Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 15, 2014

Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 1, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN)
DSLV latest price $52.5200 (-0.44%) ($52.4200 - $53.5199) on Mon. Sep. 15, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $52.5200(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DSLV advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DSLV advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DSLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(30%)    VIXM(3%)    PEJ(2%)    UNG(-0%)    XLF(0%)
Factors Impacting DSLV price   DSLV will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
SLV(-63%)    GLD(-51%)    SIL(-48%)    GDX(-46%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.32(2.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.16(4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.29(8.76%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   49.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DSLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DSLV price fluctuates within 4.7% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2014	44.91	48.29	50.16	51.32			52.52(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	7	103	0.03	58%	0.13	89.6	3.05%	0	1.9	73	0
2	Sep_12_2014	44.85	47.92	49.54	50.75			52.75(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	32	-10000	12	93	0.08	54%	0.11	94.3	3.06%	0	2.3	76	0
3	Sep_11_2014	44.8	47.45	48.85	49.87			52.15(4.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	24	-10000	8	71	0.04	54%	0.07	89.3	3.14%	0	2.4	76	0
4	Sep_10_2014	44.77	47.02	48.27	49.27			49.83(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	4	60	0.05	51%	0.02	93.5	3.09%	0	1.6	71	0
5	Sep_9_2014	44.76	46.68	47.97	48.97			49.33(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	2	56	0.02	51%	0	84.3	3.1%	0	1.4	68	0

6	Sep_8_2014	44.76	46.34	47.74	48.81			49.67(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	9	65	0.03	51%	0.11	80.5	3.1%	0	1.7	75	0
7	Sep_5_2014	44.71	46	47.4	48.13			48.38(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	7	54	0.02	49%	0.02	77.6	3.08%	0	1.2	70	0
8	Sep_4_2014	44.7	45.73	47.18	47.62			49.15(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	19	-10000	7	54	0.06	49%	0.02	76.3	3.11%	0	1.8	81	0
9	Sep_3_2014	44.69	45.39	46.86	47.11			48.34(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	4	50	0.01	49%	0.02	80	3.11%	0	1.6	76	0
10	Sep_2_2014	44.68	45.16	46.64	46.82			48.51(4.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	17	-10000	4	57	0.06	49%	0.04	94.6	3.11%	0	1.9	79	0

11	Aug_29_2014	44.66	44.81	46.28	46.54			46.28(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-0	62	0.02	48%	0.02	92.2	3.06%	0	0.8	77	0
12	Aug_28_2014	44.65	44.54	46.17	46.57			45.85(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-1	73	0.03	48%	0	92.4	3.06%	0	0.6	71	0
13	Aug_27_2014	44.65	44.29	45.97	46.64			46.58(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	2	81	0.01	51%	0.02	84.5	3.06%	0	1	75	0
14	Aug_26_2014	44.64	43.92	45.7	46.53			46.87(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	84	0.06	51%	0	82.4	3.13%	0	1.2	79	0
15	Aug_25_2014	44.64	43.54	45.33	46.42			47.13(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	6	81	0.04	51%	0.02	83	3.15%	0	1.4	66	0

16	Aug_22_2014	44.63	43.13	44.86	45.98			46.42(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	3	75	0.05	51%	0	80.1	3.15%	0	1.3	73	0
17	Aug_21_2014	44.63	42.74	44.5	45.73			46.21(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	8	81	0.05	51%	0.02	82.4	3.16%	0	1.4	75	0
18	Aug_20_2014	44.62	42.44	44.17	45.18			46.05(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	6	79	0.05	51%	-0.02	82.7	3.16%	0	1.4	75	0
19	Aug_19_2014	44.63	42.02	43.8	44.73			46.29(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	9	84	0.07	51%	-0.02	75.2	3.16%	0	1.7	80	0
20	Aug_18_2014	44.64	41.57	43.53	44.08			44.94(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	90	0.06	51%	-0.04	67.6	3.13%	0	1.4	78	0

21	Aug_15_2014	44.66	41.19	43.2	43.57			45.14(3.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	7	91	0.06	54%	-0.07	62.9	3.14%	0	1.6	80	0
22	Aug_14_2014	44.69	40.82	42.76	43.11			43.47(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	89	0.04	50%	-0.09	63.2	3.15%	0	1.1	78	0
23	Aug_13_2014	44.73	40.47	42.47	43			43.8(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	89	0.03	50%	-0.04	65.9	3.18%	0	1.4	64	0
24	Aug_12_2014	44.75	40.2	42.01	42.72			43.04(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-3	89	0.05	46%	-0.04	70.7	3.17%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Aug_11_2014	44.77	39.97	41.63	42.9			42.4(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	2	103	0.09	46%		79	3.27%	0	1.1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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