77.6	5.23%	0	1	76	NAN
10	Mar_28_2012	22266.59	24207.06	26177.48	26287.5	25785.98	25953.13	27225(5.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	7524	-10	8830	3606	0	48%	0.42	79	5.28%	0	1.1	76	NAN

11	Mar_27_2012	22172.56	23821.97	26012.96	26088.74	26021.52	24879.69	25737.5(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6540	-310	-7718	-3004	0	46%	0.37	74.2	5.39%	0	0.7	67	NAN
12	Mar_26_2012	22089.81	23436.29	25777.44	26147.49	26176.21	25618.83	24681.25(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14860	-150	-17509	-6914	0	46%	0.27	70.3	5.39%	0	0.4	63	NAN
13	Mar_23_2012	22030.43	23161.12	25616.12	26492.49	26746.96	27163.36	26081.25(-5.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4225	140	4938	2085	0	46%	0.35	68	5.39%	0	1	75	NAN
14	Mar_22_2012	21953.87	22786.73	25195.38	26469.99	26576.18	26733.59	27712.5(5.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	5498	50	6432	2695	0	48%	0.37	64.1	5.34%	0	1.6	86	NAN
15	Mar_21_2012	21873.34	22291.67	24586.89	26054.99	26104.11	26330.56	26231.19(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-226	70	-304	8	0	45%	0.25	55.9	5.31%	0	1.3	87	NAN

16	Mar_20_2012	21817.87	21890.63	24202.53	25940	26011.14	26418.77	26031.25(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6687	120	7823	3277	0	42%	0.25	51.4	5.31%	0	1.4	82	NAN
17	Mar_19_2012	21763.38	21539.99	23850.16	25345	25529.84	25877.66	26406.25(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	5719	120	6682	2828	0	45%	0.32	43.9	5.48%	0	1.7	87	NAN
18	Mar_16_2012	21692.93	21249.15	23324.88	24590	24768.16	25603.52	25968.75(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	7328	260	8577	3579	0	45%	0.26	40	5.58%	0	1.9	76	NAN
19	Mar_15_2012	21637.47	20940.66	22723.48	23705	23877.73	25182.03	25637.5(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13653	400	16023	6542	0	45%	0.2	33.9	5.63%	0	2	77	NAN
20	Mar_14_2012	21594.11	20724.71	22053.64	22897.5	22955.08	23932.81	25656.25(11.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	14009	310	16446	6697	0	48%	0.18	31.7	5.65%	0	2.4	78	NAN

21	Mar_13_2012	21554.85	20494.8	21408.65	22245	22125.39	22573.44	23056.25(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4910	130	5744	2409	0	44%	0	33.4	5.57%	0	1.5	71	NAN
22	Mar_12_2012	21554.65	20378.16	20881.72	22152.5	22052.74	21977.35	22631.25(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1719	-40	1991	901	0	48%	-0.12	40.1	5.58%	0	1.4	64	NAN
23	Mar_9_2012	21579.52	20276.05	20503.38	21871.25	22183.21	21677.35	21543.75(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2513	-120	-2981	-1108	0	48%	-0.21	43.6	5.71%	0	0.8	51	NAN
24	Mar_8_2012	21623.99	20192.27	20202.64	21555	22000.35	22128.13	21600(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-1963	100	-2329	-865	0	51%	-0.18	45.1	5.72%	0	0.9	55	NAN
25	Mar_7_2012	21663.64	20099.18	19837.62	21022.5	21511.21	22689.06	22393.75(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	9878	450	11612	4675	0	51%		39.3	5.81%	0	1.6	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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