Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DUST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: DUST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 3X ETF)
DUST latest price $31175.0000 (-1.01%) ($30662.5000 - $31487.5000) on Mon. Jun. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.39% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $31175.0000(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUST advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(-11%)    SHY(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    XLY(-12%)    XLK(-14%)
Factors Impacting DUST price   DUST will decline at least -1.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-73%)    EEM(-27%)    VWO(-26%)    REMX(-26%)    PCY(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.695% (StdDev 3.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30930(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30364.73(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28664.32(8.76%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   43.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DUST is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DUST price fluctuates within 6.97% (three month std-dev: 3.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2011	26782.09	28664.32	30364.73	30930	31021.3	31323.44	31175(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1635	80	1887	879	0	58%	-0.02	37.7	3.39%	0	1.3	79	NAN
2	Jun_17_2011	26786.49	28481.8	30108.68	30880	30759.97	31352.34	31493.75(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9602	120	11254	4645	0	58%	-0.03	35	3.41%	0	1.6	79	NAN
3	Jun_16_2011	26794.84	28287.98	29666.39	30572.5	30536.73	30719.16	31737.5(4.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9502	40	11138	4595	0	59%	0.04	30.3	3.42%	0	1.9	73	NAN
4	Jun_15_2011	26784.32	28090.06	29174.93	30007.5	30187.52	30167.59	30300(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-663	10	-817	-201	0	59%	-0.12	23	3.41%	0	1.4	70	NAN
5	Jun_14_2011	26815.5	27987.45	28798.28	29941.25	29969.34	30354.31	29943.75(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2652	90	3084	1357	0	59%	-0.11	28.4	3.45%	0	1.3	65	NAN

6	Jun_13_2011	26845.8	27928.94	28367.42	29696.25	29859.97	30207.44	30925(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11823	100	13879	5654	0	59%	-0.05	33.3	3.42%	0	2.1	60	NAN
7	Jun_10_2011	26859.32	27828.37	27834.74	29220	29317.33	29584.38	29956.25(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4707	70	5516	2281	0	60%	-0.06	33.1	3.44%	0	1.6	60	NAN
8	Jun_9_2011	26875.84	27760.34	27471.91	28616.25	28806	29512.5	28912.5(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9807	190	11524	4654	0	59%	-0.07	26.4	3.51%	0	0.9	54	NAN
9	Jun_8_2011	26894.78	27732.37	27222.73	28195	28229.05	29050.28	29968.75(4.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17259	210	20298	8140	0	60%	-0.01	27.7	3.49%	0	1.8	58	NAN
10	Jun_7_2011	26897.26	27567.8	26884.83	27483.75	27454.05	28099.5	28718.75(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13038	160	15343	6123	0	59%	0.07	17.4	3.46%	0	1	48	NAN

11	Jun_6_2011	26878.49	27455.31	26797.44	26832.5	26838.95	27407.81	28543.75(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11662	150	13732	5450	0	59%	-0.1	10.5	3.46%	0	0.9	43	NAN
12	Jun_3_2011	26906.32	27396.38	26686.87	26256.25	26255.36	26808.59	26937.5(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8891	150	10482	4119	0	57%	-0.12	15.9	3.39%	0	-0.4	29	NAN
13	Jun_2_2011	26938.22	27432.36	26771.47	26162.89	25968.64	26270.09	26806.25(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7085	60	8360	3260	0	57%	-0.05	30.9	3.41%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
14	Jun_1_2011	26952	27388.79	26896.07	26105.39	25965.13	25702.13	26412.5(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-839	-90	-961	-474	0	57%	-0.06	38.4	3.4%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
15	May_31_2011	26969.01	27369.35	27102.18	26204.14	26132.03	25667.19	25462.5(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10171	-130	-11943	-4854	0	55%	-0.23	45.5	3.43%	0	-1.6	45	NAN

16	May_27_2011	27032.28	27334.03	27470.21	26752.89	26561.25	26228.13	25662.5(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8687	-110	-10207	-4128	0	55%	-0.14	45.8	3.42%	0	-1	49	NAN
17	May_26_2011	27070.42	27219.99	27850.35	27169.14	27109.3	26596.88	26470.69(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6156	-140	-7236	-2915	0	55%	-0.06	49.8	3.42%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
18	May_25_2011	27085.64	27089.72	28106.5	27461.25	27437.67	26894.38	26518.75(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11718	-140	-13785	-5518	0	53%	-0.03	51.5	3.45%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
19	May_24_2011	27093.23	26943.87	28327.25	27795	27809.94	27621.72	26906.25(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6027	-50	-7098	-2815	0	55%	0.04	55	3.49%	0	-0	61	NAN
20	May_23_2011	27082.07	26826.8	28353.08	28127.5	28036.19	27980.97	28206.25(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2198	-20	-2598	-997	0	56%	0.11	58.7	3.52%	0	0.6	67	NAN

21	May_20_2011	27051.77	26604.18	28200.93	28312.5	28311.97	27998.16	27743.75(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3216	-80	-3802	-1457	0	56%	0.08	61.8	3.53%	0	0.5	73	NAN
22	May_19_2011	27031.36	26355.04	28187.51	28648.75	28603.13	28091.41	27931.25(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8389	-130	-9900	-3855	0	56%	0.1	61.4	3.56%	0	0.7	79	NAN
23	May_18_2011	27005.09	26110.71	28164.34	28855	28886.86	28625.78	28187.5(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7628	-60	-9015	-3465	0	56%	0.1	60.9	3.58%	0	0.9	74	NAN
24	May_17_2011	26977.86	25864.68	27936.04	28931.25	29147.41	29114.84	28568.75(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1953	10	2249	1065	0	56%	0.06	61.3	3.59%	0	1.1	77	NAN
25	May_16_2011	26961.41	25623.45	27665.11	28585	28823.97	29147.94	29131.25(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4113	100	4790	2082	0	56%		61	3.59%	0	1.5	70	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.