Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 30, 2018

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $38.5800 (-7.33%) ($38.2700 - $43.1300) on Tue. Oct. 30, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.35% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $38.5800(-7.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 24.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(7%)    IPO(6%)    VXX(5%)    XHB(5%)    VIXM(4%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -2.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-26%)    OIH(-26%)    XLE(-24%)    USO(-22%)    XME(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.675% (StdDev 5.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.38(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.67(14.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.8(33.96%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   87.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 22.19% (three month std-dev: 5.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 5.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.52%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.3%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 10.36%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.49%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2018	26.34	28.8	33.67	38.38	38.54	40.15	38.58(-7.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	101	300	36	294	1.46	71%	0.46	76.3	5.35%	0	1.5	77	-1.1
2	Oct_29_2018	26.22	27.96	32.28	37.11	37.04	38.58	41.63(11.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	115	290	53	302	0.83	74%	0.54	73.8	5.31%	0	2.3	85	-1.6
3	Oct_26_2018	26.08	26.93	30.61	34.62	35.16	36.92	37.46(3.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	104	400	49	269	1.82	73%	0.42	68.8	5.2%	0	2	80	-1.8
4	Oct_25_2018	25.97	26.14	29.4	32.69	32.92	35.5	36.04(-5.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	104	570	56	249	1.52	73%	0.27	61.9	5.19%	0	2.1	80	-1.6
5	Oct_24_2018	25.9	25.44	28.41	30.85	30.67	33.4	38.17(18.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	117	610	76	240	1.28	76%	0.35	53.9	5.15%	0	3.1	84	-1.9

6	Oct_23_2018	25.81	24.64	26.96	28.32	28.69	30.34	32.25(10.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	98	440	62	207	1.31	73%	0.12	47	4.67%	0	2.7	82	-1.5
7	Oct_22_2018	25.78	24.1	25.87	26.76	27.01	27.93	29.17(4.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	270	29	153	0.84	70%	0.04	31.8	4.49%	0	2.2	70	-1.2
8	Oct_19_2018	25.77	23.75	25.18	26.02	26.08	27.04	27.83(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	260	21	134	0.81	69%	0.04	17	4.46%	0	2.1	69	-1.3
9	Oct_18_2018	25.76	23.54	24.59	25.6	25.62	26.09	26.83(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	130	13	119	1.5	69%	0	6.7	4.45%	0	1.9	64	-1.7
10	Oct_17_2018	25.76	23.42	24.08	25.57	25.37	25.12	25.54(4.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-90	3	114	1.72	68%	-0.16	1.6	4.41%	0	1.3	60	-1

11	Oct_16_2018	25.8	23.36	23.6	25.36	25.47	25.15	24.42(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	30	-70	8	97	1.42	68%	-0.04	-6.8	4.37%	0	0.7	54	-0.9
12	Oct_15_2018	25.81	23.39	23.39	24.78	25.01	25.62	25.46(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	200	16	81	1.48	68%	-0.19	-20.5	4.4%	0	1.2	62	-1.7
13	Oct_12_2018	25.86	23.42	23.02	24.15	24.07	25.78	25.75(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	490	36	65	1.33	68%	-0.08	-35.2	4.4%	0	1.3	61	-2.1
14	Oct_11_2018	25.88	23.43	22.67	23.4	23.26	24.41	26.67(8.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	47	330	50	36	1.72	70%	0	-50.9	4.38%	0	1.7	56	-3.6
15	Oct_10_2018	25.88	23.4	22.24	22.42	22.29	22.36	24.5(13.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	13	0	23	-19	1.66	68%	-0.08	-69.1	4.35%	0	0.6	47	-3.5

16	Oct_9_2018	25.9	23.47	22.1	21.63	21.84	22.1	21.5(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	110	-4	-68	1.79	59%	-0.12	-73.3	4%	0	-1	35	-1.3
17	Oct_8_2018	25.93	23.76	22.17	21.79	21.76	22.21	22.33(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	140	10	-75	0.92	59%	-0.12	-61.8	4.09%	0	-0.6	35	-0.9
18	Oct_5_2018	25.96	24.07	22.2	21.71	21.67	21.58	22(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-30	0	-102	1.03	57%	-0.15	-50.9	4.14%	0	-0.8	30	-0.2
19	Oct_4_2018	26	24.42	22.41	21.82	21.72	21.31	21.75(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-150	-13	-116	1.98	57%	-0.23	-40.9	4.13%	0	-1.1	29	0.1
20	Oct_3_2018	26.06	24.75	22.71	22.05	22.06	21.76	20.58(-7.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-46	-90	-20	-123	1.73	54%	-0.31	-33.7	4.1%	0	-1.7	20	1.3

21	Oct_2_2018	26.14	25.05	23.12	22.62	22.43	22.13	22.29(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-120	-4	-111	0.89	61%	-0.27	-30	4.01%	0	-1.2	27	1.1
22	Oct_1_2018	26.21	25.23	23.43	22.6	22.64	22.37	21.92(-2.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	-80	-7	-121	0.95	61%	-0.34	-30	4.08%	0	-1.5	22	1.2
23	Sep_28_2018	26.3	25.39	23.88	22.74	22.62	22.74	22.58(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	20	-10	-130	1	61%	-0.23	-31.9	4.07%	0	-1.4	19	1.3
24	Sep_27_2018	26.36	25.5	24.26	23.08	22.66	22.91	22.88(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-38	20	-6	-132	0.55	61%	-0.26	-33.2	4.07%	0	-1.3	20	1.3
25	Sep_26_2018	26.43	25.61	24.65	23.49	23.05	22.5	23.42(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-38	-220	-7	-129	0.9	57%		-32.3	4.08%	0	-1.2	27	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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