Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 1, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN)
DSLV latest price $38.7700 (1.73%) ($37.9200 - $38.8700) on Thu. Mar. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.04% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $38.7700(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DSLV advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DSLV advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DSLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(30%)    PEJ(1%)    XHB(1%)    XLF(1%)    DIA(-0%)
Factors Impacting DSLV price   DSLV will decline at least -2.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
SLV(-64%)    GLD(-53%)    SIL(-49%)    GDX(-47%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.52% (StdDev 5.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.88(-2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.26(-1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.46(0.81%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DSLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DSLV price fluctuates within 5.62% (three month std-dev: 5.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140413

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_13_2014	39.86	38.46	39.26	39.88			38.77(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	3	47	0.08	40%	-0.1	0	5.04%	0	0.1	60	0
2	Mar_12_2014	39.9	38.8	39.25	39.62			38.11(-7.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-2	48	0.16	40%	-0.23	0	5.13%	0	-0.2	59	0
3	Mar_11_2014	39.99	39.18	39.33	39.84			41.04(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	4	59	0.13	45%	0.13	0	5.06%	0	0.6	59	0
4	Mar_10_2014	39.94	39.45	38.82	39.48			40.91(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	55	0.03	45%	0.13	0	5.18%	0	0.4	66	0
5	Mar_7_2014	39.89	39.74	38.25	38.85			40.55(8.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	2	34	0.2	45%	0.1	0	5.3%	0	0.2	55	0

6	Mar_6_2014	39.85	39.74	37.8	38.61			37.49(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.1	35%	-0.33	0	5.01%	0	8.9	37	0
7	Mar_5_2014	39.98	39.74	37.67	38.82			39.23(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	1	0	0.06	35%	-0.12	0	5.09%	0	9.2	36	0
8	Mar_4_2014	40.03	39.74	37.52	38.73			39.21(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	7	3	0.13	35%	-0.12	0	5.24%	0	9	36	0
9	Mar_3_2014	40.08	39.74	37.14	38.05			37.76(-4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	5	2	0.15	35%	-0.37	0	5.25%	0	8.4	31	0
10	Feb_28_2014	40.23	39.74	37.16	37.52			39.34(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	3	0.11	35%	-0.17	0	5.38%	0	8.5	33	0

11	Feb_27_2014	40.3	39.74	37.55	36.87			38.54(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.23	35%	-0.32	0	5.5%	0	8.1	50	0
12	Feb_26_2014	40.43	39.74	38.24	36.36			38.8(8.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	2	1	0.24	35%	-0.35	0	5.72%	0	7.9	50	0
13	Feb_25_2014	40.57	39.74	38.92	36.18			35.82(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	1	0	0.11	20%	-1.05	0	5.11%	0	7	50	0
14	Feb_24_2014	41	39.74	40.05	36.11			35.1(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.06	20%	-1.42	0	5.15%	0	6.9	50	0
15	Feb_21_2014	41.59	39.74	41.3	36.73			36.08(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-16	-6	0.17	20%	-1.45	0	5.43%	0	7.2	50	0

16	Feb_20_2014	42.2	39.74	41.3	38.35			36(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-18	-7	0.29	20%	-1.81	0	5.63%	0	7.3	50	0
17	Feb_19_2014	42.98	39.74	41.3	40.44			37.92(7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-13	-5	0.15	20%	-1.65	0	5.98%	0	8.1	50	0
18	Feb_18_2014	43.7	39.74	41.3	42.13			35.44(-7.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-23	-9	0.22	0%	-3.06	0	4.7%	0	7.8	50	0
19	Feb_14_2014	45.08	39.74	41.3	44.55			38.2(-13.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-16	-6	0.22	0%	-2.95	0	5%	0	11.6	50	0
20	Feb_13_2014	46.45	39.74	41.3	46.45			44.2(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.8	202	-10000	237	95	0.13	0%	-1.21	0	1.98%	0	35.4	50	0

21	Feb_12_2014	47.02	39.74	41.3	37.61			46.45(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	14.5	485	-10000	570	228	0.18	0%	-0.38	0	1.15%	0	76.1	50	0
22	Feb_11_2014	47.2	39.74	41.3	28.32			46.36(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	30.1	780	-10000	918	367	0.1	0%	-0.9	0	1.06%	0	77.3	50	0
23	Feb_10_2014	47.63	39.74	41.3	19.05			47.54(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	316.6	0	-10000	0	0	0.06	0%	-0.17	0	0%	0	528.2	50	0
24	Feb_7_2014	47.71	39.74	41.3	9.54			47.71(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.06	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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