Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $19212.5000 (-3.55%) ($19018.7500 - $19906.2500) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.9% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $19212.5000(-3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    TLT(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-74%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.95% (StdDev 3.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

Resistance Level   $19724.53
5 Day Moving Average   $19416.25(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18911.47(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19724.53(-2.6%)
To recent high   -39.5%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 5.78% (three month std-dev: 3.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2011	25134.68	19724.53	18911.47	19416.25	19596.09	19829.69	19212.5(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1050	110	1242	474	0	41%	-0.17	-57.4	3.9%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
2	Sep_15_2011	25177.28	19882.04	18950.65	19217.5	19504.3	19788.28	19918.75(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7907	150	9315	3683	0	41%	-0.13	-55.6	3.94%	0	0	39	NAN
3	Sep_14_2011	25210.13	19968.45	18943.7	18790	18992.14	19362.5	19725(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4120	170	4869	1872	0	41%	-0.19	-64.6	3.94%	0	-0.2	33	NAN
4	Sep_13_2011	25256.87	20082.96	18950.93	18536.25	18590.58	19220.31	18968.75(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6860	250	8099	3144	0	39%	-0.19	-72.6	3.91%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
5	Sep_12_2011	25304.13	20221.18	19104.9	18455	18532.89	18621.79	19256.25(5.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8170	50	9639	3762	0	39%	-0.25	-87.6	3.94%	0	-0.7	49	NAN

6	Sep_9_2011	25366.47	20402.8	19197.74	18352.5	18368.94	17960.85	18218.75(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6617	-150	-7753	-3208	0	37%	-0.17	-93.6	3.9%	0	-1.4	35	NAN
7	Sep_8_2011	25410.48	20623.15	19503.8	18654.23	18570.55	18443.99	17781.25(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7090	-60	-8310	-3428	0	39%	-0.21	-100.8	3.89%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
8	Sep_7_2011	25463.19	20880.68	19937.33	19114.23	19091.4	18777.03	18456.25(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-848	-120	-973	-473	0	39%	-0.19	-102.7	3.92%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
9	Sep_6_2011	25512.48	21174.64	20211.34	19421.73	19350.66	18697.11	18562.5(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10374	-250	-12181	-4952	0	41%	-0.13	-93.6	3.93%	0	-1.8	35	NAN
10	Sep_2_2011	25545.45	21566.93	20355.94	19844.23	19763.82	19405.77	18743.75(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8979	-140	-10541	-4292	0	41%	-0.18	-61.2	3.98%	0	-1.4	38	NAN

11	Sep_1_2011	25591.75	21950.5	20636.03	20157.98	20163.82	20004.2	19727.38(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3063	-50	-3581	-1507	0	45%	-0.16	-54.1	3.95%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
12	Aug_31_2011	25633.95	22264.51	20914.88	20485	20438.08	20121.88	20081.25(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5375	-120	-6305	-2585	0	45%	-0.14	-49	3.98%	0	-1.1	40	NAN
13	Aug_30_2011	25670.87	22443.76	21092.77	20900	20937.3	20323.44	19993.75(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7587	-200	-8910	-3618	0	45%	-0.12	-46.7	3.98%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
14	Aug_29_2011	25701.04	22659.42	21317.02	21125	21400.58	20754.28	20675(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9028	-170	-10604	-4301	0	45%	-0.04	-41.9	3.99%	0	-1	36	NAN
15	Aug_26_2011	25712.01	22878.53	21429.78	20940	21483.39	21551.16	20312.5(-4.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4114	100	-4812	-2019	0	45%	-0.09	-40	3.99%	0	-1.3	29	NAN

16	Aug_25_2011	25736.37	23140.99	21702.14	21167.5	21296.52	22046.88	21362.5(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7517	260	8875	3442	0	46%	-0.05	-32.1	3.95%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
17	Aug_24_2011	25748.27	23302.15	21820.04	21413.75	21179.34	21415.63	22156.25(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9092	50	10732	4172	0	45%	-0.02	-26.3	3.93%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
18	Aug_23_2011	25753.12	23408.15	21872.49	21351.25	21222.7	20546.17	21118.75(6.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5995	-240	-7015	-2936	0	43%	-0.15	-24.5	3.92%	0	-1.3	44	NAN
19	Aug_22_2011	25792.98	23511.66	22186.28	21568.75	21477.13	20943.05	19750(-7.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13546	-190	-15899	-6485	0	39%	-0.21	-23.4	3.82%	0	-2.1	37	NAN
20	Aug_19_2011	25847.44	23693.06	22864.02	21971.25	21906.78	21899.22	21450(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2871	-10	-3346	-1444	0	42%	-0.13	-19	3.7%	0	-1.4	38	NAN

21	Aug_18_2011	25881.82	23764.53	23360.22	22292.5	22131.78	22011.22	22593.75(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-720	-60	-821	-418	0	44%	-0.1	-16.8	3.65%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
22	Aug_17_2011	25908.18	23797.37	23701.22	22290	22393.11	21914.34	21843.75(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6189	-140	-7257	-2985	0	44%	-0.17	-19.8	3.62%	0	-1.3	42	NAN
23	Aug_16_2011	25952.56	23862.78	23895.41	22483.75	22704.84	22252.34	22206.25(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10174	-110	-11946	-4858	0	44%	-0.16	-19.8	3.63%	0	-1.2	45	NAN
24	Aug_15_2011	25993.89	23930.88	24112.3	22923.75	23116.48	22871.87	21762.5(-5.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8428	-50	-9898	-4017	0	44%	-0.14	-18.3	3.61%	0	-1.5	50	NAN
25	Aug_12_2011	26030.75	23992.47	24462.11	23903.75	23828.98	23157.34	23056.25(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7069	-210	-8314	-3335	0	46%		-13.9	3.56%	0	-0.7	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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