Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: DUK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Duke Energy Corporation)
DUK latest price $60.0930 (1.1%) ($59.4004 - $60.1260) on Tue. Aug. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $60.0930(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DUK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DUK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DUK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(84%)    XLP(61%)    SPY(48%)    XLV(46%)    JNK(45%)
Factors Impacting DUK price   DUK will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-3%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.38(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.73(2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.06(1.75%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $44.168b

Duke Energy Corp. engages in distribution of natural gas and energy related services. It operates through the following segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure segment conducts operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Duke Energy Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, Duke Energy Florida, Duke Energy Indiana and Duke Energy Ohio. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on natural gas operations primarily through the regulated public utilities of Piedmont and Duke Energy Ohio. The Commercial Renewables segment acquires, develops, builds, operates, and owns wind and solar renewable generation throughout the continental United States. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

$. DUK price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2014	58.6	59.06	58.73	59.38	59.45	59.67	60.09(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	30	33	57	2.19	53%	0.05	0	0.87%	0	1.1	51	0
2	Aug_18_2014	58.57	59.04	58.5	59.06	59.1	59.52	59.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	28	50	34	10	1.83	51%	0.05	-4.4	0.89%	0	0.4	40	0
3	Aug_15_2014	58.54	59.04	58.43	58.84	58.81	59.23	59.44(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	30	50	46	-17	2.98	51%	0.03	-3.8	0.89%	0	0.4	38	0
4	Aug_14_2014	58.52	59.05	58.35	58.65	58.58	58.68	59.43(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	10	37	-43	3.59	51%	0.07	-5.7	0.89%	0	0.4	47	0
5	Aug_13_2014	58.48	59.03	58.27	58.28	58.38	58.39	58.49(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	10	14	-95	2.13	49%	0.03	-17.1	0.87%	0	-0.6	37	0

6	Aug_12_2014	58.46	59.06	58.36	57.97	58.18	58.48	58.49(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	50	20	-118	2.14	49%	0.05	-25.6	0.87%	0	-0.6	41	0
7	Aug_11_2014	58.43	59.06	58.53	57.85	57.91	58.37	58.36(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	60	28	-118	2.12	49%	0.03	-30.6	0.87%	0	-0.8	41	0
8	Aug_8_2014	58.41	59.08	58.74	57.95	57.81	57.88	58.5(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	0	16	-110	2.76	45%	0.05	-28.2	0.88%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Aug_7_2014	58.38	59.11	58.85	58.02	57.99	57.44	57.56(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-70	-38	-129	3.61	44%	0.03	-23.4	0.87%	0	-1.7	37	0
10	Aug_6_2014	58.36	59.19	59.13	58.27	58.32	57.73	56.95(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-92	-70	-83	-119	7.07	42%	0.02	-16.2	0.87%	0	-2.7	38	0

11	Aug_5_2014	58.35	59.3	59.44	58.8	58.77	58.54	57.87(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-59	-30	-56	-69	3.11	44%	0	-7	0.85%	0	-2.1	43	0
12	Aug_4_2014	58.35	59.36	59.65	59.29	59.2	58.9	58.87(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-30	-40	-34	-18	4.51	47%	0.02	2.8	0.83%	0	-0.8	54	0
13	Aug_1_2014	58.34	59.34	59.75	59.64	59.59	59	58.87(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-31	-70	-46	16	4.48	43%	0	6.4	0.88%	0	-0.7	58	0
14	Jul_31_2014	58.34	59.32	59.84	59.81	59.92	59.5	58.81(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-36	-40	-58	31	3.25	43%	0.02	3.4	0.88%	0	-0.7	52	0
15	Jul_30_2014	58.33	59.33	59.88	60.12	60.14	60.18	59.56(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	10	-14	70	2.78	45%	0.02	11.2	0.87%	0	0.3	56	0

16	Jul_29_2014	58.32	59.35	59.84	60.18	60.22	60.34	60.32(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	20	24	95	2.24	47%	0.03	20.3	0.86%	0	1.4	65	0
17	Jul_28_2014	58.3	59.34	59.68	60.06	60.05	60.11	60.65(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	10	10	82	3.28	49%	0.05	24.8	0.85%	0	1.8	66	0
18	Jul_25_2014	58.27	59.34	59.45	59.9	59.95	60.1	59.69(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	20	10	73	2.14	49%	0.02	27.4	0.84%	0	0.6	65	0
19	Jul_24_2014	58.26	59.3	59.37	59.88	59.86	59.99	60.36(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	10	30	88	2.24	51%	0.05	26.5	0.84%	0	1.6	75	0
20	Jul_23_2014	58.23	59.25	59.23	59.61	59.64	59.8	59.85(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	20	16	68	1.68	49%	0.03	20.8	0.84%	0	1	60	0

21	Jul_22_2014	58.21	59.2	59.12	59.45	59.48	59.74	59.76(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	32	51	2.02	49%	0.02	22.9	0.84%	0	0.9	45	0
22	Jul_21_2014	58.2	59.16	59.03	59.24	59.24	59.49	59.82(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	30	38	23	2.04	49%	0.03	22.8	0.84%	0	1.1	41	0
23	Jul_18_2014	58.18	59.16	58.88	58.94	58.98	59.21	59.61(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	30	26	-20	2.6	49%	0.03	18	0.84%	0	0.8	44	0
24	Jul_17_2014	58.16	59.16	58.74	58.94	58.81	58.98	59(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	20	15	-52	3.01	47%	0.02	27	0.84%	0	-0.2	44	0
25	Jul_16_2014	58.15	59.12	58.72	58.79	58.78	58.74	59.05(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10	8	-62	1.89	47%		45	0.85%	0	-0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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