Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Duke Energy Corporation)
DUK latest price $65.5516 (1.36%) ($64.7765 - $65.6670) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $65.5516(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUK advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(84%)    XLP(61%)    SPY(49%)    XLV(46%)    JNK(45%)
Factors Impacting DUK price   DUK will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-3%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.08(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.17(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.86(4.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $48.18b

Duke Energy Corp. engages in distribution of natural gas and energy related services. It operates through the following segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment conducts operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana and Duke Energy Ohio. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on natural gas operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Piedmont and Duke Energy Ohio. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, develops, builds, operates, and owns wind and solar renewable generation throughout the continental United States. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

$. DUK price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.04%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.98%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2014	60.08	62.86	64.17	65.08	64.82	64.79	65.55(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-20	25	180	2.5	62%	0.13	66.3	0.91%	0	1.7	80	0
2	Oct_17_2014	60	62.62	63.81	64.73	64.7	64.63	64.67(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10	2	163	3.52	61%	0.12	66.4	0.9%	0	1.4	80	0
3	Oct_16_2014	59.93	62.45	63.55	64.47	64.54	64.85	65.08(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	40	31	172	5.23	61%	0.13	67.2	0.9%	0	1.8	85	0
4	Oct_15_2014	59.85	62.22	63.22	64.05	64.18	64.77	65.06(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	81	70	52	167	6.59	61%	0.12	62.7	0.9%	0	2.2	85	0
5	Oct_14_2014	59.78	62.02	62.91	63.75	63.82	64.23	65.03(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	98	50	73	174	5.82	60%	0.1	68.6	0.9%	0	2.6	85	0

6	Oct_13_2014	59.72	61.82	62.56	63.14	63.34	63.6	63.83(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	40	39	138	4.94	57%	0.1	67.1	0.88%	0	2.1	82	0
7	Oct_10_2014	59.66	61.65	62.29	62.76	62.93	63.41	63.35(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	60	41	121	3.99	57%	0.1	55.2	0.88%	0	1.9	77	0
8	Oct_9_2014	59.6	61.49	62.06	62.48	62.57	63.09	62.99(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	60	59	111	3.47	57%	0.1	44.1	0.88%	0	1.9	67	0
9	Oct_8_2014	59.54	61.4	61.86	62.25	62.18	62.44	63.53(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	54	30	40	96	3.96	58%	0.12	41.9	0.87%	0	3	79	0
10	Oct_7_2014	59.47	61.24	61.58	61.96	61.98	62.05	62.01(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	11	66	3.06	55%	0.08	37.5	0.83%	0	1.4	58	0

11	Oct_6_2014	59.42	61.18	61.45	61.89	61.97	62.05	61.9(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-0	11	56	1.81	55%	0.05	37.6	0.83%	0	1.4	56	0
12	Oct_3_2014	59.39	61.17	61.35	61.75	61.83	61.91	61.98(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	8	50	2.67	53%	0.07	37.3	0.84%	0	1.6	65	0
13	Oct_2_2014	59.35	61.15	61.28	61.57	61.61	62.03	61.83(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	50	32	59	3.52	50%	0.07	42.3	0.85%	0	1.4	67	0
14	Oct_1_2014	59.31	61.1	61.15	61.4	61.34	61.76	62.09(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	50	40	51	48	5.3	50%	0.07	42.7	0.88%	0	2.2	54	0
15	Sep_30_2014	59.27	61.04	61.06	61.13	61.06	61.2	61.65(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	10	29	30	4.19	50%	0.07	44.8	0.89%	0	1.5	59	0

16	Sep_29_2014	59.23	61.04	61.01	60.95	61.06	60.92	61.17(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	0	2	13	2.04	50%	0.05	37.9	0.88%	0	0.5	53	0
17	Sep_26_2014	59.2	60.98	60.95	60.9	61.06	60.91	61.08(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	0	3	-1	2.99	50%	0.05	46.9	0.89%	0	0.3	44	0
18	Sep_25_2014	59.17	60.95	60.88	60.95	60.87	60.83	60.98(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10	2	-14	4.23	51%	0.02	50.7	0.89%	0	0.1	44	0
19	Sep_24_2014	59.16	60.91	60.91	60.87	60.92	60.82	60.78(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-11	-21	2.16	51%	0.03	43.2	0.89%	0	-0.3	49	0
20	Sep_23_2014	59.14	60.86	60.89	60.97	60.97	60.92	60.74(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-13	-19	3.16	51%	0.03	38.8	0.89%	0	-0.2	50	0

21	Sep_22_2014	59.12	60.83	60.9	61.08	61.09	61.01	60.91(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1	-10	-0	-5	3.06	51%	0.03	49.4	0.89%	0	0.1	53	0
22	Sep_19_2014	59.1	60.8	60.98	61.01	61.15	61.02	61.33(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10	4	-0	4.05	51%	0.02	48.9	0.9%	0	0.9	52	0
23	Sep_18_2014	59.09	60.74	61.01	60.79	61.01	61.17	60.59(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	30	-9	-6	3.48	52%	0.02	46.7	0.9%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Sep_17_2014	59.08	60.71	61.06	60.95	60.94	61.27	61.26(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	40	30	27	2.99	54%	0.02	63.9	0.94%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Sep_16_2014	59.07	60.66	61.02	60.8	60.86	60.85	61.31(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	0	20	27	3.48	54%		70.8	0.94%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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