Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $18843.7500 (-13.76%) ($18756.2500 - $20187.5000) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.28% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $18843.7500(-13.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-10%)    SHY(-12%)    XAR(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.64% (StdDev 5.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.5%

Resistance Level   $20201.21
5 Day Moving Average   $21740(-13.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21439.77(-12.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20201.21(-6.72%)
To recent high   -30.8%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 8.23% (three month std-dev: 5.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2011	21923.33	20201.21	21439.77	21740	21562.89	20658.59	18843.75(-13.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-13320	-320	-15693	-6201	0	53%	-0.3	19.8	5.28%	0	-0.8	52	0
2	Nov_29_2011	21989.62	20307.71	21488.73	22273.75	22294.56	21875.78	21850(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4747	-130	-5616	-2141	0	57%	-0.24	26.9	5%	0	0.9	69	0
3	Nov_28_2011	22042.34	20242.85	21207.29	22361.25	22244.56	22467.19	22068.75(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2743	50	-3262	-1186	0	57%	-0.2	22.8	5.01%	0	1.1	72	0
4	Nov_25_2011	22087.03	20113.45	20836.7	22247.5	22379.33	22713.34	23268.75(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8346	120	9785	4029	0	58%	-0.35	5.8	5%	0	2	68	0
5	Nov_23_2011	22164.35	19960.51	20447.53	21778.13	21902.32	22021.94	22668.75(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2419	60	2814	1232	0	60%	-0.21	-19.4	5.01%	0	2	67	0

6	Nov_22_2011	22210.79	19876.79	20088.76	21120.63	21395.45	22045.32	21512.5(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5343	250	6262	2585	0	57%	-0.03	-46.8	5.04%	0	1.2	56	0
7	Nov_21_2011	22217.84	19875.4	19757.3	20569.38	20782.95	21782.7	22287.5(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13074	370	15367	6193	0	57%	-0.31	-55.9	5.12%	0	1.7	54	0
8	Nov_18_2011	22287.41	19882.43	19295.24	19878.13	19891.15	20745.59	21500(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11085	300	13039	5222	0	55%	-0.31	-57	5.14%	0	0.9	52	0
9	Nov_17_2011	22355.72	20022.48	19018.58	19215.63	19263.48	19783.2	20921.88(7.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8306	200	9777	3891	0	55%	-0.34	-49.8	5.15%	0	0.4	55	0
10	Nov_16_2011	22432.08	20232.26	18778.66	18945	18830.12	19036.72	19381.25(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2140	60	2530	971	0	53%	-0.46	-43.5	5.05%	0	-0.4	44	0

11	Nov_15_2011	22536.81	20512.53	18819.24	18918.75	18892.62	18743.75	18756.25(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1161	-60	1381	502	0	51%	-0.53	-38.7	5.04%	0	-0.7	38	0
12	Nov_14_2011	22656.82	20712.13	19014.56	18807.15	18861.37	18623.52	18831.25(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2709	-80	-3170	-1327	0	51%	-0.52	-40.5	5.09%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Nov_11_2011	22775.45	20919.82	19196.61	18599.65	18703.32	19041.48	18187.5(-7.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	39	140	68	-50	0	51%	-0.48	-43.9	5.08%	0	-1.2	30	0
14	Nov_10_2011	22885.49	21120.13	19350.96	18758.39	18595.07	19099.22	19568.75(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6499	160	7675	2970	0	52%	-0.39	-48.4	5%	0	-0.7	28	0
15	Nov_9_2011	22974.19	21307.27	19443.8	18590.89	18539.99	18365.16	19250(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1810	-70	2167	738	0	49%	-0.43	-51.6	5.06%	0	-0.9	24	0

16	Nov_8_2011	23073.24	21476.51	19649.64	18737.14	18631.11	18090.92	18198.25(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7879	-220	-9227	-3833	0	48%	-0.56	-55.6	5.1%	0	-1.5	20	0
17	Nov_7_2011	23204.32	21723.29	20015.42	19278.74	19157.91	18714.82	17793.75(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8068	-180	-9453	-3913	0	48%	-0.59	-61.3	5.09%	0	-1.9	35	0
18	Nov_4_2011	23342.7	21998.87	20538.28	19879.99	19998.93	19171.31	18981.19(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5249	-270	-6141	-2573	0	52%	-0.55	-63.5	5.05%	0	-1.5	37	0
19	Nov_3_2011	23471.55	22289.63	21118.09	20012.5	20316.13	19601	18731.25(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11340	-200	-13313	-5421	0	52%	-0.5	-66.8	5.24%	0	-1.9	41	0
20	Nov_2_2011	23588.41	22546.61	21810.71	20395	20597.66	20826.56	19981.25(-4.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2553	110	-2981	-1269	0	53%	-0.42	-70.5	5.2%	0	-1.5	40	0

21	Nov_1_2011	23689.04	22790.76	22342.18	20693.75	20772.27	21031.25	20906.25(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5435	100	6410	2508	0	53%	-0.43	-63.2	5.19%	0	-1	47	0
22	Oct_31_2011	23790.24	23095.04	22542.54	20890	20766.8	20368.75	20800(5.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3695	-150	-4331	-1785	0	53%	-0.39	-52.8	5.19%	0	-1.2	45	0
23	Oct_28_2011	23882.73	23330.42	22779.13	21337.5	21273.83	20513.28	19643.75(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9674	-260	-11369	-4589	0	53%	-0.39	-43.3	5.16%	0	-2	40	0
24	Oct_27_2011	23976.35	23603.82	23058.31	22412.5	22140.23	21164.84	20643.75(-3.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12377	-340	-14554	-5846	0	54%	-0.39	-29.1	5.13%	0	-1.8	37	0
25	Oct_26_2011	24070.54	23835.47	23354.95	23446.25	23176.77	22034.38	21475(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14298	-380	-16822	-6726	0	54%		-3.3	5.17%	0	-1.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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