Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $24181.2500 (-3.49%) ($23650.0000 - $24812.5000) on Tue. Aug. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $24181.2500(-3.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    TLT(-13%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $24284.97
5 Day Moving Average   $24695(-2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23803.3(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24284.97(-0.43%)
To recent high   -23.8%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.41% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2011	26265.31	24284.97	23803.3	24695	24799.36	24703.41	24181.25(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3727	-10	-4401	-1704	0	59%	-0.12	-54	3.35%	0	-0.1	53	0
2	Aug_1_2011	26296.69	24426.7	23716.11	24427.5	24567.64	25137.78	25056.25(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7258	180	8530	3442	0	61%	-0.08	-66.4	3.41%	0	0.4	46	0
3	Jul_29_2011	26317.86	24604.69	23464.75	23987.5	24003.44	24895.31	25518.75(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16217	260	19084	7616	0	61%	-0.1	-65.5	3.43%	0	0.5	40	0
4	Jul_28_2011	26344.71	24718.3	23223.75	23380	23319.61	23997.5	24500(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14795	200	17425	6906	0	59%	-0.07	-70.3	3.42%	0	-0.1	39	0
5	Jul_27_2011	26363.14	24900.08	23149.63	23086.25	22810.63	23111.56	24218.75(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6704	60	7914	3073	0	56%	-0.06	-69.5	3.42%	0	-0.3	37	0

6	Jul_26_2011	26379.66	25156.52	23078.89	22806.25	22692.34	22641.72	22843.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	993	-30	1205	358	0	54%	-0.1	-65.6	3.39%	0	-1	27	0
7	Jul_25_2011	26405.56	25532.46	23315.43	22901.25	22775.94	22509.69	22856.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3943	-100	-4600	-1972	0	56%	-0.08	-61.3	3.41%	0	-1	25	0
8	Jul_22_2011	26427.88	25909.22	23706	22851.25	22910.16	22742.97	22481.25(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-3804	-40	-4433	-1917	0	56%	-0.11	-61	3.46%	0	-1.3	18	0
9	Jul_21_2011	26457.66	26244.31	24096.06	23026.25	22922.27	23042.19	23031.25(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1851	20	-2134	-1002	0	56%	-0.06	-65.3	3.47%	0	-1.2	26	0
10	Jul_20_2011	26474.43	26519.64	24432.72	23218.75	23109.92	23077.34	22818.75(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2673	-20	3190	1123	0	56%	-0.08	-69.3	3.48%	0	-1.4	24	0

11	Jul_19_2011	26494.52	26841.37	24810.93	23393.75	23197.77	22802.34	23318.75(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6231	-140	-7282	-3078	0	56%	-0.09	-72.9	3.47%	0	-1.4	22	0
12	Jul_18_2011	26517.48	27233.46	25205.62	23811.25	23471.99	23142.5	22606.25(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-12016	-140	-14087	-5804	0	56%	-0.15	-68.9	3.47%	0	-1.9	16	0
13	Jul_15_2011	26556.07	27683.92	25856.77	24703.75	24347.77	23593.2	23356.25(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-8294	-260	-9713	-4035	0	56%	-0.16	-60.8	3.45%	0	-1.8	17	0
14	Jul_14_2011	26598.92	28108.34	26356.07	25331.25	25115.98	23801.48	23993.75(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21291	-390	-25008	-10138	0	56%	-0.07	-51.8	3.43%	0	-1.8	30	0
15	Jul_13_2011	26618.54	28437.49	26814.41	25830	25805.86	25102.34	23693.75(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20538	-190	-24127	-9769	0	56%	-0.12	-50.1	3.45%	0	-2.2	33	0

16	Jul_12_2011	26651.45	28770.93	27430.56	26411.25	26365.42	26430.47	25406.25(-6.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2065	10	-2400	-1060	0	60%	-0.05	-47.9	3.34%	0	-1.9	36	0
17	Jul_11_2011	26664.29	29056.16	27948.05	26792.5	26500.19	26509.38	27068.75(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	958	-30	1154	369	0	66%	0.02	-40	3.26%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Jul_8_2011	26658.29	29208.33	28285.05	27213.75	26722.06	26300.38	26493.75(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7802	-160	-9154	-3745	0	63%	-0.02	-26.9	3.32%	0	-1.7	29	0
19	Jul_7_2011	26664.35	29347.47	28559.62	27567.5	27416.59	26491	26487.5(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12209	-250	-14338	-5820	0	63%	-0.04	-17	3.36%	0	-1.9	28	0
20	Jul_6_2011	26676.01	29535.56	28774.67	27966.25	27933.59	27143.75	26600(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19045	-200	-22381	-9036	0	63%	-0.05	1.1	3.36%	0	-2.2	38	0

21	Jul_5_2011	26689.93	29663.35	29044.85	28596.25	28441.41	28342.19	27312.5(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9718	-40	-11412	-4635	0	58%	-0.19	29.3	3.34%	0	-2	42	0
22	Jul_1_2011	26740.03	29744.73	29431.48	29261.25	29075	28723.44	29175(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-978	-100	-1137	-501	0	61%	-0.01	56.1	3.44%	0	-0.5	43	0
23	Jun_30_2011	26743.48	29650.98	29646.57	29541.25	29509.38	28540.63	28262.5(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14040	-230	-16509	-6634	0	59%	-0.03	58.8	3.4%	0	-1	45	0
24	Jun_29_2011	26750.81	29601.03	29990.99	29705	29903.52	29426.56	28481.25(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14597	-90	-17169	-6879	0	59%	0.01	58.1	3.44%	0	-0.8	51	0
25	Jun_28_2011	26747.11	29520.46	30189	29678.75	30119.73	30478.13	29750(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4259	130	5014	1995	0	63%		49.6	3.39%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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