Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 1, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN)
DSLV latest price $47.1290 (1.54%) ($46.6850 - $47.3300) on Mon. Aug. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $47.1290(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DSLV advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DSLV advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DSLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(30%)    VIXM(3%)    PEJ(2%)    XLF(0%)    XRT(0%)
Factors Impacting DSLV price   DSLV will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
SLV(-63%)    GLD(-51%)    SIL(-48%)    GDX(-46%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.42(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.33(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.54(8.24%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   34.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. DSLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. DSLV price fluctuates within 5.72% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2014	44.64	43.54	45.33	46.42			47.13(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	6	81	0.04	51%	0.02	83	3.15%	0	1.4	66	0
2	Aug_22_2014	44.63	43.13	44.86	45.98			46.42(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	3	75	0.05	51%	0	80.1	3.15%	0	1.3	73	0
3	Aug_21_2014	44.63	42.74	44.5	45.73			46.21(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	8	81	0.05	51%	0.02	82.4	3.16%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Aug_20_2014	44.62	42.44	44.17	45.18			46.05(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	6	79	0.05	51%	-0.02	82.7	3.16%	0	1.4	75	0
5	Aug_19_2014	44.63	42.02	43.8	44.73			46.29(3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	9	84	0.07	51%	-0.02	75.2	3.16%	0	1.7	80	0

6	Aug_18_2014	44.64	41.57	43.53	44.08			44.94(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	90	0.06	51%	-0.04	67.6	3.13%	0	1.4	78	0
7	Aug_15_2014	44.66	41.19	43.2	43.57			45.14(3.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	7	91	0.06	54%	-0.07	62.9	3.14%	0	1.6	80	0
8	Aug_14_2014	44.69	40.82	42.76	43.11			43.47(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	89	0.04	50%	-0.09	63.2	3.15%	0	1.1	78	0
9	Aug_13_2014	44.73	40.47	42.47	43			43.8(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	89	0.03	50%	-0.04	65.9	3.18%	0	1.4	64	0
10	Aug_12_2014	44.75	40.2	42.01	42.72			43.04(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-3	89	0.05	46%	-0.04	70.7	3.17%	0	1.3	71	0

11	Aug_11_2014	44.77	39.97	41.63	42.9			42.4(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	2	103	0.09	46%	-0.04	79	3.27%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Aug_8_2014	44.79	39.73	41.29	42.74			42.82(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	6	110	0.03	46%	-0.02	74	3.27%	0	1.3	72	0
13	Aug_7_2014	44.8	39.35	40.86	42.33			42.94(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	7	105	0.03	46%	0.02	64.7	3.28%	0	1.5	70	0
14	Aug_6_2014	44.79	38.97	40.59	41.83			42.42(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	10	113	0.05	46%	0.04	59.4	3.31%	0	1.6	73	0
15	Aug_5_2014	44.77	38.69	40.11	41.16			43.93(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	15	96	0.09	48%	0.11	53.4	3.28%	0	2.6	65	0

16	Aug_4_2014	44.72	38.33	39.43	40.19			41.61(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	8	64	0.15	45%	0.09	50.1	3.22%	0	2	59	0
17	Aug_1_2014	44.68	38.11	39.01	39.65			40.76(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	7	49	0.12	42%	0.04	45.5	3.29%	0	1.8	62	0
18	Jul_31_2014	44.66	37.91	38.71	39.18			40.42(3.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	-0	46	0.09	42%	0.07	39.5	3.31%	0	1.8	68	0
19	Jul_30_2014	44.63	37.71	38.29	39.19			39.1(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	5	54	0.1	43%	-0.04	41	3.29%	0	1.1	65	0
20	Jul_29_2014	44.65	37.62	38.22	38.88			39.06(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	5	53	0.1	43%	-0.04	33.3	3.35%	0	1.2	58	0

21	Jul_28_2014	44.67	37.51	38.19	38.54			38.89(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	52	0.09	43%	-0.04	22.4	3.36%	0	1.2	56	0
22	Jul_25_2014	44.69	37.44	38.06	38.25			38.43(-5.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	2	45	0.07	43%	0.02	12.8	3.36%	0	0.9	54	0
23	Jul_24_2014	44.68	37.36	37.75	38.13			40.49(7.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	21	-10000	14	40	0.1	45%	0.02	2.3	3.31%	0	2.8	62	0
24	Jul_23_2014	44.67	37.2	37.22	37.28			37.51(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-4	4	0.03	40%	-0.02	-64.1	3.17%	0	0.4	54	0
25	Jul_22_2014	44.68	37.21	37.16	37.5			37.36(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	8	0.04	40%		-96.6	3.17%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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