Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Duke Energy Corporation)
DUK latest price $77.1602 (1.52%) ($75.9885 - $77.2356) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $77.1602(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(83%)    SPLV(77%)    SDY(64%)    XLRE(63%)    XLP(62%)
Factors Impacting DUK price   DUK will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    DIA(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    XHB(-7%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.7(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.54(3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.53(4.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $56.713b

Duke Energy Corp. engages in distribution of natural gas and energy related services. It operates through the following segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment conducts operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana and Duke Energy Ohio. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on natural gas operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Piedmont and Duke Energy Ohio. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, develops, builds, operates, and owns wind and solar renewable generation throughout the continental United States. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

$. DUK price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(75%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.07%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	69.76	73.53	74.54	75.7	75.69	76.31	77.16(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	60	65	149	3.75	53%	0.14	88.3	0.94%	0	2.3	73	0
2	Jul_1_2016	69.66	73.21	74.09	75.18	75.11	75.72	76.01(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	50	69	130	3.4	50%	0.13	91.4	0.94%	0	1.9	72	0
3	Jun_30_2016	69.57	72.96	73.83	74.61	74.57	75.06	76.15(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	82	40	70	118	5.47	50%	0.1	89.2	0.93%	0	2.2	75	0
4	Jun_29_2016	69.5	72.65	73.52	73.95	73.95	74.49	74.69(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	50	52	91	3.7	49%	0.1	89.4	0.91%	0	1.6	70	0
5	Jun_28_2016	69.43	72.42	73.28	73.54	73.44	74.08	74.51(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	60	60	81	4.51	49%	0.07	84.6	0.92%	0	1.5	72	0

6	Jun_27_2016	69.38	72.17	73.13	73.19	73.04	73.4	74.55(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	30	53	80	4.39	49%	0.09	88.8	0.92%	0	1.8	75	0
7	Jun_24_2016	69.32	71.9	72.91	72.84	72.76	72.79	73.17(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-0	2	57	3.7	45%	0.07	84.5	0.9%	0	1	71	0
8	Jun_23_2016	69.27	71.71	72.81	72.94	72.77	72.69	72.83(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10	-10	68	1.58	48%	0.07	85.9	0.9%	0	0.8	67	0
9	Jun_22_2016	69.22	71.5	72.74	73.02	72.94	72.72	72.63(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-20	-8	91	1.7	48%	0.09	80.8	0.91%	0	0.7	72	0
10	Jun_21_2016	69.16	71.29	72.64	72.97	73	72.85	72.78(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-20	97	2.04	48%	0.09	70.9	0.91%	0	0.9	72	0

11	Jun_20_2016	69.1	71.04	72.48	73.04	73.01	73.16	72.78(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	10	5	127	3.8	48%	0.1	58.6	0.91%	0	1	76	0
12	Jun_17_2016	69.03	70.82	72.3	72.97	72.94	73.15	73.65(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	20	33	153	5.58	52%	0.15	50	0.9%	0	1.6	85	0
13	Jun_16_2016	68.93	70.55	72.03	72.66	72.72	72.86	73.25(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	20	21	150	3.4	54%	0.16	39.7	0.91%	0	1.6	84	0
14	Jun_15_2016	68.82	70.28	71.72	72.44	72.49	72.73	72.37(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	56	30	22	158	3.23	52%	0.15	30.2	0.91%	0	1.2	85	0
15	Jun_14_2016	68.72	70.14	71.5	72.26	72.24	72.58	73.15(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	30	45	178	3.12	54%	0.16	27.3	0.9%	0	1.9	94	0

16	Jun_13_2016	68.61	70.02	71.13	71.83	71.85	72.25	72.44(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	75	40	41	176	2.88	52%	0.15	24.6	0.89%	0	1.6	94	0
17	Jun_10_2016	68.51	69.93	70.81	71.51	71.52	71.89	72.11(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	40	40	170	3.22	52%	0.15	24.1	0.89%	0	1.6	80	0
18	Jun_9_2016	68.41	69.86	70.52	71.31	71.26	71.45	72.13(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	20	36	167	2.53	52%	0.15	23.7	0.9%	0	1.7	80	0
19	Jun_8_2016	68.31	69.77	70.14	70.9	71.07	71.15	71.46(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	20	24	148	1.67	53%	0.12	18	0.89%	0	1.4	80	0
20	Jun_7_2016	68.23	69.7	69.82	70.63	70.74	71.08	71(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	40	26	123	1.96	55%	0.04	16.4	0.9%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Jun_6_2016	68.2	69.66	69.49	70.32	70.39	71	70.87(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	60	57	88	3.01	55%	0.13	13.2	0.92%	0	1	45	0
22	Jun_3_2016	68.11	69.59	69.23	69.99	69.96	70.39	71.08(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	40	60	51	4.17	55%	0.12	7.4	0.92%	0	1.3	48	0
23	Jun_2_2016	68.03	69.59	68.94	69.61	69.5	69.78	70.07(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	25	20	34	-4	2.45	53%	0.12	5.1	0.91%	0	0.5	40	0
24	Jun_1_2016	67.95	69.55	68.73	69.26	69.24	69.52	70.14(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	19	30	40	-45	2.92	51%	0.13	3.2	0.91%	0	0.5	45	0
25	May_31_2016	67.86	69.51	68.67	68.9	68.86	69.23	69.44(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	40	36	-70	4.16	51%		0.6	0.92%	0	-0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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