Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: DRIP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Oil gas Explore and production 3x bear etf)
DRIP latest price $110.9200 (6.87%) ($108.6300 - $114.2500) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.05% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $110.9200(6.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DRIP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DRIP advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DRIP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(8%)    BOTZ(5%)    VIXM(5%)    XHB(4%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting DRIP price   DRIP will decline at least -3.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-28%)    XLE(-26%)    USO(-24%)    XME(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.025% (StdDev 6.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.33(8.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.56(6.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.62(10.24%)
To recent high   -32.8%
To recent low   29.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. DRIP is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. DRIP price fluctuates within 6.68% (three month std-dev: 6.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2016	127.01	100.62	104.56	102.33	101.62	106.25	110.92(6.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	300	56	65	0.09	52%	-0.62	12.1	6.05%	0	1.5	63	INF
2	Sep_26_2016	127.8	99.89	103.61	102.16	99.42	100.9	103.79(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	20	23	57	0.09	51%	-0.58	7.9	6.31%	0	0.6	58	INF
3	Sep_23_2016	128.54	99.67	102.4	102.48	100.88	96.98	103.25(8.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-320	-12	37	0.12	55%	-0.53	11.4	6.62%	0	0.6	54	INF
4	Sep_22_2016	129.22	99.53	101.53	102.88	101.72	97.94	95.38(-2.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-53	-290	-73	7	0.08	53%	-0.68	17.2	6.56%	0	-0.7	46	INF
5	Sep_21_2016	130.11	99.8	100.76	104.68	105.14	104.79	98.29(-10.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10	-16	25	0.09	53%	-0.56	22.8	6.56%	0	-0.2	48	INF

6	Sep_20_2016	130.84	99.82	100.28	106.88	106.04	105.49	110.08(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-60	8	43	0.08	56%	-0.3	28.4	6.45%	0	1.7	59	INF
7	Sep_19_2016	131.24	99.39	98.66	105.24	105.41	105.5	105.42(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	6	32	0.05	56%	-0.32	21.1	6.46%	0	1.1	57	INF
8	Sep_16_2016	131.66	98.97	97.89	102.24	104.31	106.59	105.21(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	210	33	26	0.09	55%	-0.31	-5	6.54%	0	1.1	54	INF
9	Sep_15_2016	132.07	98.47	97.66	99.96	100.84	105.32	104.38(-4.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	340	54	25	0.07	55%	-0.22	-32.4	6.61%	0	1.1	53	INF
10	Sep_14_2016	132.36	98.42	97.43	96.16	97.14	102.03	109.33(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	60	380	74	16	0.15	55%	-0.29	-67	6.59%	0	2	57	INF

11	Sep_13_2016	132.74	98.1	96.12	92.79	92.75	96.36	101.88(12.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	29	270	43	-14	0.18	53%	-0.45	-101.6	6.52%	0	0.8	54	INF
12	Sep_12_2016	133.34	98.2	95.57	91.33	91.31	92.26	90.41(-3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	70	16	-39	0.13	50%	-0.49	-114.7	6.32%	0	-1.5	38	INF
13	Sep_9_2016	133.99	99.25	96.55	92.97	92.04	89.14	93.79(9.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-250	-26	-45	0.14	54%	-0.59	-108.3	6.57%	0	-1	48	INF
14	Sep_8_2016	134.79	100.24	97.26	95.12	94.22	90.36	85.38(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-63	-320	-68	-48	0.14	51%	-0.62	-97.6	6.45%	0	-2.3	42	INF
15	Sep_7_2016	135.63	102.17	98.88	98.74	98.68	94.94	92.5(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-270	-38	-21	0.1	51%	-0.62	-76.3	6.39%	0	-1.3	39	INF

16	Sep_6_2016	136.47	103.51	99.54	99.77	100.82	98.07	94.58(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-160	-35	-20	0.07	49%	-1.15	-83.4	6.46%	0	-1.1	40	INF
17	Sep_2_2016	138.06	104.55	100.42	100.29	100.77	102.42	98.58(-5.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	130	-9	-9	0.09	49%	-0.67	-91	6.48%	0	-0.7	43	INF
18	Sep_1_2016	138.99	105.73	100.37	100.57	100.72	103.56	104.54(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	200	44	2	0.11	49%	-0.64	-85.6	6.45%	0	-0.1	41	INF
19	Aug_31_2016	139.88	106.83	99.47	99.84	99.22	99.12	103.5(5.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-30	12	-30	0.14	49%	-0.59	-84.4	6.46%	0	-0.3	37	INF
20	Aug_30_2016	140.71	108.12	99.49	99.22	99.09	97.89	97.67(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-90	-16	-60	0.13	49%	-0.95	-73.3	6.42%	0	-0.7	23	INF

21	Aug_29_2016	142.06	110.54	100.19	99.35	99.94	99.33	97.17(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-20	-14	-70	0.09	49%	-0.95	-61.8	6.46%	0	-0.8	30	INF
22	Aug_26_2016	143.42	113.15	100.95	100.54	100.58	100.28	99.96(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-20	-5	-70	0.11	49%	-1.12	-59.2	6.46%	0	-0.8	37	INF
23	Aug_25_2016	145.05	114.87	102.05	100.05	101.51	100.56	100.88(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	5	-77	0.08	46%	-1.1	-58	6.47%	0	-0.8	32	INF
24	Aug_24_2016	146.67	117.07	103.31	99	100.66	100.88	100.42(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	70	-14	-98	0.12	46%	-1.3	-55.8	6.56%	0	-0.9	29	INF
25	Aug_23_2016	148.6	119.41	105.58	99.85	100.53	102.46	98.33(-4.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	150	6	-91	0.09	46%		-52.1	6.55%	0	-1.2	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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