Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $18937.5000 (-2.38%) ($18350.6200 - $19583.5000) on Thu. Mar. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.84% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $18937.5000(-2.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-9%)    XLY(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)    XLK(-12%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-26%)    VWO(-25%)    REMX(-25%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.92% (StdDev 5.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $19537.81
5 Day Moving Average   $18665.71(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18988.52(-0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19537.81(-3.07%)
To recent high   -34.7%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.46% (three month std-dev: 5.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2012	21714.09	19537.81	18988.52	18665.71	18584.19	18743.72	18937.5(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4364	50	5152	1999	0	48%	-0.17	-9.4	5.84%	0	-0.5	48	0
2	Feb_29_2012	21751.14	19540.45	19266.33	18460.71	18385.18	18261.77	19400(10.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-537	-60	-615	-303	0	44%	-0.17	-19.5	6.05%	0	-0.1	50	0
3	Feb_28_2012	21787.34	19521.98	19477.07	18238.21	18238.5	18424.66	17628.56(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1491	70	-1738	-750	0	40%	-0.25	-45.9	5.91%	0	-1.5	44	0
4	Feb_27_2012	21842.83	19603.23	19831.84	18565	18439.84	18508.59	18881.25(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2165	10	2558	985	0	41%	-0.28	-58.7	5.89%	0	-0.6	52	0
5	Feb_24_2012	21903.57	19589.59	20037.49	19018.75	18696.48	18052.34	18481.25(3.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4826	-290	-5673	-2286	0	41%	-0.24	-70.9	5.89%	0	-0.9	52	0

6	Feb_23_2012	21956.63	19657.86	20209.08	19377.5	19277.73	18371.09	17912.5(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10927	-340	-12856	-5140	0	43%	-0.33	-83.6	5.92%	0	-1.5	55	0
7	Feb_22_2012	22028.25	19790.17	20437.03	20195	20196.09	19340.63	18287.5(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8823	-300	-10389	-4125	0	43%	-0.42	-81.4	5.96%	0	-1.3	51	0
8	Feb_21_2012	22121.35	20123.07	20586.14	20888.75	20851.56	20184.38	19262.5(-8.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8070	-230	-9510	-3750	0	43%	-0.41	-42.6	5.94%	0	-0.5	55	0
9	Feb_17_2012	22213.27	20335.55	20599.15	21255	21288.05	21051.56	21150(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3758	-70	-4441	-1708	0	48%	-0.18	-27.6	5.81%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Feb_16_2012	22253.73	20495.56	20378.8	21207.5	21369.69	21518.75	20275(-7.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	625	70	714	356	0	48%	-0.24	-19.8	5.87%	0	-0.1	65	0

11	Feb_15_2012	22306.24	20709.28	20168.81	21150	21220.47	21524.53	22000(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4421	110	5182	2136	0	51%	-0.06	-15	5.79%	0	0.6	63	0
12	Feb_14_2012	22320.1	20764.73	19842.42	20723.75	20728.28	21220.63	21756.25(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4548	170	5338	2179	0	51%	-0.06	-17	5.79%	0	0.4	56	0
13	Feb_13_2012	22334.34	20838.27	19546	20255	20206.64	20916.41	21093.75(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6683	240	7863	3144	0	51%	-0.13	-21.5	5.79%	0	0.1	32	0
14	Feb_10_2012	22363.85	20903.67	19319.91	19853.75	19824.59	20235.94	20912.5(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7356	140	8664	3430	0	48%	-0.04	-27.5	5.87%	0	0	39	0
15	Feb_9_2012	22372.48	20943.36	19057.68	19441.25	19362.48	19496.88	19987.5(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1390	40	1658	587	0	50%	0.05	-34.2	5.85%	0	-0.4	33	0

16	Feb_8_2012	22361.01	21058.93	19014.12	19030.25	19180.06	19413.25	19868.75(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2781	110	3303	1213	0	50%	0.08	-40.1	5.89%	0	-0.5	32	0
17	Feb_7_2012	22343.22	21174.01	19046.97	18825.25	18840.92	19228.09	19412.5(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2813	150	3347	1212	0	48%	-0	-44.2	5.89%	0	-0.7	37	0
18	Feb_6_2012	22343.61	21367.25	19575.45	18732.75	18652.85	18946.88	19087.5(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4097	100	4856	1821	0	48%	-0.01	-51.2	5.94%	0	-0.9	35	0
19	Feb_3_2012	22344.9	21593.91	20012.63	18710.25	18513.4	18453.75	18850(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	397	-50	501	83	0	47%	-0.05	-58.7	5.94%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Feb_2_2012	22355.92	21810.56	20588.17	18620.25	18572.77	18358.83	17932.5(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2503	-90	-2913	-1273	0	47%	-0.08	-72.2	5.96%	0	-1.7	40	0

21	Feb_1_2012	22374.39	22082.66	21285.54	18981.25	18793.16	18573.05	18843.75(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2482	-110	-2894	-1247	0	47%	-0.01	-80.8	5.96%	0	-1.5	41	0
22	Jan_31_2012	22375.68	22305.04	21766.17	19301.25	19010.79	18786.72	18950(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6568	-130	-7704	-3159	0	48%	-0.01	-87.5	5.96%	0	-1.7	42	0
23	Jan_30_2012	22378.84	22686.29	22252.54	20583.75	20159.64	19013.28	18975(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7881	-460	-9258	-3750	0	48%	0.03	-75.5	6%	0	-2	38	0
24	Jan_27_2012	22371.04	23100.31	22653.46	21548.75	21638.94	19234.85	18400(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20041	-770	-23569	-9456	0	48%	0.03	-58.9	6.02%	0	-2.5	35	0
25	Jan_26_2012	22364.67	23627.37	23053.01	22853.75	22912.77	21306.01	19737.5(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25344	-480	-29816	-11928	0	50%		-34.7	5.98%	0	-2.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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