Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 1, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN)
DSLV latest price $56.0000 (10.48%) ($54.1100 - $57.6000) on Fri. Feb. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.8% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $56.0000(10.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DSLV advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DSLV advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DSLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(30%)    TBT(11%)    VIXM(4%)    PEJ(1%)    XLF(0%)
Factors Impacting DSLV price   DSLV will decline at least -3.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
SLV(-58%)    GLD(-48%)    SIL(-45%)    GDX(-43%)    GDXJ(-42%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.4% (StdDev 6.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.97(7.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.68(10.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.42(8.91%)
To recent high   -36.6%
To recent low   27.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. DSLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. DSLV price fluctuates within 10.44% (three month std-dev: 6.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2015	65.81	51.42	50.68	51.97			56(10.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	5	57	0.07	46%	0.03	-52.4	6.8%	0	0.9	60	0
2	Feb_5_2015	65.79	51.74	49.52	51.03			50.69(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-4	24	0.02	47%	-0.05	-57.3	6.66%	0	-0.2	41	0
3	Feb_4_2015	65.82	52.25	48.9	51.75			50.18(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	4	11	0.05	47%	-0.03	-54.8	6.95%	0	-0.3	40	0
4	Feb_3_2015	65.84	52.79	48.44	51.05			51.11(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	6	-11	0.03	47%	-0.03	-62.2	6.95%	0	-0.3	43	0
5	Feb_2_2015	65.86	53.48	48.04	50			51.88(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	5	-43	0.03	47%	-0.02	-63.3	6.95%	0	-0.2	38	0

6	Jan_30_2015	65.87	54.4	47.71	49.12			51.31(-5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	8	-70	0.05	51%	0	-59.9	7%	0	-0.4	36	0
7	Jan_29_2015	65.87	55.41	48.18	47.76			54.28(16.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	13	-87	0.08	51%	0.06	-64	7.08%	0	-0.1	37	0
8	Jan_28_2015	65.83	55.96	48.35	45.71			46.66(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	2	-119	0.02	47%	-0.05	-66.9	6.77%	0	-1	27	0
9	Jan_27_2015	65.86	57.24	49.24	45.48			45.86(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-2	-130	0.02	47%	-0.05	-67.3	6.76%	0	-1.2	25	0
10	Jan_26_2015	65.89	58.43	50.69	45.79			47.47(6.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-10000	-2	-133	0.04	47%	-0.02	-66.6	6.75%	0	-1.2	23	0

11	Jan_23_2015	65.9	59.77	52.15	46.13			44.55(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-10000	-16	-146	0.03	47%	-0.08	-66.8	6.7%	0	-1.6	13	0
12	Jan_22_2015	65.95	61.3	54.09	48.7			44.03(-3.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-46	-10000	-16	-137	0.05	48%	-0.08	-64.3	6.7%	0	-1.9	11	0
13	Jan_21_2015	66	62.9	55.91	51.41			45.51(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-12	-120	0.08	48%	-0.05	-58.1	6.74%	0	-2	27	0
14	Jan_20_2015	66.03	64.2	57.61	53.53			47.37(-3.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-41	-10000	-15	-118	0.05	48%	0.02	-51.4	6.72%	0	-2.1	24	0
15	Jan_16_2015	66.02	65.49	59.53	56.28			49.2(-14.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-10000	-14	-103	0.09	48%	0.06	-40.9	6.67%	0	-2.3	31	0

16	Jan_15_2015	65.98	66.78	61.8	58.98			57.39(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-7	-87	0.03	51%	0.17	-26.7	6.43%	0	-1.5	33	0
17	Jan_14_2015	65.87	67.64	63.31	60.34			57.59(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-4	-78	0.03	51%	0.17	-11.5	6.43%	0	-1.7	33	0
18	Jan_13_2015	65.76	68.29	64.22	61.16			56.09(-8.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-6	-84	0.07	51%	0.14	-7.3	6.42%	0	-2.1	30	0
19	Jan_12_2015	65.67	68.59	65.9	62.28			61.12(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.01	53%	0.23	-11.1	6.34%	0	-1.5	42	0
20	Jan_9_2015	65.52	68.6	66.78	63.28			62.73(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-9	-72	0.02	53%	0.28	-12.5	6.33%	0	-1.2	42	0

21	Jan_8_2015	65.34	68.49	67.94	65.11			64.19(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-8	-59	0.02	52%	0.28	-10.1	6.32%	0	-0.8	41	0
22	Jan_7_2015	65.16	68.34	68.98	66.87			61.65(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-4	-45	0.03	52%	0.25	-7.3	6.32%	0	-1.2	37	0
23	Jan_6_2015	65	68.71	70.39	67.77			61.72(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.03	50%	0.26	-1.9	6.32%	0	-1.2	45	0
24	Jan_5_2015	64.83	69.14	71.35	69.99			66.1(-8.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-3	-3	0.09	52%	0.34	-3.1	6.37%	0	-0.5	61	0
25	Jan_2_2015	64.61	69.23	71.99	70.7			71.88(-1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-2	17	0.04	55%		-2.1	6.32%	0	0.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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