Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Duke Energy Corporation)
DUK latest price $68.0850 (0.31%) ($67.3735 - $68.3661) on Wed. Mar. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $68.0850(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(83%)    SDY(64%)    XLP(62%)    XLRE(62%)    VYM(57%)
Factors Impacting DUK price   DUK will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    DIA(-11%)    VIXM(-10%)    XHB(-7%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.85(1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.13(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.33(2.65%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $50.042b

Duke Energy Corp. engages in distribution of natural gas and energy related services. It operates through the following segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment conducts operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana and Duke Energy Ohio. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on natural gas operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Piedmont and Duke Energy Ohio. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, develops, builds, operates, and owns wind and solar renewable generation throughout the continental United States. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

$. DUK price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.93%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.44%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2016	62.59		66.13	66.85	66.79	67.62	68.09(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	70	80	70	71	5.05	63%	0.08	-30.6	1.15%	0	1.5	53	INF
2	Mar_8_2016	62.54	66.33	65.88	66.17	66.04	66.88	67.87(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	69	80	78	41	4.69	63%	0.08	-39.1	1.15%	0	1.3	56	INF
3	Mar_7_2016	62.49	66.36	65.64	65.48	65.3	65.96	66.98(1.44%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	37	60	52	-10	3.47	64%	0.06	-45.5	1.14%	0	0.5	48	INF
4	Mar_4_2016	62.45	66.43	65.5	65.14	64.92	65.2	66.03(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	20	31	-42	3.83	62%	0.05	-39	1.16%	0	-0.3	44	INF
5	Mar_3_2016	62.42	66.54	65.44	64.94	64.85	65.2	65.29(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-30	-17	-85	4.24	62%	0.05	-28.3	1.16%	0	-0.9	37	INF

6	Mar_2_2016	62.39	66.68	65.59	65.31	65.12	64.65	64.68(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-60	-37	-90	12.1	58%	0.05	-4.2	1.16%	0	-1.4	29	INF
7	Mar_1_2016	62.36	66.8	65.76	65.54	65.64	65.05	64.43(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-60	-34	-92	6.08	58%	0.03	13.4	1.22%	0	-1.8	27	INF
8	Feb_29_2016	62.34	66.94	66.02	65.79	65.88	65.59	65.25(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-30	-32	-95	3.52	60%	0.05	38.1	1.2%	0	-1.4	29	INF
9	Feb_26_2016	62.31	66.97	66.19	65.89	65.98	66.24	65.03(-3.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-21	30	2	-91	4.25	60%	0.03	51.4	1.2%	0	-1.6	28	INF
10	Feb_25_2016	62.29	66.94	66.44	65.98	65.91	66.17	67.15(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	20	24	-91	3.49	66%	0.08	56.9	1.13%	0	0.2	40	INF

11	Feb_24_2016	62.24	66.75	66.56	65.94	65.79	65.72	65.84(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10	-4	-106	3.87	63%	0.06	49.8	1.11%	0	-0.6	29	INF
12	Feb_23_2016	62.2	66.62	66.82	66.04	65.94	65.66	65.71(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-30	-23	-98	4.23	60%	0.05	43.9	1.11%	0	-0.5	46	INF
13	Feb_22_2016	62.17	66.48	67.13	66.3	66.22	65.85	65.74(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-40	-31	-77	3.89	60%	0.06	42.9	1.13%	0	-0.4	45	INF
14	Feb_19_2016	62.13	66.35	67.43	66.55	66.51	66.23	65.48(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-30	-34	-45	6.27	62%	0.08	42.9	1.14%	0	-0.4	55	INF
15	Feb_18_2016	62.08	66.2	67.73	66.94	66.81	66.59	66.94(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-20	-30	-28	5	6.53	69%	0.08	43.8	1.12%	0	0.3	72	INF

16	Feb_17_2016	62.03	65.97	67.87	67.28	67.2	66.79	66.32(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-50	-32	57	4.99	63%	0.1	45.8	1.14%	0	0.1	74	INF
17	Feb_16_2016	61.97	65.84	67.94	67.73	67.57	67.03	67.01(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-60	-44	98	3.55	63%	0.13	53	1.19%	0	0.5	79	INF
18	Feb_12_2016	61.89	65.63	67.95	68.1	68.01	67.6	66.97(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-50	-41	149	4.52	63%	0.11	57.6	1.19%	0	0.5	80	INF
19	Feb_11_2016	61.82	65.43	67.83	68.44	68.44	68.11	67.46(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-30	-18	197	4.05	63%	0.13	63.2	1.2%	0	0.8	80	INF
20	Feb_10_2016	61.74	65.18	67.52	68.61	68.48	68.42	68.62(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	49	-10	-12	230	4.13	67%	0.16	65	1.19%	0	1.3	91	INF

21	Feb_9_2016	61.64	64.84	66.98	68.54	68.47	68.76	68.61(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	83	30	25	255	3.81	67%	0.13	65.6	1.19%	0	1.4	88	INF
22	Feb_8_2016	61.56	64.52	66.42	68.16	68.21	68.55	68.82(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	40	41	247	5.35	67%	0.16	66.1	1.18%	0	1.7	74	INF
23	Feb_5_2016	61.46	64.16	65.78	67.79	67.59	68.18	68.7(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	78	50	36	203	3.52	58%	0.15	65.8	1.37%	0	1.9	76	INF
24	Feb_4_2016	61.37	63.8	65.18	67.14	67.11	67.87	68.3(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	100	80	69	194	4.55	58%	0.15	62.6	1.37%	0	2.1	73	INF
25	Feb_3_2016	61.28	63.49	64.52	66.25	66.29	67	68.29(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	94	80	71	161	4.91	58%		57.3	1.37%	0	2.6	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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