Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: DSLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 1, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN)
DSLV latest price $39.2100 (3.84%) ($38.5255 - $39.9100) on Tue. Mar. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $39.2100(3.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DSLV advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DSLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(30%)    PEJ(2%)    XLF(1%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(-0%)
Factors Impacting DSLV price   DSLV will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
SLV(-65%)    GLD(-53%)    SIL(-49%)    GDX(-47%)    GDXJ(-44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.73(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.52(4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   -17.8%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DSLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DSLV price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2014	40.03		37.52	38.73			39.21(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	7	3	0.13	35%	-0.12	0	5.24%	0	9	36	0
2	Mar_3_2014	40.08		37.14	38.05			37.76(-4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	5	2	0.15	35%	-0.37	0	5.25%	0	8.4	31	0
3	Feb_28_2014	40.23		37.16	37.52			39.34(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	7	3	0.11	35%	-0.17	0	5.38%	0	8.5	33	0
4	Feb_27_2014	40.3		37.55	36.87			38.54(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.23	35%	-0.32	0	5.5%	0	8.1	50	0
5	Feb_26_2014	40.43		38.24	36.36			38.8(8.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2	-10000	2	1	0.24	35%	-0.35	0	5.72%	0	7.9	50	0

6	Feb_25_2014	40.57		38.92	36.18			35.82(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	1	0	0.11	20%	-1.05	0	5.11%	0	7	50	0
7	Feb_24_2014	41		40.05	36.11			35.1(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.06	20%	-1.42	0	5.15%	0	6.9	50	0
8	Feb_21_2014	41.59		41.3	36.73			36.08(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-16	-6	0.17	20%	-1.45	0	5.43%	0	7.2	50	0
9	Feb_20_2014	42.2		41.3	38.35			36(-5.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-18	-7	0.29	20%	-1.81	0	5.63%	0	7.3	50	0
10	Feb_19_2014	42.98		41.3	40.44			37.92(7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-13	-5	0.15	20%	-1.65	0	5.98%	0	8.1	50	0

11	Feb_18_2014	43.7		41.3	42.13			35.44(-7.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-23	-9	0.22	0%	-3.06	0	4.7%	0	7.8	50	0
12	Feb_14_2014	45.08		41.3	44.55			38.2(-13.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-14	-10000	-16	-6	0.22	0%	-2.95	0	5%	0	11.6	50	0
13	Feb_13_2014	46.45		41.3	46.45			44.2(-4.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.8	202	-10000	237	95	0.13	0%	-1.21	0	1.98%	0	35.4	50	0
14	Feb_12_2014	47.02		41.3	37.61			46.45(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	14.5	485	-10000	570	228	0.18	0%	-0.38	0	1.15%	0	76.1	50	0
15	Feb_11_2014	47.2		41.3	28.32			46.36(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	30.1	780	-10000	918	367	0.1	0%	-0.9	0	1.06%	0	77.3	50	0

16	Feb_10_2014	47.63		41.3	19.05			47.54(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	316.6	0	-10000	0	0	0.06	0%	-0.17	0	0%	0	528.2	50	0
17	Feb_7_2014	47.71		41.3	9.54			47.71(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.06	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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