Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $21887.5000 (-4.99%) ($21262.5000 - $23931.2500) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $21887.5000(-4.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    TLT(-13%)    XAR(-13%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-75%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.6%

Resistance Level   $24036.33
5 Day Moving Average   $24232.5(-9.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23488.3(-6.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24036.33(-8.94%)
To recent high   -19.6%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.85% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.81%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -8.55%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.62%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2011	24143.71	24036.33	23488.3	24232.5	24271.47	23115.63	21887.5(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12089	-330	-14227	-5676	0	54%	-0.28	33.3	5.16%	0	-1.5	42	0
2	Oct_24_2011	24210.95	24125.69	23612.01	24405	24712.09	24319.16	23037.5(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8847	-70	-10408	-4163	0	54%	-0.16	57.7	5.13%	0	-0.8	38	0
3	Oct_21_2011	24250.34	24142.47	23616.3	24392.5	24644.91	25427.31	25018.75(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5770	250	6792	2705	0	56%	-0.07	72.3	5.04%	0	0.7	49	0
4	Oct_20_2011	24268.4	24085.38	23556.61	23780	24042.75	25105.03	25812.5(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14980	340	17632	7023	0	56%	-0.02	72.4	5.02%	0	1.2	53	0
5	Oct_19_2011	24274.46	23884.68	23304.77	23285	23164.7	23862.5	25406.25(11.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8762	200	10323	4079	0	56%	-0	56.2	5.03%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Oct_18_2011	24275.02	23575.71	23202.8	22702.5	22905.72	22980.47	22750(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5822	50	6871	2676	0	54%	-0.06	37.4	4.83%	0	-0.4	41	0
7	Oct_17_2011	24290.59	23378.66	23616.85	22727.5	22655.33	22466.91	22975(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4113	-70	-4822	-1984	0	54%	-0.11	33.8	4.85%	0	-0.2	51	0
8	Oct_14_2011	24318.01	23224.97	23857.83	22723.75	22828.17	22830.97	21956.25(-5.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1354	10	-1579	-678	0	54%	-0.19	32.3	4.83%	0	-0.5	49	0
9	Oct_13_2011	24364.07	23115.55	24159.92	23275	23059.56	22843.75	23337.5(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-920	-90	-1074	-458	0	53%	-0.13	40.4	4.77%	0	0.1	50	0
10	Oct_12_2011	24396.54	22959.15	24336.02	23322.5	23260.73	22825.38	22493.75(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6460	-140	-7596	-3050	0	51%	-0.18	44.2	4.82%	0	-0.2	57	0

11	Oct_11_2011	24441.56	22839.26	24636.98	23781.25	23729.88	23275.38	22875(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7420	-140	-8738	-3464	0	51%	-0.22	50.5	4.88%	0	0	68	0
12	Oct_10_2011	24495.96	22662.73	24719.05	24651.25	24447.66	23696.09	22956.25(-7.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9239	-240	-10894	-4274	0	51%	-0.2	60.3	4.89%	0	0.1	70	0
13	Oct_7_2011	24544.81	22492.38	24774.46	25155	25408.2	24184.38	24712.5(4.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9618	-310	-11351	-4417	0	54%	-0.13	64.9	4.81%	0	0.8	68	0
14	Oct_6_2011	24577.66	22175.55	24707.2	25177.5	25536.72	25199.22	23575(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13469	-50	-15892	-6201	0	52%	-0.19	61.4	4.77%	0	0.5	67	0
15	Oct_5_2011	24624.73	21899.02	24566.96	25477.5	25674.69	26632.03	24787.5(-8.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8437	280	9871	4133	0	52%	-0.16	60.3	4.74%	0	1	67	0

16	Oct_4_2011	24663.31	21581.85	24027.69	25593.75	25377.81	25874.22	27225(6.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14712	110	17251	7096	0	55%	-0.08	60.1	4.68%	0	1.9	75	0
17	Oct_3_2011	24682.76	21129.91	23136.37	24817.5	24616.88	24717.34	25475(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1516	0	1732	867	0	53%	-0.16	53.2	4.63%	0	1.6	75	0
18	Sep_30_2011	24723.07	20778.96	22538.95	24350	24077.42	24881.41	24825(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4697	200	5477	2356	0	53%	-0.17	48.5	4.64%	0	1.6	72	0
19	Sep_29_2011	24765.29	20504.57	21979.75	24176.25	23839.06	24516.41	25075(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12941	160	15174	6243	0	51%	-0.14	47	4.64%	0	1.9	75	0
20	Sep_28_2011	24800.94	20229.25	21443.83	23511.25	23565.66	23273.44	25368.75(8.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	4847	-80	5653	2429	0	51%	-0.06	38.9	4.67%	0	2.4	77	0

21	Sep_27_2011	24815.92	19930.87	20846.19	22212.38	22875.81	23161.72	23343.75(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-800	180	-980	-258	0	48%	-0.13	22.6	4.54%	0	2	70	0
22	Sep_26_2011	24847.94	19773	20394.98	21172.38	21867.18	23857.88	23137.5(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	19247	740	22614	9144	0	48%	-0.18	9.1	4.54%	0	2.1	68	0
23	Sep_23_2011	24892.33	19608.95	19983.18	20434.88	20560.58	22589.91	23956.25(10.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	31560	710	37108	14917	0	50%	-0.15	-8.5	4.58%	0	3.2	70	0
24	Sep_22_2011	24929.7	19444.63	19377.58	19486.13	19421.09	19876.49	21750(15.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	15734	150	18502	7431	0	47%	-0.16	-41.6	4.4%	0	2.2	58	0
25	Sep_21_2011	24969.69	19437.51	18967.25	19119.88	18950.78	18531.25	18874.38(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7563	-180	-8898	-3557	0	38%		-48	3.95%	0	-0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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