Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Duke Energy Corporation)
DUK latest price $70.7022 (0.14%) ($70.1112 - $71.0852) on Fri. Jan. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $70.7022(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(84%)    XLP(61%)    VYM(56%)    IVE(55%)    SPY(49%)
Factors Impacting DUK price   DUK will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-3%)    TBT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.14(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.42(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.69(1.45%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $51.966b

Duke Energy Corp. engages in distribution of natural gas and energy related services. It operates through the following segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment conducts operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana and Duke Energy Ohio. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on natural gas operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Piedmont and Duke Energy Ohio. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, develops, builds, operates, and owns wind and solar renewable generation throughout the continental United States. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

$. DUK price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.14%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2015	65.36	69.69		70.14	70.31	70.67	70.7(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	40	24	26	2.68	58%	0.17	38.6	1.08%	0	0.8	59	INF
2	Jan_8_2015	65.25	69.58	70.42	69.99	69.96	70.44	70.6(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	50	35	46	2.17	60%	0.17	37.2	1.09%	0	0.8	65	INF
3	Jan_7_2015	65.14	69.47	70.33	69.78	69.72	69.95	70.32(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	20	20	49	2.58	60%	0.15	32.6	1.12%	0	0.7	67	INF
4	Jan_6_2015	65.04	69.35	70.27	69.82	69.71	69.49	70.09(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-30	-23	49	5.29	60%	0.17	32.2	1.12%	0	0.6	63	INF
5	Jan_5_2015	64.93	69.21	70.17	70.25	70.13	69.5	68.96(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-70	-49	60	3.78	59%	0.15	41.4	1.11%	0	-0.2	52	INF

6	Jan_2_2015	64.83	69.2	70.21	70.75	70.78	69.92	69.97(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-80	-53	86	2.27	61%	0.26	57.1	1.09%	0	0.6	55	INF
7	Dec_31_2014	64.66	69.11	70.01	70.9	71.18	70.75	69.55(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-30	-43	94	2.81	61%	0.19	70.1	1.09%	0	0.3	56	INF
8	Dec_30_2014	64.54	69.06	69.8	70.93	71.22	71.64	70.51(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	50	18	114	2.98	63%	0.19	80.9	1.07%	0	1.1	61	INF
9	Dec_29_2014	64.42	68.94	69.52	70.74	70.81	71.6	72.28(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	91	80	77	134	4.07	68%	0.22	86.8	1.02%	0	2.6	74	INF
10	Dec_26_2014	64.28	68.68	69.14	70.08	70.17	70.79	71.43(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	78	70	66	113	2.98	67%	0.33	89.9	1.02%	0	2.5	75	INF

11	Dec_24_2014	64.07	68.42	68.87	69.62	69.64	70.03	70.74(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	65	40	56	93	2.41	67%	0.2	83.4	1%	0	2.3	60	INF
12	Dec_23_2014	63.94	68.18	68.63	69.02	69.16	69.55	69.66(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	50	47	63	2.02	65%	0.17	63.9	0.99%	0	1.5	58	INF
13	Dec_22_2014	63.83	67.99	68.49	68.51	68.61	69.25	69.6(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	70	51	39	2.7	65%	0.17	42.5	0.99%	0	1.5	55	INF
14	Dec_19_2014	63.72	67.83	68.32	68.09	68.13	68.77	68.97(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	70	48	16	4.74	67%	0.16	34.7	0.99%	0	1.1	54	INF
15	Dec_18_2014	63.62	67.72	68.15	68.07	67.9	67.96	69.1(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-0	20	2	4.35	64%	0.16	38.9	1%	0	1.4	60	INF

16	Dec_17_2014	63.52	67.6	68.08	68.05	68.03	67.49	67.74(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-60	-33	-3	3.38	62%	0.13	43	0.99%	0	0.1	61	INF
17	Dec_16_2014	63.44	67.56	68.13	68.19	68.4	67.84	67.11(-0.64%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-37	-50	-54	16	3.61	63%	0.09	41	0.98%	0	-0.5	61	INF
18	Dec_15_2014	63.38	67.55	68.28	68.45	68.68	68.57	67.55(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-0	-21	65	4.4	63%	0.13	42.1	0.99%	0	0	64	INF
19	Dec_12_2014	63.3	67.48	68.36	68.54	68.65	68.95	68.84(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	40	27	109	3.34	63%	0.14	34	0.95%	0	1.3	67	INF
20	Dec_11_2014	63.21	67.32	68.21	68.21	68.36	68.8	69(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	50	38	101	2.96	65%	0.14	20.5	0.99%	0	1.6	64	INF

21	Dec_10_2014	63.12	67.19	67.96	68.12	67.97	68.34	68.47(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	30	24	87	3.94	65%	0.14	8.8	1%	0	1.3	60	INF
22	Dec_9_2014	63.03	67.16	67.71	68.07	67.92	67.91	68.41(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10	13	74	3.87	62%	0.13	9	1%	0	1.3	61	INF
23	Dec_8_2014	62.95	67.14	67.46	68.1	67.97	67.61	67.96(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-40	-21	54	3.74	62%	0.14	11.9	1.02%	0	0.9	58	INF
24	Dec_5_2014	62.86	67.12	67.31	68.16	68.1	67.92	67.21(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-20	-23	63	3.58	62%	0.13	13.4	1.01%	0	0.1	62	INF
25	Dec_4_2014	62.78	67.11	67.27	68.19	68.16	68.33	68.55(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	20	25	95	2.53	66%		16.9	0.99%	0	1.5	75	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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